Generac Holdings (NYSE: GNRC) reported Q2 EPS of $1.40, $0.51 better than the analyst estimate of $0.89. Revenue for the quarter came in at $546.8 million versus the consensus estimate of $476.85 million.

Second Quarter 2020 Highlights

• Net sales increased to $546.8 million during the second quarter of 2020 as compared to $541.9 million in the prior-year second quarter. Core sales growth, which excludes both the impact of acquisitions and foreign currency, increased approximately 1%.— Residential product sales increased 27.2% to $341.4 million as compared to $268.4 million last year.— Commercial & Industrial (“C&I”) product sales decreased 32.8% to $154.9 million as compared to $230.4 million in the prior year.
• Net income attributable to the Company during the second quarter was $66.1 million, or $1.02 per share, as compared to $62.0 million, or $0.98 per share, for the same period of 2019. The current year net income includes $11.5 million of pre-tax charges relating to restructuring costs and asset write-downs to address the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and decline in oil prices.
• Adjusted net income attributable to the Company, as defined in the accompanying reconciliation schedules, was $88.5 million, or $1.40 per share, as compared to $74.9 million, or $1.20 per share, in the second quarter of 2019.
• Adjusted EBITDA before deducting for noncontrolling interests, as defined in the accompanying reconciliation schedules, was $123.1 million, or 22.5% of net sales, as compared to $111.9 million, or 20.6% of net sales, in the prior year.
• Cash flow from operations was $101.8 million as compared to $8.0 million in the prior year. Free cash flow, as defined in the accompanying reconciliation schedules, was $89.0 million as compared to $(9.8) million for 2019. The increase was primarily due to a significant working capital investment that was made in the prior year which did not repeat in the current year. Modestly higher net income and lower capital expenditures also added to the increase in cash flow versus the prior year.
• As of June 30, 2020, the Company had $689 million of liquidity comprised of $397 million of cash and equivalents and $292 million available under its ABL revolving credit facility, which matures in June 2023. Also, the Company has no financial covenants and no maturities on its term loan until December 2026.
• The Company is increasing its full-year 2020 sales growth guidance to now be approximately 5 to 8% of positive year-over-year growth, which is an increase from the 5 to 10% decline previously expected. Adjusted EBITDA margins, before deducting for non-controlling interests, are now expected to be approximately 21.5 to 22.0%, which is an increase from the 19.0 to 20.0% previously expected.

“Second quarter revenue and earnings dramatically exceeded our expectations primarily driven by robust demand for home standby generators as a result of the heightened awareness of the need for backup power since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. With power outages on the rise, concerns of utility shutoffs in California, an active hurricane forecast for the upcoming season, and Americans spending more time at home, demand for home standby generators is at an all-time high,” said Aaron Jagdfeld, President and Chief Executive Officer. “However, as expected, the ongoing pandemic around the world has significantly impacted demand for C&I products. As a result, during the second quarter we initiated a number of meaningful restructuring actions in this part of our business to better align our current cost structure with customer demand.”

Jagdfeld continued, “While there remains a high degree of uncertainty around the magnitude and timing of an economic recovery, demand for our residential products is clearly benefitting from the emerging “Home as a Sanctuary” trend as the importance of having an uninterrupted supply of power has never been more evident. This trend, along with elevated concerns about future outages, is underpinning the significant increase we are now expecting in our full-year revenue and earnings outlook for 2020. I’m extremely proud of our team’s efforts in ramping up operations to respond to this tremendous increase in demand, while at the same time providing the products, services, and support that are both essential and critical to our customers around the globe.”

Updated 2020 Outlook

While the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global C&I products is particularly severe, demand for residential products is benefitting from the emerging “Home as a Sanctuary” trend as more people are working, learning and in general, spending more time at home. With an aging and under-invested electrical grid and power outage severity on the rise, backup power for residential applications has now become more important than ever. Furthermore, the Company’s residential products have historically proven to be more resilient and tend to decouple from the broader economic environment as demand is more driven by power outages.

These incrementally positive fundamentals for residential products resulted in the significant revenue outperformance during the second quarter and are driving a much higher outlook for the second half of the year. Accordingly, the Company is raising its prior guidance for revenue growth for full-year 2020, and now expects an increase of approximately 5 to 8% compared to the prior year, which compares to the 5 to 10% decline previously expected. This guidance assumes a level of power outages in line with the longer-term baseline average, the benefit of one significant power shut-off event in California, and a recovery of the solar market in the second half of the year. In addition, should the outage environment in the second half of 2020 be higher due to an active hurricane season and widespread utility shut-offs in California, approximately 2 to 3% of additional revenue growth is possible over and beyond this baseline guidance.

As a result of the higher revenue expectations, net income margin, before deducting for non-controlling interests, is now expected to be approximately 12.0 to 12.5% for the full-year 2020, which is an increase from the prior expectation of between 9.5% to 10.5%. The corresponding adjusted EBITDA margin is now expected to be approximately 21.5 to 22.0%, which is an increase from the 19.0% to 20.0% previously expected.

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