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Travelers Reports Third Quarter Net Income per Diluted Share of $2.62 and Core Income per Diluted Share of $2.54, Both Up Substantially from Prior Year Quarter

October 18, 2018 6:57 AM

Third Quarter Return on Equity of 12.6% and Core Return on Equity of 12.0%

NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- The Travelers Companies, Inc. today reported net income of $709 million, or $2.62 per diluted share, for the quarter ended September�30, 2018, compared to $293 million, or $1.05 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter. Core income in the current quarter was $687 million, or $2.54 per diluted share, compared to $253 million, or $0.91 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter. Core income before income taxes increased primarily due to a decrease in catastrophe losses of $436 million and an increase in net investment income of $58 million. Core income benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Net realized investment gains of $29 million pre-tax ($22 million after-tax) were lower by $32 million pre-tax ($18 million after-tax). Per diluted share amounts benefited from the impact of share repurchases.

Consolidated Highlights

($ in millions, except for per share amounts, and after-tax, except for
premiums and revenues)

Three Months Ended September 30,

Nine Months Ended September 30,

2018 2017 Change 2018 2017 Change
Net written premiums $ 7,062 $ 6,660 6 % $ 21,017 $ 19,795 6 %
Total revenues $ 7,723 $ 7,325 5 $ 22,486 $ 21,451 5
Net income $ 709 $ 293 142 $ 1,902 $ 1,505 26
per diluted share $ 2.62 $ 1.05 150 $ 6.97 $ 5.34 31
Core income $ 687 $ 253 172 $ 1,859 $ 1,410 32
per diluted share $ 2.54 $ 0.91 179 $ 6.81 $ 5.01 36
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding 268.4 276.6 (3 ) 271.1 279.6 (3 )
Combined ratio 96.6 % 103.2 % (6.6 ) pts 96.8 % 98.7 % (1.9 ) pts
Underlying combined ratio 93.0 % 92.8 % 0.2 pts 93.0 % 92.7 % 0.3 pts
Return on equity 12.6 % 4.9 % 7.7 pts 11.1 % 8.5 % 2.6 pts
Core return on equity 12.0 % 4.5 % 7.5 pts 10.9 % 8.3 % 2.6 pts
Change from
September 30,
2018
December 31,
2017
September 30,
2017
December 31,
2017
September 30,
2017
Book value per share $ 84.82 $ 87.46 $ 86.73 (3 )% (2 )%
Adjusted book value per share 86.51 83.36 83.06 4 4

See Glossary of Financial Measures for definitions and the statistical supplement for additional financial data.

“We are pleased to report strong third quarter results, including core income of $687 million and core return on equity of 12%,” said Alan Schnitzer, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “Our combined ratio improved from the prior year quarter to 96.6%, and we delivered a solid underlying combined ratio of 93.0%. Net earned premiums increased by 6% to a record $6.9 billion, which, together with our strategic focus on productivity and efficiency, resulted in an expense ratio of 29.7%, a terrific result. Net investment income of $646 million pre-tax was very strong, increasing by 10% over the prior year quarter due to higher returns in both our fixed income and private equity portfolios. In terms of capital management, we returned $607 million of excess capital to our shareholders this quarter, including $400 million through share repurchases, bringing total capital returned to shareholders year to date to approximately $1.8 billion.

“We remain very pleased with the execution of our marketplace strategies, as evidenced by a 6% increase in net written premiums to $7.1 billion. In Business Insurance, net written premiums were up 6%, benefiting from the ongoing roll out of our business centers and investments in technology and workflow, combined with strong execution by our domestic field organization. We again generated strong renewal premium change of 5.1%, while maintaining historically high retention of 86% and growing new business by 7%. In Bond & Specialty Insurance, net written premiums increased by 5%, with strong production in both our Management Liability and Surety businesses. In Personal Insurance, net written premium growth was strong at 6%, led by successful execution on our pricing strategy in Agency Automobile, which delivered renewal premium change of 8% as well as continued policies in-force growth in our leading Agency Homeowners business.

“We continue to make meaningful progress on our innovation agenda to extend our lead in risk expertise, provide great experiences for our customers, agents and brokers, and improve productivity and efficiency. In Personal Insurance, we teamed up with Amazon to launch an industry-first digital storefront. This initiative is designed to create new opportunities for us and our agents to attract and serve customers and help them take a more proactive approach to home safety in an increasingly digital world. In Business Insurance, we made a majority investment in Zensurance, a Toronto-based digital provider of online insurance solutions for small businesses, a natural fit with our Simply Business team. In Claim, we invested in Kittyhawk, the market leader in enterprise drone operations software, further enhancing our position as an industry leader in the use of drone technology, including to settle claims more quickly and efficiently. We are excited about these and other initiatives we have underway, which, along with our long-standing competitive advantages, position us well to continue to deliver industry-leading returns over time.”

