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Travelers Reports First Quarter 2020 Net Income per Diluted Share of $2.33 and Return on Equity of 9.4%

April 21, 2020 6:57 AM

First Quarter 2020 Core Income per Diluted Share of $2.62 and Core Return on Equity of 11.5%

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- The Travelers Companies, Inc. today reported net income of $600 million, or $2.33 per diluted share, for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, compared to $796 million, or $2.99 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter. Core income in the current quarter was $676 million, or $2.62 per diluted share, compared to $755 million, or $2.83 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter. Core income decreased primarily due to higher catastrophe losses, partially offset by a higher underlying underwriting gain (i.e., excluding net prior year reserve development and catastrophe losses). The improved underlying underwriting gain was adversely impacted by net charges of $86 million pre-tax ($68 million after-tax) associated with COVID-19 and related economic conditions. Net realized investment losses in the current quarter were $(98) million pre-tax ($(76) million after-tax), driven by the mark-to-market impact on the Company’s equity investments caused by the recent disruption in global financial markets, compared to net realized investment gains of $53 million pre-tax ($41 million after-tax) in the prior year quarter. Per diluted share amounts benefited from the impact of share repurchases.

Consolidated Highlights

($ in millions, except for per share amounts, and after-tax, except for premiums and revenues)

Three Months Ended March 31,

2020

2019

Change

Net written premiums

$

7,346

$

7,057

4

%

Total revenues

$

7,908

$

7,671

3

Net income

$

600

$

796

(25

)

per diluted share

$

2.33

$

2.99

(22

)

Core income

$

676

$

755

(10

)

per diluted share

$

2.62

$

2.83

(7

)

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding

255.9

264.8

(3

)

Combined ratio

95.5

%

93.7

%

1.8

pts

Underlying combined ratio

91.3

%

91.6

%

(0.3

)

pts

Return on equity

9.4

%

13.5

%

(4.1

)

pts

Core return on equity

11.5

%

13.0

%

(1.5

)

pts

As of

March 31,
2020

December 31,
2019

Change

Book value per share

$

99.69

$

101.55

(2

)%

Adjusted book value per share

92.63

92.76

%

See Glossary of Financial Measures for definitions and the statistical supplement for additional financial data.

“The events of the last few months have been challenging, and our hearts go out to all those affected by the COVID-19 global pandemic,” said Alan Schnitzer, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “We appreciate the thoughtful actions taken by our government leaders, at all levels, to support individuals and businesses. In addition, we would like to extend our deep gratitude for the heroic efforts of healthcare workers and first responders, as well as the contributions from food, delivery and all other essential workers. I would also like to acknowledge and thank my 30,000 colleagues for their exceptional response to this crisis. Due to their commitment, resourcefulness and compassion, we have continued to seamlessly serve our customers, agent and broker partners and communities. As a company, we are grateful that we are in a position to support those impacted by COVID-19, including through customer billing relief, our Stay-at-Home Auto Premium Credit Program, our Distribution Support Plan accelerating the payment of more than $100 million of commissions for agents and brokers and a direct $5 million pledge to assist hard hit families and communities. In addition, consistent with 16 consecutive years of dividend increases and as a reflection of confidence in our business, our Board of Directors declared a 4% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.85 per share. This dividend payment will put much-needed cash into the hands of millions of individuals who own our shares directly and indirectly through their investments in mutual funds, 401(k) plans and other retirement accounts.

“Turning to our financial results for the first quarter, core income was $676 million, and core return on equity was 11.5%. Underlying underwriting income in the quarter was higher than in the prior year period, benefiting from record first quarter net earned premium of $7.2 billion and an underlying combined ratio which improved to 91.3%. These strong underlying results, which included the impact of charges related to the COVID-19 pandemic, were more than offset by higher catastrophe losses. Our high-quality investment portfolio generated net investment income of $519 million after-tax. These results, along with our strong balance sheet, enabled us to return $681 million of excess capital to our shareholders this quarter, including $471 million of share repurchases.

“We grew net written premiums by 4% in the quarter to more than $7.3 billion, with all segments contributing. In Business Insurance, renewal premium change was 7.8%, including renewal rate change of 6.2%, while retention remained very strong. In Bond & Specialty Insurance, net written premiums increased by 13%, reflecting strong production across our Management Liability and Surety businesses. In Personal Insurance, net written premiums increased by 8%, with Agency Homeowners up 18% and Agency Auto up 3%, with both lines benefiting from strong production.

