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Knight Transportation (KNX) Cuts Q4 EPS Outlook

December 17, 2015 4:08 PM

Knight Transportation, Inc. (NYSE: KNX) Q4 provided an update on its guidance for the fourth quarter of 2015.

Based on preliminary results, Knight now expects earnings per diluted share will range from:

*** The Street consensus is at Q4 EPS of $0.37.

Several factors have negatively impacted the fourth quarter of 2015, which has resulted in expected earnings below original estimates. In 2014 we experienced a 5% increase in revenue per total mile sequentially from third quarter to fourth quarter. This was a result of a freight environment with tight capacity and significant non-contract opportunities. In 2015, as a result of excess capacity entering the market, we are experiencing a more typical sequential improvement in revenue per mile from the third quarter to fourth quarter that would compare closer to 2012 and 2013. Volumes in the fourth quarter remain similar to 2014, however, we have experienced significantly less non-contract opportunities. This has resulted in revenue per total mile trending lower than our originally targeted level, which impacted both our trucking and logistics segments and negatively impacted our earnings per diluted share approximately $0.03 - $0.04 when compared to our previous guidance. During the quarter we increased driver pay in specific areas of the company, which resulted in higher driver pay inflation than originally estimated. The softening used equipment market also resulted in our gain on sale of used equipment trending lower than expected. We expect the impact of both driver pay and gain on sale to be approximately $0.01 - $0.02 per diluted share when compared to our previous guidance. We are beginning to see indications that capacity has peaked and may be beginning to decline. These indications include weak new truck orders and the second consecutive quarter of a softening used equipment market. We also believe the recently published electronic logging devices (ELD) mandate will constrain capacity in coming quarters.

Dave Jackson, President and Chief Executive Officer of Knight stated, “The current freight environment presents some challenges, largely as a result of truckload capacity growth, that we believe is temporary and short term in nature. We believe our model positions us well for the opportunities we expect in coming quarters. We continue to explore growth through acquisition and believe the current environment will yield opportunities.”

Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call

Knight Transportation expects to release its 2015 fourth quarter earnings on Wednesday, January 27th, 2016, after market close. Knight will be holding a live conference call with analysts and investors to discuss the earnings release, the results of operations, and other matters after its earnings press release on Wednesday, January 27th, 2016, at 4:30 pm EST. (Please note that, since the call will begin promptly as scheduled, you will need to join a few minutes prior to that time.) Slides to accompany this call will be posted on the company’s website and will be available to download just prior to the scheduled conference call. To view the presentation, please visit http://investor.knighttrans.com/events, “Fourth Quarter 2015 Conference Call Presentation.”

The public will be able to listen and participate in the conference telephonically by dialing (855) 733-9163. An audio replay of the conference will be posted on the Company’s website for at least seven (7) days after the meeting (www.knighttrans.com/shareholders/audio).

The Company assumes no responsibility to update any information posted on its web site.

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