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Deere & Co. (DE) Tops Q3 EPS by 9c; Trims Outlook

August 21, 2015 7:00 AM

(Updated - August 21, 2015 7:04 AM EDT)

Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE) reported Q3 EPS of $1.53, $0.09 better than the analyst estimate of $1.44. Revenue for the quarter came in at $6.84 billion versus the consensus estimate of $7.17 billion.

Company Outlook & Summary

Company equipment sales are projected to decrease about 21 percent for fiscal 2015 and to be down about 24 percent for the fourth quarter compared with year-ago periods. (Deere previously saw a 19 percent drop in 2015.) Included in the forecast is a negative foreign-currency translation effect of about 4 percent for the full year and 5 percent for the fourth quarter. For fiscal 2015, net income attributable to Deere & Company is anticipated to be about $1.8 billion. (Deere was previously looking for FY15 net income of about $1.9 billion.)

According to Allen, Deere's performance in 2015 underscores its success establishing a wider range of revenue sources and more durable business model. "By continuing to report solid profits in a difficult environment, the company is showing great resilience and performing much better than in previous agricultural downturns."

Market Conditions & Outlook

Agriculture & Turf. Deere's worldwide sales of agriculture and turf equipment are forecast to decrease by about 25 percent for fiscal-year 2015, including a negative currency-translation effect of about 5 percent.

*** The company was previously looking for a 24 percent decrease.

Lower commodity prices and falling farm incomes are continuing to pressure demand for agricultural machinery, with the declines most pronounced in higher-horsepower models. Conditions are more positive in the U.S. livestock sector, supporting some improvement in the sales of smaller sizes of equipment. Based on these factors, industry sales for agricultural equipment in the U.S. and Canada are forecast to be down about 25 percent for 2015.

Full-year 2015 industry sales in the EU28 are forecast to be down about 10 percent, with the decline attributable to lower crop prices and farm incomes as well as pressure on the dairy sector. In South America, industry sales of tractors and combines are projected to be down 20 to 25 percent mainly as a result of economic uncertainty in Brazil and higher interest rates on government-sponsored financing. Asian sales are projected to be down moderately, with most of the decline in India and China. Industry sales in the Commonwealth of Independent States are expected to be down significantly due to economic pressures and tight credit conditions.

Industry sales of turf and utility equipment in the U.S. and Canada are expected to be flat to up 5 percent for 2015, benefiting from general economic growth.

Construction & Forestry. Deere's worldwide sales of construction and forestry equipment are forecast to be down about 5 percent for 2015, including a negative currency-translation effect of about 3 percent.

**** Deere previously said worldwide sales of construction and forestry equipment would increase by about 2 percent for 2015, including a negative currency-translation effect of about 3 percent.

The forecast decline in sales reflects the impact of weakening conditions in the North American energy sector, as well as lower sales outside the U.S. and Canada. In forestry, global sales are expected to be flat to up 5 percent in comparison with last year's attractive levels, as gains in the U.S. and Europe are offset by declines elsewhere.

Financial Services. Fiscal-year 2015 net income attributable to Deere & Company for the financial services operations is expected to be approximately $630 million. The forecast improvement over last year is primarily due to the divestiture of the crop insurance business and growth in the average credit portfolio. These factors are being partially offset by less favorable financing spreads, a less favorable tax rate, and an increased provision for credit losses.

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Deere & Co. (DE) click here.

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