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Bladex (BLX) Tops Q4 EPS by 9c

February 28, 2019 7:16 AM

Bladex (NYSE: BLX) reported Q4 EPS of $0.52, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $0.43.

Mr. N. Gabriel Tolchinsky, Bladex's Chief Executive Officer, said, "In our third quarter 2018 conference call we mentioned that the credit quality of our portfolio, cost structure and allowances for expected credit losses, set the base to improve our earnings generation capacity. Our fourth quarter 2018 earnings are the first step in that direction.

Although still sub-par, growth rates of 2% – or slightly higher – are now possible for Latin America in 2019, we saw some recent positive news. Jair Bolsonaro\'s election hit the ground running with several market friendly announcements regarding opening the Brazilian economy and introducing fiscal adjustments reforms. The USMCA was a bright spot in an otherwise grim picture from Mexico. Argentina completed its IMF agreement, without the social unrest feared by some. Even Costa Rica, which stretched the patience of the rating agencies, managed to approve in their famous Sala IV a fiscal reform package.

That said, problem spots such as Mexico, which seems to be deviating from the macroeconomic policies established over the last 20 years, and Argentina, which is in the midst of a recession generated by restrictive IMF policies, will continue to increase volatility and dampen growth expectations.

At the same time, macroeconomic global risks are intensifying. Now we need to add the prospects of slowing economies in Europe and China (and possibly the U.S.) to a tense protectionist trade environment.

What does this all mean for Bladex? A macroeconomic context that offers no room for complacency as risks of major economies slowing and trade tensions continuing are partially counterbalanced by a somewhat better macroeconomic picture in a few key countries in Latin America.

Although our headline margins were impacted by low yielding liquidity due to higher than expected central bank deposits, Bladex continues to improve its origination. We have a better mix of medium-term to short-term loans, thereby lengthening the average life of our portfolio and increasing our origination margins.

Our NPLs declined due to asset sales, restructurings and partial write-offs. Our Tier 1 capital ratio remains strong. Our book value remains solid over $25 a share. On this basis, Bladex's Board of Directors approved to maintain our quarterly dividend.

Against this backdrop, both the management of Bladex, and its Board of Directors are cautiously optimistic for 2019 and look for an improvement in profitability throughout the year."

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Bladex (BLX) click here.

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