Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Misses Q4 EPS by 35c
Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE: NCLH) reported Q4 EPS of ($1.95), $0.35 worse than the analyst estimate of ($1.60). Revenue for the quarter came in at $487 million versus the consensus estimate of $571.85 million.
Outlook:
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, while the Company cannot estimate the impact on its business, financial condition or near- or longer-term financial or operational results with certainty, it will report a net loss for the first quarter of 2022 and expects to report a net loss until the Company is able to resume regular voyages. As previously stated, based on its current trajectory and market and public health conditions, the Company expects to have positive Adjusted Net Income for the second half of 2022. The Company does not provide estimated future results on a GAAP basis because the Company is unable to predict, with reasonable certainty, the future movement of foreign exchange rates or the future impact of certain gains and charges. These items are uncertain and will depend on several factors, including industry conditions, and could be material to the Company’s results computed in accordance with GAAP.
The following reflects the Company’s expectations regarding fuel consumption and pricing, along with accompanying sensitivities.
| Full Year 2022 | ||||
| Fuel consumption in metric tons | 900,000 | |||
| Fuel price per metric ton, net of hedges | $675 | |||
| Effect on Adjusted EPS of a 10% change in fuel prices, net of hedges | $0.07 | |||
As of December 31, 2021, the Company had hedged approximately 42% and 24% of its total projected metric tons of fuel consumption for the remainder of 2022 and 2023, respectively. The following table provides amounts hedged and price per barrel of heavy fuel oil (“HFO”) which is hedged utilizing U.S. Gulf Coast 3% (“USGC”), Brent and marine gas oil (“MGO”) which is hedged utilizing Gasoil.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||||
| % of HFO Consumption Hedged1 | 32% | 15% | - | |||||
| Average USGC Price / Barrel | $48.36 | N/A | - | |||||
| Average Brent Price / Barrel | $66.50 | $64.72 | - | |||||
| % of MGO Consumption Hedged | 51% | 1 | 33% | - | ||||
| Average Gasoil Price / Barrel | $70.06 | $69.91 | - | |||||
| Total % of Consumption Hedged | 42% | 24% | - | |||||
(1) USGC derivatives were de-designated for accounting purposes in the fourth quarter of 2020 and first quarter of 2021. Both our USGC and Brent derivatives represent economic hedges and may be designated or re-designated as accounting hedges in the future.
Anticipated non-newbuild capital expenditures for full year 2022 are expected to be approximately $500 million. Due to previously agreed deferrals through first quarter of 2022, the Company’s anticipated expenditures related to ship construction contracts were $1.6 billion, $2.5 billion and $1.4 billion for the years ending December 31, 2022, 2023 and 2024, respectively. The Company has export credit financing in place for the anticipated expenditures related to ship construction contracts of $1.0 billion, $2.0 billion and $0.7 billion for the years ending December 31, 2022, 2023 and 2024, respectively.
Interest Expense, net is expected to be approximately $595 million for full year 2022, excluding losses on extinguishment of debt and debt modification costs. Depreciation and Amortization is expected to be approximately $750 million for full year 2022.
For earnings history and earnings-related data on Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) click here.
