U.S. Rents Fall for 33rd Straight Month as Surge in New Multi-family Construction Points to Continued Renter Relief
The Northeast is showing the strongest construction momentum, while the West is falling behind its own historical norms
While the national median remains
"Many renters have experienced meaningful relief over the past nearly three years, and although completions have slowed, forward-looking indicators are renter friendly," said
The National Multi-Family Pipeline Remains Strong
The national multi-family construction pipeline remains well above historical norms, even as it pulls back from its peak. The number of multi-family constructions currently being built averaged 684,000 units on a seasonally adjusted annual rate in 2026Q1, down from a peak of 971,000 in 2024Q1, but still 11.4% above the pre-pandemic average of 614,000.
New construction activity picked up sharply in early 2026, with the rate of new multi-family groundbreakings jumping nearly 20% compared to a year ago and running 21.3% above pre-pandemic levels. While the annual completion rate of 470,000 trail behind a year ago, it is still 23% above the pre-pandemic norm. If that pace holds, the total
Rising Multi-Family Starts Signal a New Wave of Rental Supply on the Horizon
2026Q1 | 2025Q1 | Avg. Q1 of 2017- | %Change vs. | % Change vs. pre- | |
Under | 684,000 | 765,000 | 614,000 | -10.6 % | 11.4 % |
Starts | 462,000 | 386,000 | 381,000 | 19.7 % | 21.3 % |
Completions | 470,000 | 570,000 | 382,000 | -17.5 % | 23.0 % |
More Multi-Family Units Are Coming, But Not Everywhere Equally
The regional picture, however, is uneven. The Northeast saw new multi-family groundbreakings nearly double year-over-year in 2026Q1, and the number of newly completed multi-family units jumped 42.1%, the strongest growth of any region. That supply is already showing up in rent data:
The West tells a more cautionary tale. New groundbreakings there fell to their lowest first-quarter level since at least 2017, and the number of newly completed multi-family units dropped 37.9% year-over-year, the only region where completions have fallen below pre-pandemic norms. Renters in
"The story isn't the same in every region, and that matters for where renters will feel relief next," said
Northeast Sees the Highest YOY Growth in Starts and Completions
2026Q1 | 2025Q1 | Avg. Q1 of 2017- | %Change vs. | % Change vs. pre- | ||
Northeast | Under | 144,000 | 155,000 | 132,000 | -7.1 % | 9.1 % |
Northeast | Starts | 105,000 | 58,000 | 52,000 | 81.0 % | 101.9 % |
Northeast | Completions | 108,000 | 76,000 | 60,000 | 42.1 % | 80.0 % |
South | Under | 279,000 | 314,000 | 227,000 | -11.1 % | 22.9 % |
South | Starts | 230,000 | 164,000 | 180,000 | 40.2 % | 27.8 % |
South | Completions | 199,000 | 269,000 | 172,000 | -26.0 % | 15.7 % |
Midwest | Under | 87,000 | 92,000 | 72,000 | -5.4 % | 20.8 % |
Midwest | Starts | 49,000 | 56,000 | 35,000 | -12.5 % | 40.0 % |
Midwest | Completions | 63,000 | 64,000 | 41,000 | -1.6 % | 53.7 % |
West | Under Construction | 174,000 | 204,000 | 182,000 | -14.7 % | -4.4 % |
West | Starts | 77,000 | 107,000 | 114,000 | -28.0 % | -32.5 % |
West | Completions | 100,000 | 161,000 | 109,000 | -37.9 % | -8.3 % |
Looking ahead, rental stock growth is expected to be strongest in the Northeast (+1.1%) by 2027Q1, followed by the South (+0.9%), and the Midwest and West (both +0.7%).
"As we move into the spring and summer leasing seasons, we expect the median asking rent to tick up modestly on a monthly basis, which is the typical seasonal pattern," said Xu. "But given the sustained level of multi-family construction relative to pre-pandemic norms, year-over-year declines are likely to continue through 2026. Modest rent relief is still the story for most renters."
Rental Data – 50 Largest Metropolitan Areas –
Market | Median Asking Rent (0-2 | YOY |
1,549 | -3.4 % | |
1,362 | -5.3 % | |
1,806 | -0.7 % | |
1,181 | -1.2 % | |
2,921 | -2.9 % | |
NA | NA | |
1,490 | -2.6 % | |
1,797 | -0.3 % | |
1,324 | 0.8 % | |
1,192 | -0.7 % | |
1,174 | -1.2 % | |
1,461 | -3.2 % | |
1,749 | -3.4 % | |
1,246 | -3.7 % | |
NA | NA | |
1,382 | -2.5 % | |
1,260 | -1.8 % | |
1,476 | -2.8 % | |
1,430 | 4.7 % | |
Las | 1,430 | -2.7 % |
2,760 | -1.7 % | |
1,215 | -1.5 % | |
1,103 | -4.7 % | |
2,273 | -2.1 % | |
1,617 | -0.3 % | |
1,494 | -0.5 % | |
1,474 | -4.8 % | |
NA | NA | |
2,920 | 1.1 % | |
911 | -5.0 % | |
1,663 | -2.6 % | |
1,740 | -1.5 % | |
1,441 | -4.2 % | |
1,463 | 3.0 % | |
1,592 | -1.7 % | |
Providence- | NA | NA |
1,433 | -2.1 % | |
1,531 | 0.5 % | |
2,051 | -3.5 % | |
NA | NA | |
1,823 | -1.5 % | |
1,286 | -0.8 % | |
1,156 | -4.7 % | |
2,669 | -3.0 % | |
2,698 | -2.0 % | |
3,306 | 1.3 % | |
1,851 | -1.7 % | |
1,653 | -4.3 % | |
1,564 | 2.4 % | |
2,280 | -1.8 % |
Methodology
Rental data as of
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