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Devon Energy (DVN) PT Cut to $53 at UBS Following Cost-Driven EPS Beat; Sees Material Reduction in 2016 Capex vs Consensus

August 5, 2015 12:24 PM

UBS analyst William Featherston reiterated an Neutral rating on Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN) while lowering his price target to $53.00 (from $70.00) following Q2 results which beat the street on lower cost. The firm sees a material reduction in 2016 Capex versus the consensus.

Featherston commented, "Clean 2Q EPS/CFPS of $0.78/$2.95 were comfortably above consensus & UBSe of $0.43/$2.72 & 0.38/$2.39, respectively; variance vs UBS was driven by lower per-unit costs, higher G&P income, & higher NGL realizations. Core 2Q volumes rose 9% YoY to 674 MBoed, in line with guidance of 660-688 MBoed & consensus of ~675 MBoed. Price realizations fell 20% YoY to $5.61/Mcfe but were 3% above UBSe. Unit costs fell 4% YoY to $4.96/Mcfe & were 5% below our forecast. We raised our '15-16E CFPS from $9.96/$8.21 to $10.75/$8.45 on the 2Q beat and lower cost guidance."

DVN reiterated its '15 production guidance of 650-684 MBoed. Meanwhile, DVN trimmed its 2015 capex budget by $100MM to $4.4-$4.8bn. "While DVN continues to target rough capex/cash balance in '16, it can cut Canadian & exploration spending by ~$1bn next year which should enable it to hold liquids volumes flat with 4Q15 while natgas prod'n should continue to decline. We forecast a $3.5bn budget with 2% YoY prod'n decline but 4% YoY oil growth in '16. However, consensus capex is $4.8bn with no volume growth, implying consensus underestimates DVN's capital efficiency improvements."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Devon Energy click here. For more ratings news on Devon Energy click here.

Shares of Devon Energy closed at $48.74 yesterday.

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