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Kinder Morgan (KMI) Reports In-Line Q4 DCF, Offers Outlook

January 20, 2016 4:09 PM

Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI) reported adjusted Q4 DCF of $0.55, in-line with the analyst estimate of $0.55. Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.64 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.9 billion.

Consistent with KMI's 2016 guidance provided on Dec. 8, 2015, KMI expects to declare dividends of $0.50 per share for 2016 and use cash in excess of dividend payments to fully fund growth investments.

2016 Outlook

On Dec. 8, 2015, KMI issued its preliminary financial projections for 2016. Since providing this guidance, the company has updated its 2016 budget to reflect current commodity price and foreign exchange rate expectations as well as its high-graded investment plan. As a result, for 2016, KMI expects to declare dividends of $0.50 per share, generate approximately $4.9 billion of distributable cash flow available to equity holders and approximately $4.7 billion of distributable cash flow available to common shareholders (i.e., after payment of preferred dividends) and generate approximately $3.6 billion of cash flow in excess of its dividend. KMI's revised growth capital budget for 2016 is approximately $3.3 billion which is a reduction of approximately $900 million from the preliminary 2016 guidance. These expectations assume an average 2016 West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price of $38 per barrel, an average 2016 Henry Hub natural gas price of $2.50 per MMBtu and interest rates consistent with the current forward curve.

The overwhelming majority of cash generated by KMI is fee-based and therefore is not directly exposed to commodity prices. The primary area where KMI has commodity price sensitivity is in its CO2 segment, where KMI hedges the majority of its next 12 months of oil production to minimize this sensitivity. For 2016, the company estimates that every $1 per barrel change in the average WTI crude oil price impacts distributable cash flow by approximately $7 million and each $0.10 per MMBtu change in the price of natural gas impacts distributable cash flow by approximately $1.2 million.

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Kinder Morgan (KMI) click here.

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