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Humana Reports Second Quarter 2015 Financial Results; Reaffirms 2015 Financial Guidance

July 29, 2015 7:30 AM

LOUISVILLE, Ky.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) today reported diluted earnings per common share (EPS) for the quarter ended June 30, 2015 (2Q 2015) of $2.85 compared to $2.19 for the quarter ended June 30, 2014 (2Q 2014). For the six months ended June 30, 2015 (1H 2015) the company reported EPS of $5.67 compared to $4.54 in the six months ended June 30, 2014 (1H 2014).

The company has included certain adjusted financial measures throughout this earnings press release. Adjusted pretax income and Adjusted EPS for 2Q 2015 and 1H 2015 were as follows (a):

Consolidated pretax income (in millions)

2Q 2015 2Q 2014 1H 2015 1H 2014
GAAP $ 793 $ 646 $ 1,537 $ 1,332
2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra (267 ) - (267 ) -
Adjusted (non-GAAP) $ 526 $ 646 $ 1,270 $ 1,332
Diluted earnings per common share 2Q 2015 2Q 2014 1H 2015 1H 2014
GAAP $ 2.85 $ 2.19 $ 5.67 $ 4.54
2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra (1.18 ) - (1.18 ) -

1Q 2015 tax benefit related to then-pending sale of Concentra

- - (0.35 ) -
Adjusted (non-GAAP) $ 1.67 $ 2.19 $ 4.14 $ 4.54

The lower year-over-year Adjusted pretax income for the quarter and year to date reflected lower Retail segment operating results, partially offset by improved operating results from the Group and Healthcare Services segments. Lower results in the Retail segment were primarily related to lower-than-expected 2015 Medicare Advantage financial claim recovery levels and lower-than-anticipated reductions in inpatient admissions from its clinical programs. Overall, year-over-year hospital admissions are nonetheless down and are running consistent with the company’s revised expectations. Humana believes it has appropriately reflected recent medical cost experience in its plan designs for 2016 submitted to CMS. Further discussion of the drivers of the business segment results are discussed in the sections below highlighting each segment.

The lower year-over-year Adjusted EPS for the quarter and year to date reflected the same factors impacting pretax income, partially offset by the favorable impact of share repurchases.

Proposed Merger

On July 3, 2015, the company announced it entered into a definitive agreement with Aetna Inc. (Aetna) under which Aetna will acquire all outstanding shares of Humana for a combination of cash and stock. Under terms of the agreement, Humana stockholders will receive $125 in cash and 0.8375 of an Aetna common share for each Humana share. The transaction is subject to approval by both Humana and Aetna shareholders, as well as expiration of the Hart-Scott-Rodino anti-trust waiting period and approvals of certain state Departments of Insurance and other regulators. The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2016.

Earnings Guidance

The company expects EPS for the quarter ending September 30, 2015 to be approximately $2.15. The company continues to project EPS for the year ending December 31, 2015 (FY 2015) of approximately $9.28. The company reaffirms its estimate for Adjusted EPS for FY 2015 of approximately $7.75 as noted below:

Diluted earnings per common share FY 2015
GAAP $ 9.28
2Q 2015 gain related to sale of Concentra (1.18 )
1Q 2015 tax benefit related to then-pending sale of Concentra (0.35 )
Adjusted (non-GAAP) $ 7.75

The company also anticipates adjusting GAAP EPS in subsequent quarters for any transaction costs associated with the proposed merger with Aetna.

“Our major franchise, Medicare Advantage, is stabilizing and our clinical programs continue to focus on the needs of our members living with chronic conditions,” said Bruce D. Broussard, Humana’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “Furthermore, as we gain additional experience with our individual commercial business, we are strengthening our understanding of the actions necessary to ensure we can offer individuals a sustainable product.”

Brian A. Kane, Humana’s Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, added, “While certain operational challenges impacted our second quarter results, we are encouraged by recent progress and appreciate the diligence with which our leaders and associates have worked to overcome these issues. We remain confident that Humana’s strategic and financial prospects position us well for continued growth.”

CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS

Consolidated revenues

Consolidated revenues (including investment income) for 2Q 2015 were $13.73 billion, an increase of 12.4 percent from $12.22 billion in 2Q 2014, with total premiums and services revenues of $13.62 billion up 12.3 percent, increasing $1.49 billion from $12.13 billion in prior year’s quarter. The year-over-year increase in premiums and services revenues reflected higher totals year over year in both the Retail and Group segments.

