Vail Resorts (MTN) Tops Q4 EPS by 38c, Miss on Revenues; FY18 EBITDA Guidance Between $652M-$682M

September 28, 2017 6:49 AM

Vail Resorts (NYSE: MTN) reported Q4 EPS of ($1.43), $0.38 better than the analyst estimate of ($1.81). Revenue for the quarter came in at $209.12 million versus the consensus estimate of $210.12 million.



Commenting on guidance for fiscal 2018, Katz said, \"Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. is expected to be between $234 million and $272 million in fiscal 2018. We estimate Resort Reported EBITDA for fiscal 2018 will be between $652 million and $682 million. Our Resort Reported EBITDA guidance includes the first full fiscal year of operating results for Whistler Blackcomb and Stowe and also includes an estimated $2.6 million of anticipated integration related expenses. Given the very strong performance at Whistler Blackcomb in fiscal 2017, we expect the resort\'s fiscal 2018 contribution will exceed our initial expectations but the year-over-year growth will be slower due to the outperformance in fiscal 2017. We do expect to see a rebound in our performance in Colorado, assuming more normal early season conditions, an earlier Easter holiday and more available lodging inventory in both Vail and Breckenridge. We expect Stowe\'s fiscal 2018 results to be in line with our previously issued expectations. We expect Resort EBITDA Margin to be approximately 31.9% in fiscal 2018, using the midpoint of the guidance range. This is an estimated 50 basis point increase over fiscal 2017. We estimate fiscal 2018 Real Estate Reported EBITDA to be between negative $8 million and negative $2 million. Net Real Estate Cash Flow is expected to be between $0 million and $10 million, excluding our expected $4.3 million contribution to the Town of Vail parking structure. All of these estimates are predicated on an exchange rate of $0.81 between the Canadian Dollar and U.S. Dollar, related to the operations of Whistler Blackcomb in Canada and an exchange rate of $0.80 between the Australian Dollar and U.S. Dollar, related to the operations of Perisher in Australia.

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Vail Resorts (MTN) click here.


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