Consolidated Results

Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) 2018 2017 Change 2018 2017 Change
Underwriting gain (loss): $ 198 $ (246 ) $ 444 $ 546 $ 138 $ 408

Underwriting gain (loss) includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development 14 15 (1 ) 350 299 51
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance (264 ) (700 ) 436 (1,106 ) (1,450 ) 344
Net investment income 646 588 58 1,844 1,796 48
Other income/(expense), including interest expense (67 ) (83 ) 16 (229 ) (210 ) (19 )
Core income before income taxes 777 259 518 2,161 1,724 437
Income tax expense 90 6 84 302 314 (12 )
Core income 687 253 434 1,859 1,410 449
Net realized investment gains after income taxes 22 40 (18 ) 43 95 (52 )
Net income $ 709 $ 293 $ 416 $ 1,902 $ 1,505 $ 397
Combined ratio 96.6 % 103.2 % (6.6 ) pts 96.8 % 98.7 % (1.9 ) pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development (0.2 ) pts (0.3 ) pts 0.1 pts (1.7 ) pts (1.6 ) pts (0.1 ) pts
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance 3.8 pts 10.7 pts (6.9 ) pts 5.5 pts 7.6 pts (2.1 ) pts
Underlying combined ratio 93.0 % 92.8 % 0.2 pts 93.0 % 92.7 % 0.3 pts
Net written premiums
Business Insurance $ 3,648 $ 3,434 6 % $ 11,423 $ 10,833 5 %
Bond & Specialty Insurance 644 611 5 1,871 1,753 7
Personal Insurance 2,770 2,615 6 7,723 7,209 7
Total $ 7,062 $ 6,660 6 % $ 21,017 $ 19,795 6 %

Third Quarter 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. third quarter 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Net income of $709 million increased $416 million due to higher core income, partially offset by lower net realized investment gains. Core income of $687 million increased $434 million. Core income before income taxes increased primarily due to a decrease in catastrophe losses of $436 million and an increase in net investment income of $58 million. Core income benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Net realized investment gains of $29 million pre-tax ($22 million after-tax) were lower by $32 million pre-tax ($18 million after-tax).

Underwriting results:

Net investment income of $646 million pre-tax ($547 million after-tax) increased 10%. Income from the fixed income investment portfolio increased due to a higher average level of fixed maturity investments and higher long-term reinvestment rates, as well as higher short-term interest rates. Private equity returns were higher than in the prior year quarter.

Net written premiums of $7.062 billion increased 6%, reflecting growth in all segments.

Year-to-Date 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. year-to-date 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Net income of $1.902 billion increased $397 million due to higher core income, partially offset by lower net realized investment gains. Core income of $1.859 billion increased $449 million. Core income before income taxes increased due to a decrease in catastrophe losses of $344 million, an increase in net favorable prior year reserve development of $51 million and an increase in net investment income of $48 million. Core income benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Net realized investment gains of $54 million pre-tax ($43 million after-tax) were lower by $92 million pre-tax ($52 million after-tax).

Underwriting results:

Net investment income of $1.844 billion pre-tax ($1.567 billion after-tax) increased 3%. Income from the fixed income investment portfolio increased due to a higher average level of fixed maturity investments and higher short-term interest rates, partially offset by lower long-term reinvestment rates. Private equity returns were lower than in the prior year period.

Record net written premiums of $21.017 billion increased 6%, reflecting growth in all segments.

Shareholders’ Equity

Shareholders’ equity of $22.460 billion decreased 5% from year-end 2017 due to the impact of higher interest rates on net unrealized investment gains/(losses). Net unrealized investment losses included in shareholders’ equity were $560 million pre-tax ($447 million after-tax), compared to net unrealized investment gains of $1.414 billion pre-tax ($1.112 billion after-tax) at year-end 2017. Book value per share of $84.82 decreased 3% from year-end 2017, also due to the impact of higher interest rates on net unrealized investment gains/(losses), and adjusted book value per share of $86.51 increased 4% from year-end 2017.

The Company repurchased 3.1 million shares during the third quarter at an average price of $130.22 per share for a total cost of $400 million. Capacity remaining under the existing share repurchase authorization was $3.456 billion at the end of the quarter. At the end of third quarter 2018, statutory capital and surplus was $20.462 billion and the ratio of debt-to-capital was 22.6%. The ratio of debt-to-capital excluding after-tax net unrealized investment gains/(losses) included in shareholders’ equity was 22.3%, within the Company’s target range of 15% to 25%.

The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.77 per share. This dividend is payable on December 31, 2018, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on December 10, 2018.

