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Harley-Davidson Reports Second Quarter 2016 Earnings

July 28, 2016 6:55 AM

MILWAUKEE, July 28, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HOG) second quarter 2016 diluted earnings per share increased 7.6 percent to $1.55 compared to diluted EPS of $1.44 in the same period in 2015. Net income was $280.4 million on consolidated revenue of $1.86 billion compared to net income of $299.8 million on consolidated revenue of $1.82 billion in last year's second quarter.

Harley-Davidson worldwide retail motorcycle sales in the second quarter were down 1.9 percent on weak U.S. industry results. Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales in the U.S. were down 5.2 percent compared to the year-ago quarter, with the overall U.S. industry down 8.6 percent for the same period. Harley-Davidson U.S. market share for the quarter was 49.5 percent, an increase of 2.0 points over the same period in 2015. International retail sales increased by 4.3 percent over the prior year quarter.

"We are pleased with our ability to gain market share in the U.S.," said Matt Levatich, President and Chief Executive Officer, Harley-Davidson, Inc. "Competitiveness in the U.S. remains intense, and our demand-driving investments are showing traction."

Through six months, Harley-Davidson's 2016 net income was $530.9 million on consolidated revenue of $3.61 billion compared to six-month 2015 net income of $569.7 million on consolidated revenue of $3.50 billion. Six-month 2016 diluted EPS was $2.91, up 7.4 percent from $2.71 in the year-ago period. Worldwide retail motorcycle sales were down 0.6 percent from the same period in 2015. International sales were up 4.4 percent, offset by a 3.4 percent decline in U.S. retail sales.

Given market softness in the U.S., the continued competitive environment and global economic uncertainty, the company is taking the precautionary step of lowering its full-year shipment guidance. The company now expects to ship 264,000 to 269,000 motorcycles to dealers worldwide in 2016. This action is consistent with the company's long-standing commitment to manage supply in line with demand.

"While our investments to grow product awareness and ridership globally are beginning to take hold in a number of markets, current conditions in the U.S. and economic headwinds in other parts of the world combine to raise caution for us as we continue to focus our strategy to drive demand and deliver strong returns to shareholders," said Levatich.

Retail Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Sales

2nd Quarter

Six Months

2016

2015

Change

2016

2015

Change

Americas Region

U.S.

54,786

57,790

(5.2)%

90,112

93,278

(3.4)%

Canada

3,813

3,737

2.0%

6,283

5,860

7.2%

Latin America

2,573

2,708

(5.0)%

4,459

5,273

(15.4)%

Europe, Middle East, Africa (EMEA) Region

17,513

16,179

8.2%

27,723

25,567

8.4%

Asia Pacific Region

8,581

8,517

0.8%

16,147

15,614

3.4%

Worldwide Total

87,266

88,931

(1.9)%

144,724

145,592

(0.6)%

Retail sales in EMEA were up 8.2 percent in the second quarter and 8.4 percent for the first six months behind a strong reception to the new 2016 motorcycle models and increased demand driving investments. Asia Pacific retail sales were up 0.8 percent in the quarter and up 3.4 percent for the first six months compared to 2015. Canada retail sales grew 2.0 percent in the quarter and 7.2 percent for the first six months versus a year ago as the market continued to respond favorably to the company's transition to direct distribution.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment Results

$ in thousands

2nd Quarter

Six Months

2016

2015

Change

2016

2015

Change

Motorcycle Shipments (vehicles)

88,160

85,172

3.5%

171,196

164,761

3.9%

Revenue

Motorcycles

$1,330,632

$1,308,837

1.7%

$2,648,210

$2,563,958

3.3%

Parts & Accessories

$258,208

$256,840

0.5%

$441,913

$440,712

0.3%

General Merchandise

$75,757

$77,518

(2.3)%

$146,375

$143,946

1.7%

Gross Margin Percent

36.4%

39.2%

(2.8) pts

36.9%

39.1%

(2.2) pts

Operating Income

$322,749

$380,603

(15.2)%

$655,206

$726,057

(9.8)%

Operating Margin Percent

19.3%

23.1%

(3.8)pts

20.2%

23.0%

(2.8)pts

Revenue from motorcycles and related products was up versus the prior quarter behind increased motorcycle shipments. Operating margin as a percent of revenue decreased versus the prior year primarily as a result of lower than expected gross margin driven by unfavorable mix, currency and manufacturing expenses.

