Upgrade to SI Premium - Free Trial

Will this be the first analog stock to hit $1tn market cap?

May 15, 2026 9:27 AM

Investing.com -- Stifel raised its price target on Texas Instruments to $340 from $290 after meetings with the company’s investor relations team pointed to a broadening industrial recovery and a fast-growing data center business that the broker believes could carry the chipmaker to a trillion-dollar valuation.

The key takeaway, Stifel analysts say, was that "TXN’s narrative has shifted from one of patient cycle-waiting to one of active recovery validation."

The analysts led by Tore Svanberg point to industrial recovery as one of the core catalysts, with Texas highlighting a strong first quarter. Management described January, February, and March as all accelerating, with growth running across every sub-sector and every major region — the U.S., EMEA, and China — simultaneously.

Industrial revenue rose more than 30% year-on-year and over 20% sequentially in the first quarter, a breadth of contribution that analysts view as "qualitatively different from anything we observed during 2025," when a strong first half gave way to a softer second half. CEO Haviv Ilan had candidly described that period as a "head fake."

Alongside the industrial recovery, the company’s Data Center business has emerged as a second growth engine, representing roughly 12% of first-quarter revenue and tracking toward a $2 billion annualized run-rate.

Stifel expects that segment to scale to around 20% of revenue by 2029, with the next leg of opportunity tied to 800V power architecture using gallium nitride technology.

The analysts also pointed to TXN’s capacity position as a structural advantage heading into the next upcycle. Internal manufacturing capacity now stands at roughly $25 billion, up from around $16 billion during the 2020-22 upcycle, with significant additional cleanroom and shell capacity available on shorter lead times than building from scratch.

All of that capacity is U.S.-based, which Stifel noted makes TXN’s footprint "geopolitically dependable in a way few analog peers can match."

Zooming out, the team drew a direct parallel to the valuation re-ratings seen in processors, foundries, and memory stocks, arguing that a best-in-class analog company could similarly reach the trillion-dollar milestone.

"Our take is that TXN has invested in enough capacity to have the optionality to get there should the market move in this direction," the analysts wrote.

Categories

General News Investing