Business Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) 2018 2017 Change 2018 2017 Change
Underwriting gain (loss): $ (36 ) $ (364 ) $ 328 $ 69 $ (148 ) $ 217

Underwriting gain (loss) includes:

Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year reserve development (56 ) 9 (65 ) 94 195 (101 )
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance (136 ) (489 ) 353 (442 ) (805 ) 363
Net investment income 482 437 45 1,368 1,337 31
Other income/(expense) 4 (2 ) 6 (3 ) 22 (25 )
Segment income before income taxes 450 71 379 1,434 1,211 223
Income tax expense (benefit) 40 (34 ) 74 187 235 (48 )
Segment income $ 410 $ 105 $ 305 $ 1,247 $ 976 $ 271
Combined ratio 100.6 % 109.8 % (9.2 ) pts 99.0 % 101.0 % (2.0 ) pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net (favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development 1.5 pts (0.3 ) pts 1.8 pts (0.9 ) pts (1.9 ) pts 1.0 pts
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance 3.7 pts 13.7 pts (10.0 ) pts 4.1 pts 7.7 pts (3.6 ) pts
Underlying combined ratio 95.4 % 96.4 % (1.0 ) pts 95.8 % 95.2 % 0.6 pts
Net written premiums by market
Domestic
Select Accounts $ 666 $ 664 % $ 2,168 $ 2,139 1 %
Middle Market 2,032 1,896 7 6,279 5,893 7
National Accounts 238 244 (2 ) 778 751 4
National Property and Other 485 428 13 1,383 1,310 6
Total Domestic 3,421 3,232 6 10,608 10,093 5
International 227 202 12 815 740 10
Total $ 3,648 $ 3,434 6 % $ 11,423 $ 10,833 5 %

Third Quarter 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. third quarter 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Business Insurance was $410 million, an increase of $305 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from significantly lower catastrophe losses, higher net investment income and a higher underlying underwriting gain, partially offset by net unfavorable prior year reserve development in the current quarter versus net favorable prior year reserve development in the prior year quarter. The higher underlying underwriting gain was primarily driven by normal quarterly variability in loss and expense activity, including a lower level of non-catastrophe fire-related losses, partially offset by a higher level of non-catastrophe weather-related losses. Segment income in the current quarter benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $3.648 billion increased 6%, benefiting from continued strong retention, higher renewal premium change and higher levels of new business.

Year-to-Date 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. year-to-date 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Business Insurance was $1.247 billion, an increase of $271 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from significantly lower catastrophe losses and slightly higher net investment income, partially offset by lower net favorable prior year reserve development and a slightly lower underlying underwriting gain. Segment income in the current period benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Segment income in the prior year period included a $15 million benefit from the resolution of prior year tax matters.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $11.423 billion increased 5% and benefited from the same factors discussed above for the third quarter of 2018.

Bond�& Specialty Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) 2018 2017 Change 2018 2017 Change
Underwriting gain: $ 183 $ 129 $ 54 $ 526 $ 418 $ 108

Underwriting gain includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development 53 6 47 177 98 79
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance (4 ) (6 ) 2 (9 ) (8 ) (1 )
Net investment income 57 57 172 174 (2 )
Other income 4 5 (1 ) 13 16 (3 )
Segment income before income taxes 244 191 53 711 608 103
Income tax expense 48 55 (7 ) 138 164 (26 )
Segment income $ 196 $ 136 $ 60 $ 573 $ 444 $ 129
Combined ratio 70.2 % 77.7 % (7.5 ) pts 70.4 % 75.3 % (4.9 ) pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development (8.7 ) pts (0.9 ) pts (7.8 ) pts (9.9 ) pts (5.7 ) pts (4.2 ) pts
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance 0.6 pts 0.9 pts (0.3 ) pts 0.5 pts 0.5 pts pts
Underlying combined ratio 78.3 % 77.7 % 0.6 pts 79.8 % 80.5 % (0.7 ) pts
Net written premiums
Domestic
Management Liability $ 379 $ 359 6 % $ 1,089 $ 1,030 6 %
Surety 217 212 2 637 597 7
Total Domestic 596 571 4 1,726 1,627 6
International 48 40 20 145 126 15
Total $ 644 $ 611 5 % $ 1,871 $ 1,753 7 %

Third Quarter 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. third quarter 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Bond & Specialty Insurance was $196 million, an increase of $60 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from higher net favorable prior year reserve development. Segment income in the current quarter benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $644 million increased 5%, reflecting continued strong retention and record new business in management liability and an increase in surety premiums.

Year-to-Date 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. year-to-date 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Bond & Specialty Insurance was $573 million, an increase of $129 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from higher net favorable prior year reserve development and a higher underlying underwriting gain. The higher underlying underwriting gain primarily resulted from higher business volumes. Segment income in the current period benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Segment income in the prior year period included a $17 million benefit from the resolution of prior year tax matters.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $1.871 billion increased 7% from the prior year period and benefited from the same factors as discussed above for the third quarter of 2018.

