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Restaurant Brands (QSR), Good Results But Another Victim of FX - PiperJaffray

February 17, 2016 10:56 AM

Piper Jaffray analyst, Nicole Miller Regan,cut her PT on Restaurant Brands International (NYSE: QSR) due to industry multiple compression after 4Q15 results were better-than expected. No change to Overweight rating.

Fourth-quarter results were betterthan-expected with total revenues at $6.0 billion and system-wide same-store sales of +3.9% at the BK brand and +6.3% at the TH brand. At BK, North America same-store sales were +2.8% as food platforms (including the new hot dog offering) appear to be in place to continue evolving and capitalizing on the BK brand heritage. At TH, Canada same-store sales were +6.4% as the team levers brand value, grows day part opportunities, and strategically culls the portfolio.

The analyst maintained the FY16 EPS forecast of $1.26 as better-than expected results at least partially offset foreign exchange rate weakness over the near-term. This business model continues to generate substantial cash flows, and the current model does not reflect any material cost saves, share repurchase or increase in dividend payout ratio. From a sensitivity perspective every 1x turn in the EBITDA multiple equates to $4/share.

PT goes to $40 from $50 on 17x FY16E EV/EBITDA on industry multiple have compression.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Restaurant Brands International click here. For more ratings news on Restaurant Brands International click here.

Shares of Restaurant Brands International closed at $33.82 yesterday.

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