“Although there are many uncertainties surrounding COVID-19’s impact on our global economy and on us, it has been in the most challenging circumstances that the strength of our AA-rated franchise and the value we provide to all of our stakeholders shine through. Our balance sheet is extremely strong, our debt-to-capital ratio is comfortably within our target range, our holding company liquidity of $1.6 billion is well above our target level and we have a very high-quality investment portfolio. We have the talent, technology, risk management processes and procedures, and, importantly, financial strength to manage through these extraordinary times and to continue to deliver meaningful shareholder value over time.”

Consolidated Results

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise)

2020

2019

Change

Underwriting gain:

$

288

$

395

$

(107

)

Underwriting gain includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development

27

51

(24

)

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

(333

)

(193

)

(140

)

Net investment income

611

582

29

Other income (expense), including interest expense

(81

)

(63

)

(18

)

Core income before income taxes

818

914

(96

)

Income tax expense

142

159

(17

)

Core income

676

755

(79

)

Net realized investment gains (losses) after income taxes

(76

)

41

(117

)

Net income

$

600

$

796

$

(196

)

Combined ratio

95.5

%

93.7

%

1.8

pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development

(0.4

)

pts

(0.7

)

pts

0.3

pts

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

4.6

pts

2.8

pts

1.8

pts

Underlying combined ratio

91.3

%

91.6

%

(0.3

)

pts

Net written premiums

Business Insurance

$

4,190

$

4,163

1

%

Bond & Specialty Insurance

663

587

13

Personal Insurance

2,493

2,307

8

Total

$

7,346

$

7,057

4

%

First Quarter 2020 Results
(All comparisons vs. first quarter 2019, unless noted otherwise)

Net income of $600 million decreased $196 million due to net realized investment losses in the current quarter compared to net realized investment gains in the prior year quarter and lower core income. Core income of $676 million decreased $79 million, primarily due to higher catastrophe losses, partially offset by a higher underlying underwriting gain. The underlying underwriting gain benefited from higher business volumes but was adversely impacted by net charges of $86 million pre-tax ($68 million after-tax) associated with COVID-19 and related economic conditions. Net realized investment losses were driven by the impact of changes in fair value on the Company’s equity investments attributable to the recent disruption in global financial markets.

Combined ratio:

Net investment income of $611 million pre-tax ($519 million after-tax) increased 5%. Income from the fixed income investment portfolio was level with the prior year quarter, as the benefit from a higher average level of fixed maturity investments was offset by the impact of lower long-term interest rates. Net investment income from the non-fixed income investment portfolio increased over the prior year quarter, primarily due to higher private equity partnership returns. Included in non-fixed income investments are private equity partnerships, hedge funds and real estate partnerships that are accounted for under the equity method of accounting and typically report their financial statement information one to three months following the end of the reporting period. Accordingly, the adverse impact of the disruption in global financial markets during the first quarter of 2020 on those investments is not reflected in the Company’s results for the first quarter of 2020 and will be reflected in the Company’s results for the second quarter of 2020 on a lagged basis.

Net written premiums of $7.346 billion increased 4%. See below for further details by segment.

Shareholders’ Equity

Shareholders’ equity of $25.204 billion decreased 3% from year-end 2019, primarily due to lower net unrealized investment gains resulting from higher interest rates and the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates, in both cases attributable to the recent disruption in global financial markets. Net unrealized investment gains included in shareholders’ equity were $2.273 billion pre-tax ($1.785 billion after-tax), compared to net unrealized investment gains of $2.853 billion pre-tax ($2.246 billion after-tax) at year-end 2019. Book value per share of $99.69 decreased 2% from year-end 2019, also primarily due to the impacts of higher interest rates on net unrealized investment gains and changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Adjusted book value per share of $92.63, which excludes net unrealized investment gains, was comparable with year-end 2019. Book value per share and adjusted book value per share both included an adverse impact of $0.97 due to net unrealized losses resulting from foreign currency translation.