Personal Insurance Segment Financial Results

Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30,
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) 2018 2017 Change 2018 2017 Change
Underwriting gain/(loss): $ 51 $ (11 ) $ 62 $ (49 ) $ (132 ) $ 83

Underwriting gain/(loss) includes:

Net favorable prior year reserve development 17 17 79 6 73
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance (124 ) (205 ) 81 (655 ) (637 ) (18 )
Net investment income 107 94 13 304 285 19
Other income 17 14 3 48 45 3
Segment income before income taxes 175 97 78 303 198 105
Income tax expense 22 20 2 38 20 18
Segment income $ 153 $ 77 $ 76 $ 265 $ 178 $ 87

Combined ratio

97.2 % 99.7 % (2.5 ) pts 99.9 % 101.1 % (1.2 ) pts

Impact on combined ratio

Net favorable prior year reserve development (0.6 ) pts pts (0.6 ) pts (1.1 ) pts (0.1 ) pts (1.0 ) pts
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance 4.9 pts 8.7 pts (3.8 ) pts 8.9 pts 9.3 pts (0.4 ) pts
Underlying combined ratio 92.9 % 91.0 % 1.9 pts 92.1 % 91.9 % 0.2 pts
Net written premiums
Domestic
Agency (1)
Automobile $ 1,305 $ 1,228 6 % $ 3,746 $ 3,474 8 %
Homeowners & Other 1,168 1,107 6 3,137 2,978 5
Total Agency 2,473 2,335 6 6,883 6,452 7
Direct to Consumer 108 100 8 299 271 10
Total Domestic 2,581 2,435 6 7,182 6,723 7
International 189 180 5 541 486 11
Total $ 2,770 $ 2,615 6 % $ 7,723 $ 7,209 7 %

(1)�Represents business sold through agents, brokers and other intermediaries, and excludes direct to consumer.

Third Quarter 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. third quarter 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Personal Insurance was $153 million, an increase of $76 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from lower catastrophe losses, higher net favorable prior year reserve development and higher net investment income, partially offset by a lower underlying underwriting gain. The lower underlying underwriting gain was primarily driven by higher non-catastrophe weather-related losses in Agency Homeowners & Other, partially offset by earned pricing that exceeded loss cost trends in Agency Automobile. Segment income in the current quarter benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $2.770 billion increased 6%. Agency Automobile net written premiums grew 6%, driven by renewal premium change of 8%. Agency Homeowners & Other net written premiums grew 6%, benefiting from year-over-year policies in force growth of 6% and positive renewal premium change.

Year-to-Date 2018 Results
(All comparisons vs. year-to-date 2017, unless noted otherwise)

Segment income for Personal Insurance was $265 million, an increase of $87 million. Segment income before income taxes benefited from higher net favorable prior year reserve development, a higher underlying underwriting gain and higher net investment income, partially offset by higher catastrophe losses. The higher underlying underwriting gain was primarily driven by earned pricing that exceeded loss cost trends in Agency Automobile, partially offset by normal variability in loss activity in Agency Homeowners & Other. Segment income in the current period benefited from a lower U.S. corporate income tax rate. Segment income in the prior year period included a $7 million benefit from the resolution of prior year income tax matters.

Underwriting results:

Net written premiums of $7.723 billion increased 7%. Agency Automobile net written premiums grew 8%, and Agency Homeowners & Other net written premiums grew 5%, benefiting from the same factors as discussed above for the third quarter of 2018.

Financial Supplement and Conference Call

The information in this press release should be read in conjunction with a financial supplement that is available on our website at www.travelers.com. Travelers management will discuss the contents of this release and other relevant topics via webcast at 9 a.m. Eastern (8 a.m. Central) on Thursday, October�18, 2018. Investors can access the call via webcast at http://investor.travelers.com or by dialing 1.866.393.4306 within the United States and 1.734.385.2616 outside the United States. Prior to the webcast, a slide presentation pertaining to the quarterly earnings will be available on the Company’s website.

Following the live event, an audio playback of the webcast and the slide presentation will be available on the same website.

About Travelers

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE: TRV) is a leading provider of property casualty insurance for auto, home and business. A component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Travelers has approximately 30,000 employees and generated revenues of approximately $29 billion in 2017. For more information, visit www.travelers.com.

Travelers may use its website and/or social media outlets, such as Facebook and Twitter, as distribution channels of material Company information.�Financial and other important information regarding the Company is routinely accessible through and posted on our website at http://investor.travelers.com, our Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/travelers and our Twitter account (@Travelers) at https://twitter.com/travelers. In addition, you may automatically receive email alerts and other information about Travelers when you enroll your email address by visiting the Email Notifications section at http://investor.travelers.com.

Travelers is organized into the following reportable business segments:

Business Insurance - Business Insurance offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance and insurance related services to its customers, primarily in the United States, as well as in Canada, the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Brazil and throughout other parts of the world as a corporate member of Lloyd’s.

Bond & Specialty Insurance - Bond & Specialty Insurance provides surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services to its customers in the United States and certain specialty insurance products in Canada, the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland and Brazil, utilizing various degrees of financially-based underwriting approaches.

Personal Insurance - Personal Insurance writes a broad range of property and casualty insurance covering individuals’ personal risks, primarily in the United States, as well as in Canada. The primary products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages.

* * * * *

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains, and management may make, certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, may be forward-looking statements. Words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “likely,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar expressions are used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements include, among other things, the Company’s statements about:

The Company cautions investors that such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the Company’s control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.