Financial Services Segment Results

$ in thousands

2nd Quarter

Six Months

2016

2015

Change

2016

2015

Change

Revenue

$190,964

$173,609

10.0%

$364,322

$335,984

8.4%

Operating Income

$89,573

$81,913

9.4%

$145,944

$146,577

(0.4)%

Financial services operating income was higher in the second quarter compared to the year ago period driven by a $9.3 million gain generated from a full securitization.

Guidance Harley-Davidson is revising its full-year guidance for motorcycle shipments and now expects to ship 264,000 to 269,000 motorcycles to dealers worldwide in 2016, which is approximately down 1 percent to up 1 percent from 2015. The company had previously provided full-year shipment guidance of 269,000 to 274,000 motorcycles. In the third quarter, the company expects to ship 48,500 to 53,500 motorcycles compared to 53,472 motorcycles shipped in the year-ago period. The company now expects full-year 2016 operating margin of approximately 15 to 16 percent for the Motorcycles segment, compared to prior guidance of 16 to 17 percent. The company continues to expect 2016 capital expenditures for Harley-Davidson, Inc. of $255 million to $275 million.

Income Tax Rate For the first half of 2016, Harley-Davidson's effective tax rate was 32.7 percent compared to 34.9 percent in 2015. The lower rate is due to the successful closure of various tax audits. The company now expects its full-year 2016 effective tax rate will be approximately 33 percent.

Cash Flow Cash and marketable securities totaled $869.7 million at the end of the second quarter, compared to $1.30 billion in the year-ago quarter. During the first six months of 2016, Harley-Davidson generated $456.3 million of cash from operating activities compared to $613.9 million for the same period in 2015.

Shareholder Returns The company paid a cash dividend of $0.35 per share for the second quarter for a total of $0.70 for the first six months of 2016. On a discretionary basis, the company repurchased 2.6 million shares of Harley-Davidson common stock for $118.9 million. In the second quarter of 2016, there were approximately 181.3 million weighted-average diluted shares outstanding, compared to approximately 208.6 million shares in the year-ago quarter. At the end of the second quarter, 23.0 million shares remained on board-approved share repurchase authorizations.

Company Background Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Since 1903, Harley-Davidson Motor Company has fulfilled dreams of personal freedom with custom, cruiser and touring motorcycles, riding experiences and events and a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise, riding gear and apparel. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing, insurance, extended service and other protection plans and credit card programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and riders in the U.S., Canada and other select international markets. For more information, visit Harley-Davidson's Web site at www.harley-davidson.com.

Conference Call and Webcast Presentation Harley-Davidson will discuss second-quarter results on a Webcast at 8:00 a.m. CT today. The supporting slides will be posted prior to the call and can be accessed at http://investor.harley-davidson.com under "Events and Presentations." The audio portion of today's call will also be posted beginning approximately two hours after the call concludes.

Forward-Looking Statements The company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are "forward-looking statements" intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the company "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "plans," or "estimates" or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, unfavorably or favorably, from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

The company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the company's ability to (i) execute its business strategy, (ii) manage through changes in general economic conditions, including changing capital, credit and retail markets, and political events, (iii) accurately estimate and adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (iv) prevent a cybersecurity breach involving consumer, employee, dealer, supplier, or company data and respond to evolving regulatory requirements regarding data security, (v) drive demand by executing its marketing strategy of appealing to and growing sales to multi-generational and multi-cultural customers worldwide in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS' loan portfolio, (vii) develop and introduce products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (viii) balance production volumes for its new motorcycles with consumer demand, including in circumstances where competitors may be supplying new motorcycles to the market in excess of demand at reduced prices, (ix) manage the impact that prices for and supply of used motorcycles may have on its business, including on retail sales of new motorcycles, (x) prevent and detect any issues with its motorcycles or any associated manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, regulatory agency investigations, increased warranty costs or litigation and adverse effects on its reputation and brand strength, (xi) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributors and dealers and manage the risks that its independent dealers may have difficulty obtaining capital and managing through changing economic conditions and consumer demand, (xii) manage risks that arise through expanding international manufacturing, operations and sales, (xiii) manage through the effects inconsistent and unpredictable weather patterns may have on retail sales of motorcycles, (xiv) manage supply chain issues, including quality issues and any unexpected interruptions or price increases caused by raw material shortages or natural disasters, (xv) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology systems, including systems at its manufacturing facilities, (xvi) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (xvii) manage its exposure to product liability claims and commercial or contractual disputes, (xviii) execute its flexible production strategy, (xix) adjust to healthcare inflation and reform, pension reform and tax changes, (xx) retain and attract talented employees, (xxi) successfully access the capital and/or credit markets on terms (including interest rates) that are acceptable to the company and within its expectations, and (xxii) continue to manage the relationships and agreements that the company has with its labor unions to help drive long-term competitiveness.

