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William Blair Starts Casey's General Stores (CASY) at Outperform

May 20, 2026 6:02 AM

William Blair analyst Philip Blee initiates coverage on Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ: CASY) with a Outperform rating.

The analyst comments "The Call. We are initiating coverage of Casey’s General Stores with an Outperform rating. In our view, the most compelling aspect of Casey’s is the company’s growing credibility as a highly consistent, inherently defensive model and best-in-class operator. These stories are few and far between in the consumer space and investors are increasingly seeking out consumer names that are predictable, even at the sake of higher growth. However, we believe Casey’s is a rare combination of everything investors want in the current environment—consistent and reliable but with several opportunities for accelerated growth. The stock’s current valuation at 20.0 times our calendar 2027 adjusted EBITDA estimate appears rich at face value, but we believe shares will find continued support, primarily from the company’s defensive positioning and ability to sustain EBITDA growth in the low-double-digit to midteens range. That being said, we believe the company could expand valuation into the mid-20s range, in line with category-killer peers. Investment Thesis. Our Outperform rating is predicated on our belief that Casey’s is at the intersection of the five qualities that make the best investments in the consumer space. These include: 1) a defensive and predictable model well positioned in a risk-on or risk-off environment; 2) structural positioning at the crux of shifting consumer preferences that supports stable, consistent comparable sales growth insulated from the AI and e-commerce displacement trades; 3) a differentiated foodservice offering that creates brand loyalty and flexibility around demand and margin drivers with roughly 70% of inside-store transactions completed without a related fuel purchase; 4) a long runway for organic store growth potential; and 5) a strong balance sheet and proven playbook that support an acceleration in store expansion through acquisitions in a highly fragmented industry."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Casey's General Stores click here. For more ratings news on Casey's General Stores click here.

Shares of Casey's General Stores closed at $852.15 yesterday.

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