Some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to, the following:

Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release or as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of these factors, see the information under the captions “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on February 15, 2018, as updated by our periodic filings with the SEC.

*****

GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL MEASURES AND RECONCILIATIONS OF GAAP MEASURES TO NON-GAAP MEASURES

The following measures are used by the Company’s management to evaluate financial performance against historical results and establish targets on a consolidated basis. In some cases, these measures are considered non-GAAP financial measures under applicable SEC rules because they are not displayed as separate line items in the consolidated financial statements or are not required to be disclosed in the notes to financial statements or, in some cases, include or exclude certain items not ordinarily included or excluded in the most comparable GAAP financial measure. Reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures also follow.

In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of these measures provides investors, financial analysts, rating agencies and other financial statement users with a better understanding of the significant factors that comprise the Company’s periodic results of operations and how management evaluates the Company’s financial performance. Internally, the Company’s management uses these measures to evaluate performance against historical results, to establish financial targets on a consolidated basis and for other reasons, which are discussed below.

Some of these measures exclude net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, and/or net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, which can be significantly impacted by both discretionary and other economic factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends.

Other companies may calculate these measures differently, and, therefore, their measures may not be comparable to those used by the Company’s management.

RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO CORE INCOME AND CERTAIN OTHER NON-GAAP MEASURES

Core income (loss) is consolidated net income (loss) excluding the after-tax impact of net realized investment gains (losses), discontinued operations, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principles when applicable. Segment income (loss) is determined in the same manner as core income (loss) on a segment basis. Management uses segment income (loss) to analyze each segment’s performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Financial statement users also consider core income (loss) when analyzing the results and trends of insurance companies. Core income (loss) per share is core income (loss) on a per common share basis.

Reconciliation of Net Income to Core Income less Preferred Dividends

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, after-tax) 2018 2017 2018 2017
Net income $ 709 $ 293 $ 1,902 $ 1,505
Less: Net realized investment gains (22 ) (40 ) (43 ) (95 )
Core income $ 687 $ 253 $ 1,859 $ 1,410

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, pre-tax) 2018 2017 2018 2017
Net income $ 806 $ 320 $ 2,215 $ 1,870
Less: Net realized investment gains (29 ) (61 ) (54 ) (146 )
Core income $ 777 $ 259 $ 2,161 $ 1,724
Twelve Months Ended December 31,
($ in millions, after-tax) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Net income $ 2,056 $ 3,014 $ 3,439 $ 3,692 $ 3,673 $ 2,473 $ 1,426 $ 3,216 $ 3,622 $ 2,924 $ 4,601 $ 4,208 $ 1,622
Less: Loss from discontinued operations (439 )
Income from continuing operations 2,056 3,014 3,439 3,692 3,673 2,473 1,426 3,216 3,622 2,924 4,601 4,208 2,061
Adjustments:
Net realized investment (gains) losses (142 ) (47 ) (2 ) (51 ) (106 ) (32 ) (36 ) (173 ) (22 ) 271 (101 ) (8 ) (35 )
Impact of TCJA at enactment (1) 129
Core income 2,043 2,967 3,437 3,641 3,567 2,441 1,390 3,043 3,600 3,195 4,500 4,200 2,026
Less: Preferred dividends 1 3 3 4 4 5 6
Core income, less preferred dividends $ 2,043 $ 2,967 $ 3,437 $ 3,641 $ 3,567 $ 2,441 $ 1,389 $ 3,040 $ 3,597 $ 3,191 $ 4,496 $ 4,195 $ 2,020

(1) Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA)

Reconciliation of Net Income per Share to Core Income per Share on a Basic and Diluted Basis

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

2018 2017 2018 2017

Basic income per share

Net income $ 2.65 $ 1.06 $ 7.03 $ 5.39
Adjustments:
Net realized investment gains, after-tax (0.09 ) (0.14 ) (0.16 ) (0.34 )
Core income $ 2.56 $ 0.92 $ 6.87 $ 5.05

Diluted income per share

Net income $ 2.62 $ 1.05 $ 6.97 $ 5.34
Adjustments:
Net realized investment gains, after-tax (0.08 ) (0.14 ) (0.16 ) (0.33 )
Core income $ 2.54 $ 0.91 $ 6.81 $ 5.01

Reconciliation of Segment Income to Total Core Income

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, after-tax) 2018 2017 2018 2017
Business Insurance $ 410 $ 105 $ 1,247 $ 976
Bond & Specialty Insurance 196 136 573 444
Personal Insurance 153 77 265 178
Total segment income 759 318 2,085 1,598
Interest Expense and Other (72 ) (65 ) (226 ) (188 )
Total core income $ 687 $ 253 $ 1,859 $ 1,410

RECONCILIATION OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO ADJUSTED SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND CALCULATION OF RETURN ON EQUITY AND CORE RETURN ON EQUITY

Adjusted shareholders’ equity is shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, for the period presented, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment (excluding the portion related to net unrealized investment gains (losses)), preferred stock and discontinued operations.

Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Adjusted Shareholders’ Equity

As of September 30,

($ in millions) 2018 2017
Shareholders’ equity $ 22,460 $ 23,738
Adjustments:
Net unrealized investment (gains) losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity 447 (1,006 )
Net realized investment gains, net of tax

(43

)

(95 )
Adjusted shareholders’ equity $ 22,864 $ 22,637
As of December 31,
($ in millions) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Shareholders’ equity $ 23,731 $ 23,221 $ 23,598 $ 24,836 $ 24,796 $ 25,405 $ 24,477 $ 25,475 $ 27,415 $ 25,319 $ 26,616 $ 25,135 $ 22,303
Adjustments:
Net unrealized investment (gains) losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity (1,112 ) (730 ) (1,289 ) (1,966 ) (1,322 ) (3,103 ) (2,871 ) (1,859 ) (1,856 ) 146 (620 )

(453

)

(327

)

Net realized investment (gains) losses, net of tax (142 ) (47 ) (2 ) (51 ) (106 ) (32 ) (36 ) (173 ) (22 ) 271 (101 )

(8

)

(35

)

Impact of TCJA at enactment (1) 287
Preferred stock (68 ) (79 ) (89 ) (112 )

(129

)

(153

)

Loss from discontinued operations 439
Adjusted shareholders’ equity $ 22,764 $ 22,444 $ 22,307 $ 22,819 $ 23,368 $ 22,270 $ 21,570 $ 23,375 $ 25,458 $ 25,647 $ 25,783 $ 24,545 $ 22,227

(1) Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA)

Return on equity is the ratio of annualized net income less preferred dividends to average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. Core return on equity is the ratio of annualized core income less preferred dividends to adjusted average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. In the opinion of the Company’s management, these are important indicators of how well management creates value for its shareholders through its operating activities and its capital management.

Average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of total shareholders’ equity excluding preferred stock at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two. Adjusted average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of adjusted shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two.

Calculation of Return on Equity and Core Return on Equity

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, after-tax) 2018 2017 2018 2017
Annualized net income $ 2,838 $ 1,172 $ 2,536 $ 2,007
Average shareholders’ equity 22,541 23,798 22,899 23,650
Return on equity 12.6 % 4.9 % 11.1 % 8.5 %
Annualized core income $ 2,746 $ 1,015 $ 2,478 $ 1,880
Adjusted average shareholders’ equity 22,809 22,758 22,774 22,725
Core return on equity 12.0 % 4.5 % 10.9 % 8.3 %

Average annual core return on equity over a period is the ratio of:
a) the sum of core income less preferred dividends for the periods presented to b) the sum of: 1) the sum of the adjusted average shareholders’ equity for all full years in the period presented, and 2) for partial years in the period presented, the number of quarters in that partial year divided by four, multiplied by the adjusted average shareholders’ equity of the partial year.

Calculation of Average Annual Core Return on Equity from January�1, 2005 through September�30, 2018

Nine Months
Ended
September 30,

Twelve Months Ended December 31,
($ in millions) 2018 2017 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Core income, less preferred dividends $ 1,859 $ 1,410 $ 2,043 $ 2,967 $ 3,437 $ 3,641 $ 3,567 $ 2,441 $ 1,389 $ 3,040 $ 3,597 $ 3,191 $ 4,496 $ 4,195 $ 2,020
Annualized core income 2,478 1,880
Adjusted average shareholders’ equity 22,774 22,725 22,743 22,386 22,681 23,447 23,004 22,158 22,806 24,285 25,777 25,668 25,350 23,381 21,118
Core return on equity 10.9 % 8.3 % 9.0 % 13.3 % 15.2 % 15.5 % 15.5 % 11.0 % 6.1 % 12.5 % 14.0 % 12.4 % 17.7 % 17.9 % 9.6 %
Average annual core return on equity for the period Jan. 1, 2005 through Sept. 30, 2018 13.0 %

RECONCILIATION OF PRE-TAX UNDERWRITING GAIN EXCLUDING CERTAIN ITEMS TO NET INCOME

Underwriting gain (loss) is net earned premiums and fee income less claims and claim adjustment expenses and insurance-related expenses. In the opinion of the Company’s management, it is important to measure the profitability of each segment excluding the results of investing activities, which are managed separately from the insurance business. This measure is used to assess each segment’s business performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Pre-tax underwriting gain, excluding the impact of catastrophes and net favorable prior year loss reserve development, is the underwriting gain adjusted to exclude claims and claim adjustment expenses, reinstatement premiums and assessments related to catastrophes and loss reserve development related to time periods prior to the current year. In the opinion of the Company’s management, this measure is meaningful to users of the financial statements to understand the Company’s periodic earnings and the variability of earnings caused by the unpredictable nature (i.e., the timing and amount) of catastrophes and loss reserve development. This measure is also referred to as underlying underwriting margin or underlying underwriting gain.

