Upgrade to SI Premium - Free Trial

BNPL provider Affirm (AFRM) plunges 15% as guidance cut offsets a 'solid' quarter

November 9, 2022 5:52 AM

Affirm (NASDAQ: AFRM) saw its shares drop by over 15 % in U.S. pre-market trading after the buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) firm slashed its full-year forecast.

Affirm reported an FQ1 loss per share of $0.86 on revenue of $361.62 million. Analysts were expecting a loss per share of $0.84 on revenue of $360.4 million.

For its second fiscal quarter, FQ2 revenue is seen in the range of $400 million to $420 million, a miss compared to the $438.5 million. At the midpoint of the range, Affirm’s guidance implies a 13.5% quarter-over-quarter growth while analysts were looking for nearly a 22% increase.

As a result of the bigger-than-expected slowdown, Affirm now sees full-year revenue at $1.64 billion (up or down $40 million), down from the prior outlook of $1.63-1.73 billion. Analysts were expecting a full-year revenue forecast of $1.71 billion.

While FQ1 results were “solid,” RBC analyst Daniel Perlin says a “faster-than-expected reduction in business from Peloton as well as overall macro conditions” prompted AFRM to cut its full-year outlook. He slashed the price target to $23 per share from $31.

“Despite these pressures, management reiterated its plans to achieve “sustained” adj. operating income profitability, on a run rate basis, by the end of FY23,” Perlin wrote in a note.

Morgan Stanley analyst James Faucette believes the investor focus is likely to be on ongoing credit deterioration.

“Updates around demand, RLTC margin, & profitability should be reassuring while we're mixed on funding as the market remains challenged but AFRM expanded capacity in the Sept qtr,” Faucette wrote to clients.

By Senad Karaahmetovic

Categories

Analyst Comments Earnings Guidance Hot Earnings Hot Guidance Hot List

Next Articles