Upgrade to SI Premium - Free Trial

Wells Fargo Previews Micron Technology (MU) Earnings: We're positive on MU setup'

December 11, 2024 6:50 AM

Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers reiterated an Overweight rating and $175.00 price target on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU)

The analyst comments "We're positive on MU setup into upcoming (12/18) F1Q25 print. Expect solid MU HBM share gains (note prepays) + solutions portfolio execution; reaffirmation of disciplined industry dynamics to drive 'substantial' MU rev record in FY25. HBM3E Ramp / Competition = Key Focus: MU's participation / share ramp in HBM remains the primary investor focus. We expect increasing confidence in MU's drive toward a ~20%+ HBM share in CY25 w/ HBM TAM est at $25B+ (~6% of industry bit demand); multiple-billions of rev, although upside could be limited given MU's supply is sold out for CY25 (fixed volume + pricing LTAs). MU disclosed customer prepays at $907M exiting F4Q24 ($766M in current liabilities) vs $600M & $756M exiting F2Q24 and F3Q24. Deepening HBM customer engagements (i.e., customization, multi-year roadmaps, etc.) and expanding HBM vs DDR5 trade ratio as we move to 12-Hi HBM3E (early CY25 ramp) & HBM4 impact will also become a focus. Note that the HBM / D5 trade ratio stands at ~3:1 today, further HBM growth + ratio expansion likely to keep DDR5 supply tight. Investors continue to question Samsung's seemingly persisting HBM3E qual challenges; potential supply disruptor when / if NVIDIA qual were to materialize. Other DRAM: Aside from HBM, we see MU's broadening DRAM solutions portfolio as underappreciated. This includes: 1. LPDDR5: MU noted that LP5 will be a very significant product category; MU well-positioned for NVDA GB200 ramp w/ 384GB HBM3E + 480GB LPDDR5X in per GB200 superchips. 2. HIgh-Cap Server R-DIMMs: MU has highlighted its 128GB (32Gb/die) DDR5-8000 R-DIMMs for AI and traditional next-gen server upgrades."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Micron Technology click here. For more ratings news on Micron Technology click here.

Shares of Micron Technology closed at $98.10 yesterday.

Categories

Analyst Comments Hot Comments Trader Talk

Next Articles