A catastrophe is a severe loss designated a catastrophe by internationally recognized organizations that track and report on insured losses resulting from catastrophic events, such as Property Claim Services (PCS) for events in the United States and Canada. Catastrophes can be caused by various natural events, including, among others, hurricanes, tornadoes and other windstorms, earthquakes, hail, wildfires, severe winter weather, floods, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions and other naturally occurring events, such as solar flares. Catastrophes can also be man-made, such as terrorist attacks and other intentionally destructive acts including those involving nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events, cyber attacks, explosions and infrastructure failures. Each catastrophe has unique characteristics and catastrophes are not predictable as to timing or amount. Their effects are included in net and core income and claims and claim adjustment expense reserves upon occurrence. A catastrophe may result in the payment of reinsurance reinstatement premiums and assessments from various pools.

The Company’s threshold for disclosing catastrophes is primarily determined at the reportable segment level. If a threshold for one segment or a combination thereof is exceeded and the other segments have losses from the same event, losses from the event are identified as catastrophe losses in the segment results and for the consolidated results of the Company. Additionally, an aggregate threshold is applied for international business across all reportable segments. The threshold for 2018 ranges from approximately $18 million to $30 million of losses before reinsurance and taxes.

Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development is the increase or decrease in incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses as a result of the re-estimation of claims and claim adjustment expense reserves at successive valuation dates for a given group of claims, which may be related to one or more prior years. In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of loss reserve development is meaningful to users of the financial statements as it allows them to assess the impact between prior and current year development on incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses, net and core income (loss), and changes in claims and claim adjustment expense reserve levels from period to period.

Components of Net Income

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, after-tax except as noted) 2018 2017 2018 2017
Pre-tax underwriting gain excluding the impact of catastrophes and net favorable prior year loss reserve development $ 448 $ 439 $ 1,302 $ 1,289
Pre-tax impact of catastrophes (264 ) (700 ) (1,106 ) (1,450 )
Pre-tax impact of net favorable prior year loss reserve development 14 15 350 299
Pre-tax underwriting gain (loss) 198 (246 ) 546 138
Income tax expense (benefit) on underwriting results 4 (93 ) 69 4
Underwriting gain (loss) 194 (153 ) 477 134
Net investment income 547 457 1,567 1,405
Other income (expense), including interest expense (54 ) (51 ) (185 ) (129 )
Core income 687 253 1,859 1,410
Net realized investment gains 22 40 43 95
Net income $ 709 $ 293 $ 1,902 $ 1,505

COMBINED RATIO AND ADJUSTMENTS FOR UNDERLYING COMBINED RATIO

Combined ratio: For Statutory Accounting Practices (SAP), the combined ratio is the sum of the SAP loss and LAE ratio and the SAP underwriting expense ratio as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The combined ratio as used in this earnings release is the equivalent of, and is calculated in the same manner as, the SAP combined ratio except that the SAP underwriting expense ratio is based on net written premiums and the underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release is based on net earned premiums.

For SAP, the loss and LAE ratio is the ratio of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses less certain administrative services fee income to net earned premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The loss and LAE ratio as used in this earnings release is calculated in the same manner as the SAP ratio.

For SAP, the underwriting expense ratio is the ratio of underwriting expenses incurred (including commissions paid), less certain administrative services fee income and billing and policy fees, to net written premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release, is the ratio of underwriting expenses (including the amortization of deferred acquisition costs), less certain administrative services fee income, billing and policy fees and other, to net earned premiums.

The combined ratio, loss and LAE ratio, and underwriting expense ratio are used as indicators of the Company’s underwriting discipline, efficiency in acquiring and servicing its business and overall underwriting profitability. A combined ratio under 100% generally indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio over 100% generally indicates an underwriting loss.

Underlying combined ratio represents the combined ratio excluding the impact of net prior year reserve development and catastrophes.�The underlying combined ratio is an indicator of the Company’s underwriting discipline and underwriting profitability for the current accident year.

Other companies’ method of computing similarly titled measures may not be comparable to the Company’s method of computing these ratios.

Calculation of the Combined Ratio

Three Months Ended
September 30,

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

($ in millions, pre-tax) 2018 2017 2018 2017

Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio

Claims and claim adjustment expenses $ 4,655 $ 4,806 $ 13,513 $ 13,125
Less:
Policyholder dividends 12 12 37 38
Allocated fee income 38 42 115 126

Loss ratio numerator

$ 4,605 $ 4,752 $ 13,361 $ 12,961

Underwriting expense ratio

Amortization of deferred acquisition costs $ 1,117 $ 1,059 $ 3,259 $ 3,094
General and administrative expenses (G&A) 1,059 1,045 3,234 3,086
Less:
Non-insurance G&A 38 28 114 44
Allocated fee income 71 71 209 216
Billing and policy fees and other 24 22 69 67
Expense ratio numerator $ 2,043 $ 1,983 $ 6,101 $ 5,853
Earned premium $ 6,882 $ 6,523 $ 20,114 $ 19,057
Combined ratio (1)
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio 66.9 % 72.8 % 66.5 % 68.0 %
Underwriting expense ratio 29.7 % 30.4 % 30.3 % 30.7 %
Combined ratio 96.6 % 103.2 % 96.8 % 98.7 %

(1) For purposes of computing ratios, billing and policy fees and other (which are a component of other revenues) are allocated as a reduction of underwriting expenses. In addition, fee income is allocated as a reduction of losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses. In addition, G&A include non-insurance expenses that are excluded from underwriting expenses, and accordingly are excluded in calculating the combined ratio.