The Company repurchased 3.8 million shares during the first quarter at an average price of $124.20 per share for a total cost of $471 million. Capacity remaining under the existing share repurchase authorization was $1.361 billion at the end of the quarter. Also at the end of the quarter, statutory capital and surplus was $20.808 billion, and the ratio of debt-to-capital was 20.6%. The ratio of debt-to-capital excluding after-tax net unrealized investment gains included in shareholders’ equity was 21.9%, within the Company’s target range of 15% to 25%.

The Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share, an increase of 4%. The dividend is payable on June 30, 2020, to shareholders of record at the close of business on June 10, 2020.

Business Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise)

2020

2019

Change

Underwriting gain (loss):

$

(99

)

$

57

$

(156

)

Underwriting gain (loss) includes:

Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year reserve development

5

(21

)

26

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

(195

)

(95

)

(100

)

Net investment income

453

427

26

Other income (expense)

(16

)

5

(21

)

Segment income before income taxes

338

489

(151

)

Income tax expense

49

75

(26

)

Segment income

$

289

$

414

$

(125

)

Combined ratio

102.2

%

98.1

%

4.1

pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net (favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development

(0.1

)

pts

0.6

pts

(0.7

)

pts

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

5.0

pts

2.5

pts

2.5

pts

Underlying combined ratio

97.3

%

95.0

%

2.3

pts

Net written premiums by market

Domestic

Select Accounts

$

799

$

785

2

%

Middle Market

2,408

2,410

National Accounts

301

304

(1

)

National Property and Other

428

387

11

Total Domestic

3,936

3,886

1

International

254

277

(8

)

Total

$

4,190

$

4,163

1

%

First Quarter 2020 Results
(All comparisons vs. first quarter 2019, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Business Insurance was $289 million after-tax, a decrease of $125 million. Segment income decreased primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and a lower underlying underwriting gain, partially offset by net favorable prior year reserve development in the current quarter compared to net unfavorable prior year reserve development in the prior year quarter and higher net investment income. The underlying underwriting gain benefited from higher business volumes, but was adversely impacted by charges associated with COVID-19 and related economic conditions.

Combined ratio:

Workers’ compensation better than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for multiple accident years; and

Commercial property — better than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for multiple accident years.

Largely offset by:

Commercial automobile higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for recent accident years.

Net written premiums of $4.190 billion increased 1%.

Bond & Specialty Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise)

2020

2019

Change

Underwriting gain:

$

92

$

112

$

(20

)

Underwriting gain includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development

3

(3

)

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

(1

)

(3

)

2

Net investment income

55

56

(1

)

Other income

4

5

(1

)

Segment income before income taxes

151

173

(22

)

Income tax expense

29

35

(6

)

Segment income

$

122

$

138

$

(16

)

Combined ratio

85.9

%

81.1

%

4.8

pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development

pts

(0.5

)

pts

0.5

pts

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

0.2

pts

0.5

pts

(0.3

)

pts

Underlying combined ratio

85.7

%

81.1

%

4.6

pts

Net written premiums

Domestic

Management Liability

$

401

$

367

9

%

Surety

215

184

17

Total Domestic

616

551

12

International

47

36

31

Total

$

663

$

587

13

%

First Quarter 2020 Results
(All comparisons vs. first quarter 2019, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Bond & Specialty Insurance was $122 million after-tax, a decrease of $16 million. Segment income decreased primarily due to a lower underlying underwriting gain. The underlying underwriting gain benefited from higher business volumes but was adversely impacted by charges associated with COVID-19 and related economic conditions.

Combined ratio:

Net written premiums of $663 million increased 13%, reflecting continued strong retention, increased levels of renewal premium change, strong new business in management liability and continued strong production in surety.

Personal Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise)

2020

2019

Change

Underwriting gain:

$

295

$

226

$

69

Underwriting gain includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development

22

69

(47

)

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

(137

)

(95

)

(42

)

Net investment income

103

99

4

Other income

22

22

Segment income before income taxes

420

347

73

Income tax expense

84

69

15

Segment income

$

336

$

278

$

58

Combined ratio

88.2

%

90.1

%

(1.9

)

pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development

(0.8

)

pts

(2.8

)

pts

2.0

pts

Catastrophes, net of reinsurance

5.0

pts

3.8

pts

1.2

pts

Underlying combined ratio

84.0

%

89.1

%

(5.1

)

pts

Net written premiums

Domestic

Agency (1)

Automobile

$

1,260

$

1,224

3

%

Homeowners and Other

990

837

18

Total Agency

2,250

2,061

9

Direct-to-Consumer

100

95

5

Total Domestic

2,350

2,156

9

International

143

151

(5

)

Total

$

2,493

$

2,307

8

%

(1) Represents business sold through agents, brokers and other intermediaries and excludes direct to consumer and international.