In addition, the company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The company's ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the company's independent dealers to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the company. In addition, the company's independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

(In thousands, except per share amounts)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

Three months ended

Six months ended

June 26,

June 28,

June 26,

June 28,

2016

2015

2016

2015

Motorcycles and related products revenue

$ 1,670,113

$ 1,650,783

$ 3,246,723

$ 3,161,353

Gross profit

607,558

647,214

1,197,838

1,237,489

Selling, administrative and engineering expense

284,809

266,611

542,632

511,432

Operating income from motorcycles & related products

322,749

380,603

655,206

726,057

Financial services revenue

190,964

173,609

364,322

335,984

Financial services expense

101,391

91,696

218,378

189,407

Operating income from financial services

89,573

81,913

145,944

146,577

Operating income

412,322

462,516

801,150

872,634

Investment income

688

1,450

1,454

2,772

Interest expense

7,094

9

14,262

18

Income before income taxes

405,916

463,957

788,342

875,388

Provision for income taxes

125,485

164,147

257,422

305,724

Net income

$ 280,431

$ 299,810

$ 530,920

$ 569,664

Earnings per common share:

Basic

$ 1.55

$ 1.44

$ 2.92

$ 2.72

Diluted

$ 1.55

$ 1.44

$ 2.91

$ 2.71

Weighted-average common shares:

Basic

180,587

207,650

181,976

209,115

Diluted

181,339

208,590

182,740

210,165

Cash dividends per common share

$ 0.35

$ 0.31

$ 0.70

$ 0.62

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets(1)

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

June 26,

December 31,

June 28,

2016

2015

2015

ASSETS

Current assets:

Cash and cash equivalents

$ 864,670

$ 722,209

$ 1,247,579

Marketable securities

5,070

45,192

52,516

Accounts receivable, net

311,956

247,405

277,569

Finance receivables, net

2,457,974

2,053,582

2,331,723

Inventories

371,196

585,907

395,044

Restricted cash

78,078

88,267

136,760

Other current assets

270,080

235,321

248,787

Total current assets

4,359,024

3,977,883

4,689,978

Finance receivables, net

4,824,071

4,814,571

4,816,772

Other long-term assets

1,165,345

1,180,523

1,042,444

$ 10,348,440

$ 9,972,977

$ 10,549,194

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Current liabilities:

Accounts payable & accrued liabilities

$ 759,507

$ 707,578

$ 856,373

Short-term debt

1,020,487

1,201,380

114,983

Current portion of long-term debt, net

732,773

838,349

1,544,956

Total current liabilities

2,512,767

2,747,307

2,516,312

Long-term debt, net

5,308,063

4,832,469

4,551,083

Pension and postretirement healthcare liabilities

318,311

358,547

263,155

Other long-term liabilities

188,292

195,000

195,017

Total shareholders' equity

2,021,007

1,839,654

3,023,627

$ 10,348,440

$ 9,972,977

$ 10,549,194

(1) ASU 2015-03 Interest - Imputation of Interest (Subtopic 835-30) Simplifying the Presentation of Debt Issuance Costs was adopted retrospectively on January 1, 2016. Debt issuance costs in Other current assets and Other long-term assets have been reclassified to Current-portion of long-term debt, net and Long-term debt, net for 2015 balances to reflect the adoption of the new guidance.

Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(In thousands)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

Six months ended

June 26,

June 28,

2016

2015

Net cash provided by operating activities

$ 456,290

$ 613,944

Cash flows from investing activities:

Capital expenditures

(107,531)

(85,180)

Finance receivables, net

(361,171)

(406,132)

Proceeds from sale of finance receivables

312,571

-

Net change in marketable securities

40,000

4,500

Other

166

5,111

Net cash used by investing activities

(115,965)

(481,701)

Cash flows from financing activities:

Proceeds from issuance of medium-term notes

1,193,396

595,386

Repayments of medium-term notes

(450,000)

-

Proceeds from securitization debt

-

1,195,668

Repayments of securitization debt

(385,837)

(454,332)

Net decrease in credit facilities and unsecured commercial paper

(181,259)

(616,586)

Borrowings of asset-backed commercial paper

33,428

40,209

Repayments of asset-backed commercial paper

(34,989)

(35,730)

Net change in restricted cash

17,992

(40,159)

Dividends paid

(127,800)

(129,745)

Purchase of common stock for treasury

(269,411)

(358,425)

Excess tax benefits from share-based payments

331

2,401

Issuance of common stock under employee stock option plans

2,367

15,664

Net cash (used by) provided by financing activities

(201,782)

214,351

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents

3,918

(5,695)

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents

$ 142,461

$ 340,899

Cash and cash equivalents:

Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period

$ 722,209

$ 906,680

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents

142,461

340,899

Cash and cash equivalents - end of period

$ 864,670

$ 1,247,579

Motorcycles and Related Products Revenue and

Motorcycle Shipment Data

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

(Unaudited)

Three months ended

Six months ended

June 26,

June 28,

June 26,

June 28,

2016

2015

2016

2015

MOTORCYCLES AND RELATED PRODUCTS REVENUE (in thousands)

Motorcycles

$ 1,330,632

$ 1,308,837

$ 2,648,210

$ 2,563,958

Parts & Accessories

258,208

256,840

441,913

440,712

General Merchandise

75,757

77,518

146,375

143,946

Other

5,516

7,588

10,225

12,737

$ 1,670,113

$ 1,650,783

$ 3,246,723

$ 3,161,353

MOTORCYCLE SHIPMENTS:

United States

57,804

55,128

115,439

111,792

International

30,356

30,044

55,757

52,969

Total

88,160

85,172

171,196

164,761

MOTORCYCLE PRODUCT MIX:

Touring

27,675

34,563

66,172

73,360

Cruiser

37,655

29,952

64,584

53,348

Sportster® / Street

22,830

20,657

40,440

38,053

Total

88,160

85,172

171,196

164,761

Worldwide Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles(1)

Three months ended

Six months ended

June 30,

June 30,

June 30,

June 30,

2016

2015

2016

2015

Americas Region

United States

54,786

57,790

90,112

93,278

Canada

3,813

3,737

6,283

5,860

Latin America

2,573

2,708

4,459

5,273

Total Americas Region

61,172

64,235

100,854

104,411

Europe, Middle East and Africa Region (EMEA)

Europe(2)

15,188

14,150

23,783

22,279

Other

2,325

2,029

3,940

3,288

Total EMEA Region

17,513

16,179

27,723

25,567

Asia Pacific Region

Japan

2,763

2,580

4,869

4,552

Other

5,818

5,937

11,278

11,062

Total Asia Pacific Region

8,581

8,517

16,147

15,614

Total Worldwide Retail Sales

87,266

88,931

144,724

145,592

Total International Retail Sales

32,480

31,141

54,612

52,314

(1) Data source for retail sales figures shown above is new sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning new retail sales, and this information is subject to revision.

(2) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.

Motorcycle Registration Data(1)

Six months ended

June 30,

June 30,

2016

2015

United States(2)

177,447

187,163

Europe(3)

248,519

229,277

(1) Data includes on-road 601+cc models. On-road 601+cc models include dual purpose models, three-wheeled motorcycles and autocycles.

(2) United States data is derived from information provided by Motorcycle Industry Council (MIC). This third party data is subject to revision and update.

(3) Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 601+cc models derived from information provided by Association des Constructeurs Europeens de Motocycles (ACEM), an independent agency. This third-party data is subject to revision and update.

To view the original version on PR Newswire, visit:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/harley-davidson-reports-second-quarter-2016-earnings-300305349.html

SOURCE Harley-Davidson, Inc.

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