RECONCILIATION OF BOOK VALUE PER SHARE AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES

Book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Adjusted book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains and losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, adjusted book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value per share as it removes the effect of changing prices on invested assets (i.e., net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax), which do not have an equivalent impact on unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense reserves. Tangible book value per share is adjusted book value per share excluding the after-tax value of goodwill and other intangible assets divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, tangible book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value on a nominal basis as it removes certain effects of purchase accounting (i.e., goodwill and other intangible assets), in addition to the effect of changing prices on invested assets.

Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Tangible Shareholders’ Equity, Excluding Net Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses), Net of Tax

As of
($ in millions, except per share amounts)

September 30,
2018

December 31,
2017
September 30,
2017
Shareholders’ equity $ 22,460 $ 23,731 $ 23,738
Less: Net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity (447 ) 1,112 1,006
Shareholders’ equity, excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity 22,907 22,619 22,732
Less:
Goodwill 3,958 3,951 3,946
Other intangible assets 351 342 345
Impact of deferred tax on other intangible assets (44 ) (44 ) (66 )
Tangible shareholders’ equity $ 18,642 $ 18,370 $ 18,507
Common shares outstanding 264.8 271.4 273.7
Book value per share $ 84.82 $ 87.46 $ 86.73
Adjusted book value per share 86.51 83.36 83.06
Tangible book value per share 70.40 67.70 67.62

RECONCILIATION OF TOTAL CAPITALIZATION TO TOTAL CAPITALIZATION EXCLUDING NET UNREALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS (LOSSES), NET OF TAX

Total capitalization is the sum of total shareholders’ equity and debt. Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized gain (loss) on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, is�the ratio of debt�to�total capitalization excluding the after-tax impact of net unrealized investment gains and losses included in shareholders’ equity.�In the opinion of the Company’s management, the debt-to-capital ratio is useful in an analysis of the Company’s financial leverage.

As of
($ in millions) September 30,
2018
December 31,
2017
September 30,
2017
Debt $ 6,564 $ 6,571 $ 6,921
Shareholders’ equity 22,460 23,731 23,738
Total capitalization 29,024 30,302 30,659
Less: Net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity (447 ) 1,112 1,006
Total capitalization excluding net unrealized gain (loss) on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity $ 29,471 $ 29,190 $ 29,653
Debt-to-capital ratio 22.6 % 21.7 % 22.6 %
Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity 22.3 % 22.5 % 23.3 %

OTHER DEFINITIONS

Gross written premiums reflect the direct and assumed contractually determined amounts charged to policyholders for the effective period of the contract based on the terms and conditions of the insurance contract. Net written premiums reflect gross written premiums less premiums ceded to reinsurers.

For Business Insurance and Bond & Specialty Insurance, retention is the amount of premium available for renewal that was retained, excluding rate and exposure changes. For Personal Insurance, retention is the ratio of the expected number of renewal policies that will be retained throughout the annual policy period to the number of available renewal base policies. For all of the segments, renewal rate change represents the estimated change in average premium on policies that renew, excluding exposure changes. Exposure is the measure of risk used in the pricing of an insurance product. The change in exposure is the amount of change in premium on policies that renew attributable to the change in portfolio risk. Renewal premium change represents the estimated change in average premium on policies that renew, including rate and exposure changes. New business is the amount of written premium related to new policyholders and additional products sold to existing policyholders. These are operating statistics, which are in part dependent on the use of estimates and are therefore subject to change.�For Business Insurance, retention, renewal premium change and new business exclude National Accounts. For Bond & Specialty Insurance, retention, renewal premium change and new business exclude surety.

Statutory capital and surplus represents the excess of an insurance company’s admitted assets over its liabilities, including loss reserves, as determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices.

Holding company liquidity is the total funds available at the holding company level to fund general corporate purposes, primarily the payment of shareholder dividends and debt service. These funds consist of total cash, short-term invested assets and other readily marketable securities held by the holding company.

For a glossary of other financial terms used in this press release, we refer you to the Company’s most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on February 15, 2018, and subsequent periodic filings with the SEC.

The Travelers Companies, Inc.

Media:

Patrick Linehan, 917-778-6267

or

Institutional Investors:

Abbe Goldstein, 917-778-6825

or

Seth Rosenberg, 917-778-6877

Source: The Travelers Companies, Inc.

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