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Lowe's sticks to forecasts amid muted US housing market, flags cost pressures

May 20, 2026 6:10 AM

By Anuja Bharat Mistry

May 20 (Reuters) - ‌Lowe's on Wednesday ​joined ​larger rival Home Depot in signaling a squeeze from the subdued U.S. housing market, and said elevated oil prices were fueling higher transportation and ‌input costs.

U.S. consumer sentiment slumped to a record low in early May ⁠and a popular mortgage rate rose last month, as the Iran war pushed up oil prices and ‌Treasury yields, piling more pressure ‌on a market already strained by elevated home prices.

Lowe's executives on a post-earnings call said that the impact of rising costs was building in the current quarter ​without providing further details.

The company's shares were up about 1% in afternoon trading.

PRO DEMAND POWERS STRONG QUARTER

Lowe's, which expects the broader market to remain flat this year, ⁠retained its target of fiscal 2026 comparable sales of flat to up 2% and adjusted profit per share of ​between $12.25 and $12.75.

With housing turnover at historic lows, retailers like Lowe's are losing out on a key source of renovation demand, though maintained ​guidance signals confidence that Pro strength can offset ‌do-it-yourself softness, said Zak Stambor, analyst with eMarketer.

A report from the National Association of Realtors earlier this month showed listed houses were staying ⁠longer on the market relative to the same period last year.

Like Home Depot, Lowe's also beat first-quarter sales estimates on steady growth in professional (Pro)-driven categories, particularly in rough plumbing and electrical ⁠wiring.

Lowe's has been investing in its Pro segment serving small-to-medium contractors, carpenters and builders by expanding assortments ​and offering job-site delivery.

"We are operating in a K-shaped economy where the higher-income consumers are spending on home upgrades, while the lower-income consumers are a little bit more cautious and uncertain," CEO ‌Marvin Ellison said on the post-earnings call.

Comparable average ticket for the first quarter rose 1.5%, while comparable transactions dipped 0.9%.

"While tougher compares ‌lie ahead, LOW has proven its ability to gain share through challenging backdrops," Jefferies analysts ⁠said in a note.

Quarterly sales of $23.08 ‌billion beat estimates of $22.97 billion, ​according to data compiled by LSEG, while adjusted profit of $3.03 per share topped expectations of $2.97.

(Reporting by Anuja Bharat Mistry in Bengaluru; Editing by ‌Sriraj Kalluvila)

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