RBC Capital cuts GitLab rating, sees limited upside opportunities
Investing.com -- RBC Capital Markets downgraded GitLab to sector perform from outperform and cut its price target to $25 from $33 in a note to clients on Monday.
The bank pointed to a stack of near-term headwinds that analyst Matthew Hedberg said are likely to keep the stock range-bound.
"While we remain optimistic in GitLab's LT opportunity as a DevSecOps platform in the AI era, we see limited near-term upside opportunities to estimates as we step to the sidelines," Hedberg wrote.
RBC Capital flagged eight headwinds weighing on the near-term outlook, including 300 basis points of non-recurring tailwinds from Premium price increases that will create challenging year-over-year comparisons, price-sensitive SMB customers accounting for roughly 20% of annual recurring revenue, and first-order sales transition risks.
The bank also cited increased corporate layoffs pressuring seat-based renewals along with geopolitical uncertainty, a slower public sector year and competitive pressure from GitHub and others.
A potential medium-term catalyst is GitLab's Duo Agent Platform, which RBC Capital said offers agentic code review at $0.25 per use versus $15 to $25 from competing large language model providers. However, the bank said DAP is unlikely to contribute meaningfully to near-term results.
RBC Capital maintained that GitLab "remains an attractive potential take-out candidate," and said shares offer limited downside at current valuations.
