Precision Drilling (NYSE: PDS) reported Q2 EPS of Cdn$1.44, Cdn$0.60 better than the analyst estimate of Cdn$0.84. Revenue for the quarter came in at Cdn$429.21 million versus the consensus estimate of Cdn$423.82 million.

OUTLOOK

OUTLOOK

The outlook for global energy demand is positive with rising demand for all types of energy including oil and gas driven by economic growth, increasing demand in third world regions, and emerging demand from data centers. Oil prices remain healthy, and producers remain disciplined while geopolitical issues continue to threaten supply. In Canada, recent commissioning of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion and the imminent start-up of LNG Canada provide significant tidewater access for both Canadian crude and natural gas, supporting additional Canadian drilling activity. In the U.S., the next wave of LNG projects is expected to add approximately 12 bcf/d of export capacity over the next three years, supporting additional U.S. natural gas drilling activity.

In Canada, we currently have 74 rigs operating, which is over 25% higher than last year, and expect this trend to continue throughout the third quarter due to activity in the Montney driven by strong condensate demand and increased drilling for heavy oil targets. Since the start-up of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion in May, customer activity in heavy oil targeted areas has exceeded our expectations, resulting in full utilization of our Super Single pad capable rigs. Our Canadian fleet is in high demand and we expect customer demand for our Super Triple and Super Single pad capable fleets to exceed supply into 2025 as Canadian take-away capacity further increases. Despite strong underlying customer demand, our activity levels could be impacted in the near term if the current wildfires intensify.

In the U.S., we currently have 38 rigs operating as drilling activity continues to be constrained by weak natural gas prices and pending merger and acquisition transactions. We view these headwinds as short-term in nature and expect customer demand will remain stable in the third quarter with a likely increase in the fourth quarter as producers modestly increase drilling plans into 2025.

Internationally, we expect to have eight rigs running throughout all of 2024, representing a 40% increase in activity compared to 2023. We continue to bid our remaining idle rigs within the region and remain optimistic about our ability to secure additional rig activations.

As the premier well service provider in Canada, the outlook for this business is positive. We expect the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion and LNG Canada to drive more service related activity while increased regulatory spending requirements are expected to result in more abandonment work. Customer demand will remain strong and with continued labor constraints, we expect firm pricing into the foreseeable future.

We believe cost inflation is largely behind us and will continue to look for opportunities to lower costs.

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