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Quantum computing poised to displace classical AI infrastructure, Northland says

April 22, 2026 1:23 PM

Investing.com -- Northland Capital Markets initiated coverage on the quantum computing sector, identifying a major inflection point for high-performance infrastructure. Senior analyst Nehal Chokshi argues that as AI training demands outpace classical hardware, quantum systems represent the primary path to managing complex computational workloads.

"The training of today’s modern Large Language Models typically happen in a 4096 dimension space, making the training of LLMs a massively parallel optimization problem," Chokshi wrote. The firm estimates the current aggregate enterprise value of the quantum industry at $88 billion, with significant room for expansion as technology matures.

Chokshi designated IONQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ) as a top pick, initiating with an Outperform rating and a $55 price target. He believes the company’s trapped-ion modality and recent strategic acquisitions position it to achieve broad quantum advantage by 2030, justifying its current $18 billion valuation.

"We believe photonic based quantum computers are best positioned to achieve Broad Quantum Advantage due to photon based interconnects," Chokshi stated, highlighting his preference for light-based architectures. This thesis extends to Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd (NASDAQ: XNDU), which received an Outperform rating and a $43 price target, as well as Quantum Computing Inc (NASDAQ: QUBT), initiated at Outperform with a $20 target.

Conversely, the firm adopted a more cautious stance on D Wave Quantum Inc (NYSE: QBTS) and Rigetti Computing Inc (NASDAQ: RGTI), initiating both with Market Perform ratings. While acknowledging their niche roles, Chokshi expressed skepticism that their current roadmaps lead to market dominance in the high-stakes AI training segment.

"Investing across all quantum computing companies diversifies away the risk and assures participating in the asymmetrically positively skewed projected returns," Chokshi concluded. By framing the sector through a 15-year DCF lens with a projected 35% free cash flow margin, Northland suggests that early movers are capturing the foundational infrastructure of a new computing era.

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