Consolidated revenues for 1H 2015 rose $3.63 billion, or 15.2 percent, to $27.57 billion from $23.93 billion in 1H 2014 with total premiums and services revenues of $27.36 billion also up 15.2 percent, increasing $3.61 billion from $23.75 billion in the prior-year period. Higher Retail and Group segment premiums and services revenues also drove the year-over-year change in 1H 2015.

Consolidated benefits expense

The 2Q 2015 consolidated benefit ratio (benefits expense as a percent of premiums) of 85.2 percent increased by 210 basis points from 83.1 percent for the prior year’s quarter primarily reflecting higher ratios in both the Retail and Group segments. Prior-period medical claims reserve development (Prior Period Development) increased the 2Q 2015 consolidated benefit ratio by 10 basis points versus lowering that ratio by 40 basis points in the prior year. Excluding Prior Period Development, the consolidated benefit ratios were 85.1 percent and 83.5 percent for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively. Drivers of the segment-level ratios are discussed in the sections below highlighting each segment.

The 1H 2015 consolidated benefit ratio of 84.1 percent increased by 140 basis points from 82.7 percent in 1H 2014. The first-half increase primarily reflects the same factors impacting the second quarter year-over-year comparison. Prior Period Development lowered the 1H 2015 consolidated benefit ratio by 70 basis points versus lowering that ratio by 150 basis points in 1H 2014. Excluding Prior Period Development, the consolidated benefit ratios were 84.8 percent and 84.2 percent for 1H 2015 and 1H 2014, respectively.

As discussed in the Retail segment highlights below, the company’s consolidated Prior Period Development was primarily from Medicare Advantage and individual commercial claims development in that segment. Consolidated Prior Period Development was as follows:

Consolidated Prior Period Development (in millions)

First quarter

Second quarter

First Half

Favorable (unfavorable)

Prior Period Development from 2014 recognized in FY 2015 $ 194 ($16 ) $ 178
Prior Period Development from 2013 recognized in FY 2014 $ 297 $ 49 $ 346

Consolidated operating expenses

The consolidated operating cost ratio (operating costs as a percent of total revenues less investment income) of 13.3 percent for 2Q 2015 decreased 180 basis points from 15.1 percent in 2Q 2014, primarily reflecting lower ratios in the Retail and Group segments. Drivers of the segment-level ratios are discussed in the sections below highlighting each segment.

The 1H 2015 consolidated operating cost ratio of 13.8 percent decreased 140 basis points from 15.2 percent in 1H 2014, primarily reflecting a lower ratio in the Group segment with no change in the ratio for the Retail segment.

Amortization expense associated with intangible assets is often used in determining operating earnings on a cash basis. The company’s related amortization expense included in consolidated operating expenses was approximately $24 million and $28 million for 2Q 2015 and 2Q 2014, respectively, and approximately $50 million and $56 million for 1H 2015 and 1H 2014, respectively.

Balance sheet

At June 30, 2015, the company had cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities of $11.13 billion, down $388 million from $11.52 billion at March 31, 2015 primarily reflecting higher common stock repurchases and other factors discussed herein.

Cash and short-term investments held at the parent company of $1.86 billion at June 30, 2015 increased $647 million from $1.21 billion at March 31, 2015, as proceeds from the sale of Concentra, subsidiary dividends to the parent company and the issuance of commercial paper were partially offset primarily by funding of subsidiary working capital, stock repurchases, capital expenditures and payment of stockholder dividends. Subsidiary dividends of $457 million in 2Q 2015 compared to $695 million in 2Q 2014. The year-over-year decline in dividends to the parent company from the subsidiaries is primarily driven by lower operating results in health plan subsidiaries including the impact of recording the significantly higher FY 2015 health insurance industry fee in the first quarter of 2015, as required by state insurance regulators. The company’s health insurer fee increased from $562 million in 2014 to $866 million in 2015, a 54.1 percent increase.

