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Aflac (AFL) Tops Q4 EPS by 8c, Affirms FY19 EPS Outlook

January 31, 2019 4:21 PM

Aflac (NYSE: AFL) reported Q4 EPS of $1.02, $0.08 better than the analyst estimate of $0.94. Revenue for the quarter came in at $5.1 billion versus the consensus estimate of $5.36 billion.

OUTLOOK

Commenting on the company's results, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Daniel P. Amos stated: "We are pleased with the company's overall performance for the year. Total pretax adjusted earnings increased 6.6% driven by increased pretax profit margins in both the U.S. and Japan segments. Improved profitability is particularly impressive when considering we have stepped-up investment in our core technology platforms and growth initiatives. Investing in growth and innovation is a critical strategic focus for 2019. I am pleased with the Board's decision to increase the dividend, coming off our 36th consecutive year of dividend increases and a recognition of the stability of our earnings and capital generation. It also demonstrates our commitment to rewarding our shareholders.

"Aflac Japan, our largest earnings contributor, converted from a branch to a subsidiary at the beginning of April and generated strong financial performance. As we enter a new year, we expect to see a slight decline in Aflac Japan's total earned premium in 2019 mainly due to limited-pay policies reaching paid-up status. We expect net earned premium of third sector and first sector protection products combined to grow in the 1% to 2% range. Sales are expected to decline in the low-to-mid single digits coming off the highest third sector sales year in recent history, which included the very successful launch of our new cancer insurance products.

"Turning to our U.S. operations, we are pleased with a year of strong financial performance from Aflac U.S. in 2018, which includes elevated expenses as a result of accelerated investments in the platform post U.S. Tax Reform. In line with what we said on the most recent outlook call, we expect Aflac U.S. to deliver continued solid results in 2019 with earned premium growth of 2% to 3% and stable sales growth.

"We remain committed to maintaining strong capital ratios on behalf of our policyholders and maintaining a strong risk-based capital ratio in the U.S. and solvency margin ratio in Japan. We will also continue to reinvest in our business recognizing that prudent investment in our platform is also critical to our growth strategy and driving efficiencies that ultimately will impact the bottom line. We balance reinvestment with a focus on increasing the dividend and repurchasing shares. We expect share repurchase will be in the range of $1.3 to $1.7 billion in 2019, with the range allowing us to be more tactical in our deployment strategy. As always, this assumes stable capital conditions and the absence of compelling alternatives.

"As we look to 2019, our objective is to produce stable adjusted earnings per diluted share of $4.10 to $4.30, assuming the 2018 weighted-average exchange rate of 110.39 yen to the dollar. As always, we are working very hard to achieve our earnings-per-share objective while also ensuring we deliver on our promise to policyholders."

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Aflac (AFL) click here.

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