Walt Disney (DIS): We think ESPN should be valued at $30B today - KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel reiterated a Sector Weight rating on Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS).
"We remain Sector Weight on DIS and see a neutral risk/reward. Two notable events are upcoming: 1) DIS re-segmenting and breaking out ESPN from Disney Entertainment; and 2) DIS's Investor Summit focused on DPEP (September 18-20 at WDW). We view neither event as a positive catalyst for shares. For ESPN, we take an initial stab at separating it from DMED: from our view: 1) ESPN's fundamental outlook is negative and could materially worsen should CHTR's distribution agreement not be renewed; 2) the opportunity for ESPN in streaming means price increases are coming, which will challenge scale; and 3) we think ESPN should be valued at $30B today (~9x our FY24 EBITDA) though view it as a melting iceberg. We view the value of ESPN as likely below consensus, which is just one of the five reasons we are cautious on DIS."
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Shares of Walt Disney closed at $81.64 yesterday.
