Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Tops Q3 EPS by 5c
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) reported Q3 EPS of $0.58, $0.05 better than the analyst estimate of $0.53. Revenue for the quarter came in at $283.4 million versus the consensus estimate of $287.44 million.
Comparable restaurant revenue increased 3.5% in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the same period a year ago, driven by a 3.6% increase in average guest check and offset by 0.1% decrease in guest count
“Our guests continue to react favorably to our restaurant upgrades and our menu innovation, both of which are critical in this increasingly competitive environment,” said Steve Carley, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. chief executive officer. “Our third quarter sales increase is the direct result of guests enjoying more of what we have to offer.”
Outlook for 2015
Red Robin’s 2015 fiscal year consists of 52 weeks and will end on December 27, 2015.
In fiscal year 2015, the Company expects comparable revenue growth of approximately 2.5% and total revenue growth near 11.0%. The Company plans to open 20 new Red Robin restaurants and three Red Robin Burger Works in fiscal year 2015 resulting in operating week growth, inclusive of 2014 acquisitions, approaching 8.5%.
Capital investments in fiscal year 2015 are expected to be approximately $170 million. In addition to the new restaurant openings, the Company plans to relocate three restaurants and remodel approximately 150 Red Robin restaurants as part of its Brand Transformation Initiative.
Restaurant-level operating profit margin (a non-GAAP financial measure) in fiscal year 2015 is expected to be approximately 22.3%.
General and administrative costs are expected to be between $102 million and $103 million, while selling expenses are expected to be approximately 3.3% of sales. Pre-opening expense is expected to be approximately $7.0 million. Depreciation and amortization is projected to be between $78 million and $79 million.
Interest expense is expected to be approximately $4.0 million while the income tax rate in fiscal year 2015 is expected to be approximately 26.5%.
The sensitivity of the Company’s earnings per diluted share to a 1% change in guest counts for fiscal year 2015 is estimated to be $0.33 on an annualized basis. Additionally, a 10 basis point change in restaurant-level operating profit margin is expected to impact earnings per diluted share by approximately $0.08, and a change of approximately $145,000 in pre-tax income or expense is equivalent to approximately $0.01 per diluted share.
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