First Quarter 2020 Results
(All comparisons vs. first quarter 2019, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Personal Insurance was $336 million after-tax, an increase of $58 million. Segment income increased primarily due to a higher underlying underwriting gain, partially offset by lower net favorable prior year reserve development and higher catastrophe losses. The underlying underwriting gain benefited from higher business volumes. The net impact of COVID-19 and related economic conditions was not significant.

Combined ratio:

Net written premiums of $2.493 billion increased 8%. Agency Automobile net written premiums increased 3%, driven by strong retention, renewal premium change of 2% and higher levels of new business. Agency Homeowners and Other net written premiums increased 18%, driven by strong retention, renewal premium change of 8% and higher levels of new business.

Financial Supplement and Conference Call

The information in this press release should be read in conjunction with the financial supplement that is available on our website at www.travelers.com. Travelers management will discuss the contents of this release and other relevant topics via webcast at 9 a.m. Eastern (8 a.m. Central) on Tuesday, April 21, 2020. Investors can access the call via webcast at http://investor.travelers.com or by dialing 1.844.895.1976 within the United States and 1.647.689.5389 outside the United States. Prior to the webcast, a slide presentation pertaining to the quarterly earnings will be available on the Company’s website.

Following the live event, an audio playback of the webcast and the slide presentation will be available on the same website.

About Travelers

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE: TRV) is a leading provider of property casualty insurance for auto, home and business. A component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Travelers has approximately 30,000 employees and generated revenues of approximately $32 billion in 2019. For more information, visit www.travelers.com.

Travelers may use its website and/or social media outlets, such as Facebook and Twitter, as distribution channels of material Company information. Financial and other important information regarding the Company is routinely accessible through and posted on our website at http://investor.travelers.com, our Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/travelers and our Twitter account (@Travelers) at https://twitter.com/travelers. In addition, you may automatically receive email alerts and other information about Travelers when you enroll your email address by visiting the Email Notifications section at http://investor.travelers.com.

Travelers is organized into the following reportable business segments:

Business Insurance - Business Insurance offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance and insurance-related services to its customers, primarily in the United States, as well as in Canada, the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland and throughout other parts of the world as a corporate member of Lloyd’s.

Bond & Specialty Insurance - Bond & Specialty Insurance provides surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services to its customers in the United States and certain specialty insurance products in Canada, the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland, as well as Brazil through a joint venture, utilizing various degrees of financially-based underwriting approaches.

Personal Insurance - Personal Insurance writes a broad range of property and casualty insurance covering individuals’ personal risks, primarily in the United States, as well as in Canada. The primary products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages.

* * * * *

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains, and management may make, certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, may be forward-looking statements. Words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “likely,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar expressions are used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements include, among other things, the Company’s statements about:

The Company cautions investors that such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the Company’s control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.

Some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to, the following:

Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release or as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of these factors, see the information under the captions “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in the quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on April 21, 2020, and in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 13, 2020, in each case as updated by our periodic filings with the SEC.

*****

GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL MEASURES AND RECONCILIATIONS OF GAAP MEASURES TO NON-GAAP MEASURES

The following measures are used by the Company’s management to evaluate financial performance against historical results, to establish performance targets on a consolidated basis and for other reasons as discussed below. In some cases, these measures are considered non-GAAP financial measures under applicable SEC rules because they are not displayed as separate line items in the consolidated financial statements or are not required to be disclosed in the notes to financial statements or, in some cases, include or exclude certain items not ordinarily included or excluded in the most comparable GAAP financial measure. Reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures also follow.

In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of these measures provides investors, financial analysts, rating agencies and other financial statement users with a better understanding of the significant factors that comprise the Company’s periodic results of operations and how management evaluates the Company’s financial performance.