At June 30, 2015, net receivables of $899 million were associated with premium stabilization programs established under health care reform, commonly referred to as the 3Rs(b), including $639 million associated with the 2014 coverage year that the company expects to collect in the second half of 2015. Approximately 77 percent of the total net 3Rs receivables were related to reinsurance recoverables. At June 30, 2015, net receivables (payables) for the 3Rs were as follows:

Net Amounts Accrued for the 3Rs

Balances Related

Balances Related

Total Balances

(in millions)

to 2014 plan year

to 2015 plan year

at 6/30/15

Assets (liabilities)

Reinsurance recoverables $ 521 $ 168 $ 689
Net risk adjustment settlement (125 ) (41 ) (166 )
Net risk corridor settlement 243 133 376
Total Net Amounts Accrued for the 3Rs $ 639 $ 260 $ 899

Days in claims payable of 41.1 at June 30, 2015 decreased 1.7 days from 42.8 at March 31, 2015. This change was primarily driven by changes related to incurred but not reported (IBNR) claims. This metric related to IBNR can change each period depending on process changes, such as the gradual implementation during 2014 of inpatient authorization review prior to admission as opposed to post adjudication, but also can change based on the claims receipt and payment cycle times, the prevalence of new providers, and the number of processing days in a month.

Debt-to-total capitalization at June 30, 2015 was 29.0 percent, up from 27.6 percent at March 31, 2015 primarily reflecting commercial paper balances outstanding at the end of 2Q 2015, versus none outstanding at the end of the first quarter 2015, as increases in capital associated with 2Q 2015 earnings were substantially offset by share repurchases and cash dividends. As of June 30, 2015, the company had $300 million outstanding on its commercial paper program. The net proceeds of commercial paper issuances are to be used for general corporate purposes, including funding for subsidiary Part D receivables.

Cash flows from operations

Cash flows used in operations for 2Q 2015 were $608 million compared to cash flows used in operations of $200 million in 2Q 2014. This year-over-year change in operating cash flows primarily reflected the favorable claim payment timing effect in the prior year from growth in individual commercial membership, lower earnings exclusive of the gain on the sale of Concentra, and other working capital items.

For 1H 2015, cash flows used in operations totaled $501 million versus $471 million of cash flows provided by operations during 1H 2014. The year-over-year decline primarily reflected the same factors impacting second-quarter cash flows as well as the favorable impact in the prior year from higher growth in group Medicare Advantage membership, higher working capital associated with growth in the company’s pharmacy business and the timing of Medicaid premium collections.

Cash flows for the second half of 2015 are expected to be favorably impacted by the collection of the 2014 final and 2015 mid-year Medicare risk adjustment receivables from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, income from operations, and collection of the 2014 reinsurance recoverables associated with the 3Rs. These items are expected to be partially offset by payment of the 2015 non-deductible health insurance industry fee and net payments for risk adjustment associated with the 3Rs.

Share repurchases

In September 2014, the company’s Board of Directors approved a new $2 billion share repurchase authorization with an expiration date of December 31, 2016 that replaced its previous $1 billion share repurchase authorization. At that time, the company announced that it expected to repurchase $1 billion of its outstanding shares no later than June 30, 2015 under the $2 billion authorization. Under a 10b5-1 plan, the company subsequently executed the following share repurchases towards that expectation:

Method of share repurchase Time period

Sharesrepurchased

Average costper share

Totalrepurchases

Open market September 2014 269,000 $ 128.34 $ 34,465,000
Open market

October 2014 –November 2014

766,000 $ 130.50 $ 100,015,000
Accelerated share repurchase

November 2014 –March 2015

3,419,700 $ 146.21 $ 500,000,000
10b5-1 plan March 2015 145,000 $ 179.89 $ 26,085,000
10b5-1 plan

April 2015 –June 2015

1,704,800 $ 177.81 $ 303,131,000

Total Share Repurchases through July 28, 2015 under September 2014 Authorization

6,304,500 $ 152.86 $ 963,696,000

During 2Q 2015, the company executed share repurchases of approximately $303 million, or 1,704,800 of its outstanding shares, at an average price of $177.81 per share through its previously disclosed 10b5-1 plan. The company executed repurchases of 805,500 shares for approximately $101 million during 2Q 2014.

The company repurchased approximately 1,849,800 shares for $329 million during 1H 2015 compared to approximately 905,500 shares for $112 million during 1H 2014.

As of July 3, 2015, approximately $1.04 billion of the current $2 billion repurchase authorization was remaining. As a result of the proposed merger with Aetna, the company has suspended its share repurchase program.

Cash dividends

The company paid cash dividends to its stockholders of $42 million in 2Q 2015 and in 2Q 2014. Cash dividends of $86 million were paid to the company’s stockholders during 1H 2015 and in 1H 2014. In April 2015, the company’s Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.29 per share, totaling $43 million in the aggregate, payable on July 31, 2015 to stockholders of record on June 30, 2015, an increase from the company’s previous dividend of $0.28 per share.

