Boise Cascade (BCC) Tops Q4 EPS by 12c
Boise Cascade (NYSE: BCC) reported Q4 EPS of $0.24, $0.12 better than the analyst estimate of $0.12. Revenue for the quarter came in at $1.46 billion versus the consensus estimate of $1.45 billion.
Outlook
Demand for the products we purchase and distribute, as well as the products we manufacture, is closely tied to new residential construction, residential repair-and-remodeling activity, and light commercial construction. Residential construction, particularly new single-family construction, remains a key demand driver for the products we distribute and manufacture. In 2025, single-family starts fell short of 2024 levels by approximately 7% and are expected to be flat or modestly down in 2026. Home builders moderated their starts in 2025 to avoid further buildup of finished home inventory as affordability remains a persistent challenge for prospective homebuyers. Throughout 2025 builders bridged the supply-demand gap with increased incentives and high single-digit declines in new home prices. Multi-family experienced growth in 2025 but starts are expected to level off in 2026 due to prohibitive capital costs for developers combined with low rent growth and a decrease in permit activity. Industry experts expect flat home improvement spending in 2026 as high costs of borrowing and historically low home turnover continue to constrain demand. Near term demand will continue to be influenced by factors such as mortgage rates, home affordability, home equity levels, home sizes, new and existing home inventory levels, unemployment rates, and consumer confidence. Long-term demand drivers for residential construction, including generational tailwinds and an undersupply of housing units, remain strong, while elevated levels of homeowner equity and an aging U.S. housing stock support robust repair-and-remodel spending and reinforce the industry’s solid fundamentals.
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