Some of these measures exclude net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, and/or net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, which can be significantly impacted by both discretionary and other economic factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends.

Other companies may calculate these measures differently, and, therefore, their measures may not be comparable to those used by the Company’s management.

RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO CORE INCOME AND CERTAIN OTHER NON-GAAP MEASURES

Core income (loss) is consolidated net income (loss) excluding the after-tax impact of net realized investment gains (losses), discontinued operations, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principles when applicable. Segment income (loss) is determined in the same manner as core income (loss) on a segment basis. Management uses segment income (loss) to analyze each segment’s performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Financial statement users also consider core income (loss) when analyzing the results and trends of insurance companies. Core income (loss) per share is core income (loss) on a per common share basis.

Reconciliation of Net Income to Core Income less Preferred Dividends

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions, after-tax)

2020

2019

Net income

$

600

$

796

Less: Net realized investment (gains) losses

76

(41

)

Core income

$

676

$

755

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions, pre-tax)

2020

2019

Net income

$

720

$

967

Less: Net realized investment (gains) losses

98

(53

)

Core income

$

818

$

914

Twelve Months Ended December 31,

($ in millions, after-tax)

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Net income

$2,622

$2,523

$2,056

$3,014

$3,439

$3,692

$3,673

$2,473

$1,426

$3,216

$3,622

$2,924

$4,601

$4,208

$1,622

Less: Loss from discontinued operations

(439)

Income from continuing operations

2,622

2,523

2,056

3,014

3,439

3,692

3,673

2,473

1,426

3,216

3,622

2,924

4,601

4,208

2,061

Adjustments:

Net realized investment (gains) losses

(85)

(93)

(142)

(47)

(2)

(51)

(106)

(32)

(36)

(173)

(22)

271

(101)

(8)

(35)

Impact of TCJA at enactment (1)

129

Core income

2,537

2,430

2,043

2,967

3,437

3,641

3,567

2,441

1,390

3,043

3,600

3,195

4,500

4,200

2,026

Less: Preferred dividends

1

3

3

4

4

5

6

Core income, less preferred dividends

$2,537

$2,430

$2,043

$2,967

$3,437

$3,641

$3,567

$2,441

$1,389

$3,040

$3,597

$3,191

$4,496

$4,195

$2,020

(1) Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA)

Reconciliation of Net Income per Share to Core Income per Share on a Basic and Diluted Basis

Three Months Ended
March 31,

2020

2019

Basic income per share

Net income

$

2.34

$

3.01

Adjustments:

Net realized investment (gains) losses, after-tax

0.30

(0.16

)

Core income

$

2.64

$

2.85

Diluted income per share

Net income

$

2.33

$

2.99

Adjustments:

Net realized investment (gains) losses, after-tax

0.29

(0.16

)

Core income

$

2.62

$

2.83

Reconciliation of Segment Income to Total Core Income

Three Months Ended
March 31,

($ in millions, after-tax)

2020

2019

Business Insurance

$

289

$

414

Bond & Specialty Insurance

122

138

Personal Insurance

336

278

Total segment income

747

830

Interest Expense and Other

(71

)

(75

)

Total core income

$

676

$

755

RECONCILIATION OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO ADJUSTED SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND CALCULATION OF RETURN ON EQUITY AND CORE RETURN ON EQUITY

Adjusted shareholders’ equity is shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, for the period presented, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment (excluding the portion related to net unrealized investment gains (losses)), preferred stock and discontinued operations.

Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Adjusted Shareholders’ Equity

As of March 31,

($ in millions)

2020

2019

Shareholders’ equity

$

25,204

$

24,340

Adjustments:

Net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

(1,785

)

(1,007

)

Net realized investment (gains) losses, net of tax

76

(41

)

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

$

23,495

$

23,292

As of December 31,

($ in millions)

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Shareholders’ equity

$25,943

$22,894

$23,731

$23,221

$23,598

$24,836

$24,796

$25,405

$24,477

$25,475

$27,415

$25,319

$26,616

$25,135

$22,303

Adjustments:

Net unrealized investment (gains) losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

(2,246)

113

(1,112)

(730)

(1,289)

(1,966)

(1,322)

(3,103)

(2,871)

(1,859)

(1,856)

146

(620)