The company’s ability and intent to continue its quarterly dividend policy is not impacted by the proposed merger with Aetna, although the company has agreed that its quarterly dividend will not exceed $0.29 per share prior to closing the transaction.

RETAIL SEGMENT(c)

This segment consists of Medicare benefits, marketed to individuals or directly via group accounts, as well as individual commercial fully-insured medical and specialty health insurance benefits, including dental, vision, and other supplemental health and financial protection products. In addition, the segment also includes the company’s contract with CMS to administer the Limited Income Newly Eligible Transition (LI-NET) prescription drug plan program and contracts with various states to provide Medicaid, dual eligible, and Long-Term Support Services (LTSS) benefits, collectively, its state-based contracts(d).

Retail Segment Highlights

While the company’s stand-alone Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs) and group Medicare Advantage businesses are performing in line with the company’s expectations, as previously disclosed, its individual Medicare Advantage and individual commercial businesses are facing certain challenges.

Medicare Advantage operating results were negatively impacted by certain pricing assumptions in its plan designs for 2015. This was primarily related to lower-than-expected 2015 financial claim recovery levels and lower-than-anticipated reductions in inpatient admissions from its clinical programs. Overall, year-over-year hospital admissions are nonetheless down and are running consistent with the company’s revised expectations. Humana believes it has appropriately reflected recent medical cost experience in its plan designs for 2016 submitted to CMS.

Operating results for individual commercial continue to be challenged primarily due to the volatility and morbidity associated with new membership related to the start of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Medical claims associated with certain products, in particular ACA-compliant off-exchange offerings, continue to exceed prior expectations for FY 2015. Additionally, on June 30, 2015, CMS issued data with respect to the reinsurance and risk adjustment premium stabilization programs for the 2014 plan year which indicated a meaningfully different risk profile comparison for the company’s membership relative to state averages than had been previously anticipated. This resulted in adjustments to certain of the 3Rs during 2Q 2015. The company is in the process of evaluating its pricing and continued participation in certain products for 2016.

In total, the company’s state-based contracts business continues to perform in line with management’s expectations. State-based business associated with the company’s dual eligible membership is outperforming expectations while its Medicaid Temporary Assistance for Needy Families products are underperforming expectations.

Premiums and services revenue:

Enrollment:

Benefits expense:

Retail Segment Prior Period Development (in millions)

First quarter

Second quarter

First Half

Favorable (unfavorable)

Prior Period Development from 2014 recognized in FY 2015 $ 188 ($11 ) $ 177
Prior Period Development from 2013 recognized in FY 2014 $ 277 $ 58 $ 335

Operating costs:

Pretax results:

GROUP SEGMENT(c)

This segment consists of employer group commercial fully-insured medical and specialty health insurance benefits, including dental, vision, and other supplemental health and voluntary insurance benefits, as well as Administrative Services Only (ASO) products. In addition, the Group segment includes health and wellness products (primarily marketed to employer groups) and military services business, primarily the TRICARE South Region contract.

Group Segment Highlights

The Group segment continues to perform in line with company expectations, including fully-insured and ASO products as well as the company’s TRICARE operations. On July 22, 2015, Humana responded to the request for proposal for the next generation of TRICARE contracts for the period beginning April 1, 2017.

Premiums and services revenue:

Enrollment:

Benefits expense:

Operating costs:

Pretax results:

HEALTHCARE SERVICES SEGMENT(c)

This segment includes services offered to the company’s health plan members as well as to third parties, including pharmacy solutions, provider services, home based services, and clinical programs, as well as services and capabilities to advance population health.

Healthcare Services Segment Highlights

Healthcare Services operations continue to exceed previous expectations, primarily driven by improvements in pharmacy related cost initiatives as well as higher mail order and specialty pharmacy usage. Additionally, membership growth in the health plans has resulted in higher usage of services across the segment. The segment’s 2Q 2015 results also reflect the sale of Concentra in June 2015, with the gain on that sale being reported in the Corporate results.

Revenues:

Operating costs:

Operating statistics:

Pretax results:

Detailed press release

Humana’s full earnings press release including the statistical pages has been posted to the company’s Investor Relations site and may be accessed at http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=92913&p=irol-IRHome or via a current report on Form 8-K filed by the company with the Securities and Exchange Commission this morning (available at www.sec.gov or on the company’s website).

