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U.S. Steel (X) Tops Q2 EPS by 18c, Offers Outlook

July 26, 2016 4:57 PM

U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) reported Q2 EPS of ($0.31), $0.18 better than the analyst estimate of ($0.49). Revenue for the quarter came in at $2.58 million versus the consensus estimate of $2.67 million.

GUIDANCE:

U.S. Steel sees FY2016 EPS of $0.34, may not compare the consensus of ($1.83).

2016 Outlook

Commenting on U. S. Steel's outlook for 2016, Longhi said, "The significant improvements we have made to our earnings power through our Carnegie Way transformation will become more apparent as market prices recover from the very low levels at the end of 2015. While we began to realize some benefit from recent price increases in the second quarter, we will see better average realized prices, primarily in our Flat-Rolled and European segments, in the second half of the year. The steel industry continues to face challenging conditions as a result of global overcapacity and unfair trade practices. We remain focused on improving our trade laws and their enforcement, and we are encouraged that final affirmative determinations in recent trade cases have been a catalyst for increasing steel prices. Our Carnegie Way journey continues to create improvements in our business model that will enable us to be profitable across the business cycle."

If market conditions, which include spot prices, customer demand, import volumes, supply chain inventories, rig counts and energy prices, remain at their current levels, we would expect:

2016 net earnings to be approximately $50 million, or $0.34 per share, and adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $850 million.
Results for our Flat-Rolled and European segments should each be higher than their 2015 results and results for our Tubular segment should be lower than their 2015 results.
To be cash positive for the year, including approximately $400 million of cash benefits from working capital improvements in 2016, primarily related to better inventory management, driven by improved sales and operations planning practices, helping to offset growing accounts receivables balances.

We believe market conditions will change, and as changes occur during the balance of 2016, our net earnings and adjusted EBITDA should change consistent with the pace and magnitude of changes in market conditions.

We expect improved results for Other Businesses, primarily from real estate, and approximately $60 million of post retirement benefit income.

For earnings history and earnings-related data on U.S. Steel (X) click here.

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Earnings Guidance

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