(453)

(327)

Net realized investment (gains) losses, net of tax

(85)

(93)

(142)

(47)

(2)

(51)

(106)

(32)

(36)

(173)

(22)

271

(101)

(8)

(35)

Impact of TCJA at enactment

287

Preferred stock

(68)

(79)

(89)

(112)

(129)

(153)

Loss from discontinued operations

439

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

$23,612

$22,914

$22,764

$22,444

$22,307

$22,819

$23,368

$22,270

$21,570

$23,375

$25,458

$25,647

$25,783

$24,545

$22,227

Return on equity is the ratio of annualized net income (loss) less preferred dividends to average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. Core return on equity is the ratio of annualized core income (loss) less preferred dividends to adjusted average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. In the opinion of the Company’s management, these are important indicators of how well management creates value for its shareholders through its operating activities and its capital management.

Average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of total shareholders’ equity excluding preferred stock at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two. Adjusted average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of total adjusted shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two.

Calculation of Return on Equity and Core Return on Equity

Three Months Ended
March 31,

($ in millions, after-tax)

2020

2019

Annualized net income

$

2,398

$

3,186

Average shareholders’ equity

25,574

23,617

Return on equity

9.4

%

13.5

%

Annualized core income

$

2,702

$

3,020

Adjusted average shareholders’ equity

23,596

23,150

Core return on equity

11.5

%

13.0

%

Average annual core return on equity over a period is the ratio of: (a) the sum of core income less preferred dividends for the periods presented to (b) the sum of: (1) the sum of the adjusted average shareholders’ equity for all full years in the period presented and (2) for partial years in the period presented, the number of quarters in that partial year divided by four, multiplied by the adjusted average shareholders’ equity of the partial year.

Calculation of Average Annual Core Return on Equity from January 1, 2005 through March 31, 2020

Three Months

Ended March 31,

($ in millions)

2020

2019

Core income, less preferred dividends

$

676

$

755

Annualized core income

2,702

3,020

Adjusted average shareholders’ equity

23,596

23,150

Core return on equity

11.5

%

13.0

%

Average annual core return on equity for the period January 1, 2005 through March 31, 2020

12.8

%

Twelve Months Ended December 31,

($ in millions)

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

Core income, less preferred dividends

$2,537

$2,430

$2,043

$2,967

$3,437

$3,641

$3,567

$2,441

$1,389

$3,040

$3,597

$3,191

$4,496

$4,195

$2,020

Adjusted average shareholders’ equity

23,335

22,814

22,743

22,386

22,681

23,447

23,004

22,158

22,806

24,285

25,777

25,668

25,350

23,381

21,118

Core return on equity

10.9%

10.7%

9.0%

13.3%

15.2%

15.5%

15.5%

11.0%

6.1%

12.5%

14.0%

12.4%

17.7%

17.9%

9.6%

RECONCILIATION OF PRE-TAX UNDERWRITING GAIN EXCLUDING CERTAIN ITEMS TO NET INCOME

Underwriting gain (loss) is net earned premiums and fee income less claims and claim adjustment expenses and insurance-related expenses. In the opinion of the Company’s management, it is important to measure the profitability of each segment excluding the results of investing activities, which are managed separately from the insurance business. This measure is used to assess each segment’s business performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Pre-tax underwriting gain, excluding the impact of catastrophes and net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development, is the underwriting gain adjusted to exclude claims and claim adjustment expenses, reinstatement premiums and assessments related to catastrophes and loss reserve development related to time periods prior to the current year. In the opinion of the Company’s management, this measure is meaningful to users of the financial statements to understand the Company’s periodic earnings and the variability of earnings caused by the unpredictable nature (i.e., the timing and amount) of catastrophes and loss reserve development. This measure is also referred to as underlying underwriting margin or underlying underwriting gain.

A catastrophe is a severe loss designated a catastrophe by internationally recognized organizations that track and report on insured losses resulting from catastrophic events, such as Property Claim Services (PCS) for events in the United States and Canada. Catastrophes can be caused by various natural events, including, among others, hurricanes, tornadoes and other windstorms, earthquakes, hail, wildfires, severe winter weather, floods, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions and other naturally-occurring events, such as solar flares. Catastrophes can also be man-made, such as terrorist attacks and other intentionally destructive acts including those involving nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological events, cyber events, explosions and destruction of infrastructure. Each catastrophe has unique characteristics and catastrophes are not predictable as to timing or amount. Their effects are included in net and core income and claims and claim adjustment expense reserves upon occurrence. A catastrophe may result in the payment of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assessments from various pools.