Footnotes

(a) Adjusted pretax income and Adjusted EPS for 2Q 2015 excluded a pretax gain of approximately $267 million, or $1.18 per share, associated with the completion of the company’s sale of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Concentra Inc. Adjusted pretax income and Adjusted EPS for 1H 2015 excluded the 2Q 2015 adjusting item as well as a $0.35 per share tax benefit recorded in the first quarter of 2015 associated with the recognition of a deferred tax benefit on the then-pending sale of Concentra.

The company has included these financial measures (which are not in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP)) in its summary of financial results within this earnings press release as management believes that these measures, when presented in conjunction with the comparable GAAP measures, are useful to both management and its investors in analyzing the company’s ongoing business and operating performance. The excluded items described herein are not a recurring part of the company’s operating plan. Consequently, management uses these non-GAAP financial measures as indicators of business performance, as well as for operational planning and decision making purposes. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.

(b) Under health care reform, premium stabilization programs, commonly referred to as the 3Rs, became effective January 1, 2014. These programs include a permanent risk adjustment program, a transitional reinsurance program, and a temporary risk corridors program designed to more evenly spread the financial risk borne by issuers and to mitigate the risk that issuers would have mispriced products. In each case, operation of the program is subject to federal administrative action.

(c) On January 1, 2015, the company realigned certain of its businesses among its financial reporting segments to correspond with internal management reporting changes and renamed its Employer Group segment the Group segment. The company’s three reportable segments remain Retail, Group, and Healthcare Services.

(d) State-based contracts include the company’s operations and membership associated with Medicaid benefits provided for dual-eligible demonstration, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF), and Long-Term Support Services (LTSS) programs.

(e) The company provides a full range of insured specialty products including dental, vision, other supplemental health, financial protection, and voluntary insurance benefits. Members included in these products may not be unique to each product since members have the ability to enroll in multiple products. Other supplemental benefits include life, disability, and fixed benefit products including cancer and critical illness policies.

(f) Milliman’s estimate of Humana’s individual Medicare Advantage Part C May 2015 month-end unpaid claims liabilities referred to in this press release included medical costs only, and did not include pharmacy costs or commercial product costs. It may not be appropriate for other uses. Milliman does not intend for this information to benefit, and assumes no duty or liability to, any third party. In developing their estimates, Milliman relied on discussions with Humana and Humana’s medical benefits claim lag and membership data obtained from Humana. Milliman did not audit the data and performed no verification as to the accuracy of these data, although they performed reasonableness checks where possible. To the extent any information is inaccurate or incomplete, Milliman’s results may likewise be inaccurate or incomplete. It should be emphasized that actuarial liabilities (reserves) are estimates. The exact liabilities will only be determinable after a sufficient passage of time permits the filing and payment of all outstanding claims.

Conference Call

Given the proposed merger with Aetna, the company is not hosting a conference call in conjunction with its 2Q 2015 earnings release and does not expect to do so for future quarters. Please direct any questions regarding this earnings press release to Humana Investor Relations or Humana Corporate Communications.

Cautionary Statement

This news release includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used in investor presentations, press releases, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, and in oral statements made by or with the approval of one of Humana’s executive officers, the words or phrases like “expects,” “believes,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “likely will result,” “estimates,” “projects” or variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, including, among other things, information set forth in the “Risk Factors” section of the company’s SEC filings, a summary of which includes but is not limited to the following:

In making forward-looking statements, Humana is not undertaking to address or update them in future filings or communications regarding its business or results. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events discussed herein may or may not occur. There also may be other risks that the company is unable to predict at this time. Any of these risks and uncertainties may cause actual results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward-looking statements.

Humana advises investors to read the following documents as filed by the company with the SEC for further discussion both of the risks it faces and its historical performance:

About Humana

Humana Inc., headquartered in Louisville, Ky., is a leading health and well-being company focused on making it easy for people to achieve their best health with clinical excellence through coordinated care. The company’s strategy integrates care delivery, the member experience, and clinical and consumer insights to encourage engagement, behavior change, proactive clinical outreach and wellness for the millions of people we serve across the country.

More information regarding Humana is available to investors via the Investor Relations page of the company’s web site at www.humana.com, including copies of:

Humana Investor Relations

Regina Nethery, 502-580-3644

[email protected]

or

Humana Corporate Communications

Tom Noland, 502-580-3674

[email protected]

Source: Humana Inc.

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