Carriage Services (CSV) Tops Q1 EPS by 1c; Offers Rolling Four-Quarter Outlook
Carriage Services (NYSE: CSV) reported Q1 EPS of $0.47, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $0.46. Revenue for the quarter came in at $63.3 million versus the consensus estimate of $63.67 million.
ROLLING FOUR QUARTER OUTLOOK
The Rolling Four Quarter Outlook ("Outlook") reflects management's opinion on the performance of the portfolio of existing businesses, including performance of existing trusts, and excludes size and timing of acquisitions for the Rolling Four Quarter Outlook period ending March 31, 2017 unless we have a signed Letter of Intent and high likelihood of a closing within 90 days. This Outlook is not intended to be management estimates or forecasts of our future performance, as we believe precise estimates will be precisely wrong all the time. Rather our intent and goal is to reflect a "roughly right range" most of the time of future Rolling Four Quarter Outlook performance as we execute our Standards Operating, Strategic Acquisition and 4E Leadership Models over time. Similarly, we self-publish a Company and Investment Profile, available on our website, that includes a Five Year "Roughly Right Scenario" of our future performance which together with our Five Year Trend Report provides investors a ten year past and future profile of our financial value creation dynamics and condition, making it easier to judge whether our "trends will continue to be the friend" of long term investors.
The Rolling Four Quarter Outlook ending March 31, 2017 includes one business under Letter of Intent expected to close by the end of May 2016. As such, we are raising our Rolling Four Quarter Outlook of Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share by $0.02 to a range of $1.71 - $1.75 for the period ending March 31, 2017.
ROLLING FOUR QUARTER OUTLOOK – Period Ending March 31, 2017
Range (in millions, except per share amounts) | ||
Revenues | $251 - $255 | |
Adjusted Consolidated EBITDA | $74 - $78 | |
Adjusted Net Income | $29 - $31 | |
Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share(1) | $1.71 - $1.75 |
Factors affecting our analysis include, among others, funeral contract volumes, average revenue per funeral service, cemetery interment volumes, preneed cemetery sales, capital expenditures, execution of our funeral and cemetery Standards Operating Model, market volatility and changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy. Revenues, Adjusted Consolidated EBITDA, Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share for the four quarter period ending March 31, 2017 are expected to improve relative to the trailing four quarter period ending March 31, 2016 due to increases in our existing Funeral Home and Cemetery portfolio and modest decreases in overhead as a percentage of revenue.
(1) | The Rolling Four Quarter Outlook on Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share does not include any changes to our fully diluted share count that could occur related to additional share repurchases or a stock price increase and EPS dilution calculations related to our convertible subordinated notes and outstanding and exercisable stock options. |
For earnings history and earnings-related data on Carriage Services (CSV) click here.