The Company’s threshold for disclosing catastrophes is primarily determined at the reportable segment level. If a threshold for one segment or a combination thereof is exceeded and the other segments have losses from the same event, losses from the event are identified as catastrophe losses in the segment results and for the consolidated results of the Company. Additionally, an aggregate threshold is applied for international business across all reportable segments. The threshold for 2020 ranges from approximately $20 million to $30 million of losses before reinsurance and taxes.

Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development is the increase or decrease in incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses as a result of the re-estimation of claims and claim adjustment expense reserves at successive valuation dates for a given group of claims, which may be related to one or more prior years. In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of loss reserve development is meaningful to users of the financial statements as it allows them to assess the impact between prior and current year development on incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses, net and core income (loss), and changes in claims and claim adjustment expense reserve levels from period to period.

Components of Net Income

Three Months Ended
March 31,

($ in millions, after-tax except as noted)

2020

2019

Pre-tax underwriting gain excluding the impact of catastrophes and net prior year loss reserve development

$

594

$

537

Pre-tax impact of catastrophes

(333

)

(193

)

Pre-tax impact of net favorable prior year loss reserve development

27

51

Pre-tax underwriting gain

288

395

Income tax expense on underwriting results

68

88

Underwriting gain

220

307

Net investment income

519

496

Other income (expense), including interest expense

(63

)

(48

)

Core income

676

755

Net realized investment gains (losses)

(76

)

41

Net income

$

600

$

796

COMBINED RATIO AND ADJUSTMENTS FOR UNDERLYING COMBINED RATIO

Combined ratio: For Statutory Accounting Practices (SAP), the combined ratio is the sum of the SAP loss and LAE ratio and the SAP underwriting expense ratio as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The combined ratio, as used in this earnings release, is the equivalent of, and is calculated in the same manner as, the SAP combined ratio except that the SAP underwriting expense ratio is based on net written premiums and the underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release is based on net earned premiums.

For SAP, the loss and LAE ratio is the ratio of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses less certain administrative services fee income to net earned premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The loss and LAE ratio as used in this earnings release is calculated in the same manner as the SAP ratio.

For SAP, the underwriting expense ratio is the ratio of underwriting expenses incurred (including commissions paid), less certain administrative services fee income and billing and policy fees and other, to net written premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release, is the ratio of underwriting expenses (including the amortization of deferred acquisition costs), less certain administrative services fee income, billing and policy fees and other, to net earned premiums.

The combined ratio, loss and LAE ratio, and underwriting expense ratio are used as indicators of the Company’s underwriting discipline, efficiency in acquiring and servicing its business and overall underwriting profitability. A combined ratio under 100% generally indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio over 100% generally indicates an underwriting loss.

Underlying combined ratio represents the combined ratio excluding the impact of net prior year reserve development and catastrophes. The underlying combined ratio is an indicator of the Company’s underwriting discipline and underwriting profitability for the current accident year.

Other companies’ method of computing similarly titled measures may not be comparable to the Company’s method of computing these ratios.

Calculation of the Combined Ratio

Three Months Ended March 31,

($ in millions, pre-tax)

2020

2019

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio

Claims and claim adjustment expenses

$

4,789

$

4,442

Less:

Policyholder dividends

12

13

Allocated fee income

41

40

Loss ratio numerator

$

4,736

$

4,389

Underwriting expense ratio

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs

$

1,178

$

1,117

General and administrative expenses (G&A)

1,137

1,057

Less:

Non-insurance G&A

55

47

Allocated fee income

67

69

Billing and policy fees and other

28

27

Expense ratio numerator

$

2,165

$

2,031

Earned premium

$

7,229

$

6,855

Combined ratio (1)

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio

65.5

%

64.0

%

Underwriting expense ratio

30.0

%

29.7

%

Combined ratio

95.5

%

93.7

%

(1) For purposes of computing ratios, billing and policy fees and other (which are a component of other revenues) are allocated as a reduction of underwriting expenses. In addition, fee income is allocated as a reduction of losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses. In addition, G&A include non-insurance expenses that are excluded from underwriting expenses, and accordingly are excluded in calculating the combined ratio.

RECONCILIATION OF BOOK VALUE PER SHARE AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES

Book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Adjusted book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains and losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, adjusted book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value per share as it removes the effect of changing prices on invested assets (i.e., net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax), which do not have an equivalent impact on unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense reserves. Tangible book value per share is adjusted book value per share excluding the after-tax value of goodwill and other intangible assets divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, tangible book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value on a nominal basis as it removes certain effects of purchase accounting (i.e., goodwill and other intangible assets), in addition to the effect of changing prices on invested assets.

Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Tangible Shareholders’ Equity, Excluding Net Unrealized Investment Gains, Net of Tax

As of

($ in millions, except per share amounts)

March 31,
2020

December 31,
2019

Shareholders’ equity

$

25,204

$

25,943

Less: Net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

1,785

2,246

Shareholders’ equity, excluding net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

23,419

23,697

Less:

Goodwill

3,915

3,961

Other intangible assets

322

330

Impact of deferred tax on other intangible assets

(47

)

(51

)

Tangible shareholders’ equity

$

19,229

$

19,457

Common shares outstanding

252.8

255.5

Book value per share

$

99.69

$

101.55

Adjusted book value per share

92.63

92.76

Tangible book value per share

76.06

76.17

RECONCILIATION OF TOTAL CAPITALIZATION TO TOTAL CAPITALIZATION EXCLUDING NET UNREALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS, NET OF TAX

Total capitalization is the sum of total shareholders’ equity and debt. Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized gain on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, is the ratio of debt to total capitalization excluding the after-tax impact of net unrealized investment gains and losses included in shareholders’ equity. In the opinion of the Company’s management, the debt-to-capital ratio is useful in an analysis of the Company’s financial leverage.

As of

($ in millions)

March 31,
2020

December 31,
2019

Debt

$

6,559

$

6,558

Shareholders’ equity

25,204

25,943

Total capitalization

31,763

32,501

Less: Net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

1,785

2,246

Total capitalization excluding net unrealized gain on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

$

29,978

$

30,255

Debt-to-capital ratio

20.6

%

20.2

%

Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized investment gains, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity

21.9

%

21.7

%

OTHER DEFINITIONS

Gross written premiums reflect the direct and assumed contractually determined amounts charged to policyholders for the effective period of the contract based on the terms and conditions of the insurance contract. Net written premiums reflect gross written premiums less premiums ceded to reinsurers.

For Business Insurance and Bond & Specialty Insurance, retention is the amount of premium available for renewal that was retained, excluding rate and exposure changes. For Personal Insurance, retention is the ratio of the expected number of renewal policies that will be retained throughout the annual policy period to the number of available renewal base policies. For all of the segments, renewal rate change represents the estimated change in average premium on policies that renew, excluding exposure changes. Exposure is the measure of risk used in the pricing of an insurance product. The change in exposure is the amount of change in premium on policies that renew attributable to the change in portfolio risk. Renewal premium change represents the estimated change in average premium on policies that renew, including rate and exposure changes. New business is the amount of written premium related to new policyholders and additional products sold to existing policyholders. These are operating statistics, which are in part dependent on the use of estimates and are therefore subject to change. For Business Insurance, retention, renewal premium change and new business exclude National Accounts. For Bond & Specialty Insurance, retention, renewal premium change and new business exclude surety and other products that are generally sold on a non-recurring, project specific basis.

Statutory capital and surplus represents the excess of an insurance company’s admitted assets over its liabilities, including loss reserves, as determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices.

Holding company liquidity is the total funds available at the holding company level to fund general corporate purposes, primarily the payment of shareholder dividends and debt service. These funds consist of total cash, short-term invested assets and other readily marketable securities held by the holding company.

For a glossary of other financial terms used in this press release, we refer you to the Company’s most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 13, 2020, and subsequent periodic filings with the SEC.

Media:

Patrick Linehan

917.778.6267



Institutional Investors:

Abbe Goldstein

917.778.6825

Source: The Travelers Companies, Inc.

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