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Kinder Morgan (KMI) Raises Quarterly Dividend 14% to $0.49; Updates on Outlook

July 15, 2015 4:06 PM

Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI) declared a quarterly dividend of $0.49 per share, or $1.96 annualized. This is a 14% increase from the prior dividend of $0.43.

The dividend will be payable on August 14, 2015, to stockholders of record on July 31, 2015, with an ex-dividend date of July 29, 2015.

The annual yield on the dividend is 5.2 percent.

“We are pleased with the large increase in our project backlog which demonstrates our continued ability to leverage our unparalleled asset footprint and provides additional support for future growth,” said Executive Chairman Richard D. Kinder. “For the second quarter, KMI had steady results and increased its dividend to $0.49 per share. We remain on track to meet our full-year dividend target of $2.00 per share. While commodity prices continued to pressure the industry this quarter, we continued to produce strong results due mainly to our large, diversified asset portfolio and fee-based cash flows predominantly supported by take-or-pay contracts. We earned distributable cash flow before certain items of $0.50 per share for the second quarter, which equates to coverage in excess of our dividends of $20 million bringing total coverage to $226 million for the first six months. Our five business segments produced $1.827 billion in segment earnings before DD&A and certain items, up 2 percent from the second quarter 2014, primarily driven by increases in our Products Pipelines and Terminals segments offsetting a decline in our CO2 segment.”

President and CEO Steve Kean said, “Our current project backlog of expansion and joint venture investments is $22.0 billion. Since the first quarter earnings release, we have placed nearly $700 million of completed projects into service, removed approximately $600 million in projects (primarily in the CO2 segment as a result of additional CO2 source and transportation projects being delayed beyond the time horizon of our five-year backlog due to lower commodity prices) and added approximately $5.0 billion driven by new projects, particularly the $3.3 billion market path portion of the Northeast Energy Direct project - and the incremental $630 million investment resulting from KMI's agreement to acquire Shell's 49 percent equity interest in the Elba Liquefaction Company. Projects in the backlog have a high certainty of completion and drive future growth at the company across all of our business segments.”

KMI reported second quarter distributable cash flow before certain items of $1.095 billion versus $332 million for the comparable period in 2014. This increase is primarily attributable to the KMI merger transactions completed in November 2014. Distributable cash flow per share before certain items was $0.50 compared to $0.32 for the second quarter last year. Second quarter net income before certain items was $365 million compared to $515 million for the same period in 2014. Certain items after tax in the second quarter totaled a net loss of $23 million compared to a net loss of $18 million for the same period last year. Net income was $342 million compared to $497 million for the second quarter last year. The decrease in net income before certain items was driven by higher DD&A expense, book taxes and interest expense.

For the first six months of the year, KMI reported distributable cash flow before certain items of $2.337 billion versus $905 million for the comparable period in 2014, due primarily to the KMI merger transactions completed in November 2014. Distributable cash flow per share before certain items for the first six months of the year was $1.07 compared to $0.87 for the same period last year. Net income before certain items was $810 million compared to $1.139 billion for the first two quarters of 2014. Certain items after tax for the first six months of the year totaled a net loss of $49 million compared to a net loss of $41 million for the same period last year. For the first six months of the year, net income was $761 million compared to $1.098 billion for the same period last year. The decrease in net income before certain items was driven by higher DD&A expense, book taxes and interest expense.

Overview of Business Segments

The Natural Gas Pipelines business produced second quarter segment earnings before DD&A and certain items of $965 million, up 1 percent from $958 million for the same period last year. Natural Gas Pipelines is on track to exceed its published annual budget of 1 percent growth.

“Growth in this segment compared to the second quarter last year was led by contributions from the Hiland acquisition and improved performance on the EagleHawk pipeline,” Kean said. “Second quarter growth was partially offset by lower commodity prices affecting certain of our midstream gathering and processing assets. Earnings were also negatively impacted at Kinder Morgan Louisiana Pipeline as a result of a customer contract buyout and at KinderHawk due to the expiration of a minimum volume contract.”

Natural gas transport volumes were up 3 percent compared to the second quarter last year driven by higher volumes on Texas Intrastate pipelines due to greater production from the Eagle Ford Shale, higher power generation load on the Southern Natural Gas (SNG) pipeline due to lower natural gas prices, and higher volume on the El Paso Natural Gas (EPNG) pipeline driven by demand from Mexico. Sales volumes on the Texas Intrastate system were higher by 9 percent compared to the second quarter last year driven by new industrial and power customer contracts. Power generation throughput on our pipelines was up 16 percent compared to the second quarter of 2014.

Natural gas continues to be the fuel of choice for America’s future energy needs, and certain industry experts are projecting gas demand increases of over 40 percent to nearly 110 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) over the next 10 years. Over the last year and a half, KMI has entered into new and pending firm transport capacity commitments totaling 8.7 Bcf/d, including 1.4 Bcf/d added this quarter. KMI pipelines currently move about one-third of the natural gas consumed in the United States. Future opportunities include the need for more capacity in the Northeast, demand for gas-fired power generation, LNG exports and exports to Mexico. KMI currently has a backlog of natural gas projects of approximately $9.4 billion.

The CO2 business produced second quarter segment earnings before DD&A and certain items of $286 million, down from $360 million for the same period in 2014. The CO2 business is expected to be below its annual budget of an 8 percent decline from 2014 due to lower commodity prices.

“As expected, lower commodity prices impacted earnings overall, but our SACROC Unit continued to generate strong production,” Kean said. “SACROC reported quarterly oil production in the second quarter, averaging 35.1 thousand barrels per day (MBbl/d), up 9 percent from the second quarter last year and is on track for record annual production. NGL sales volumes of 21.0 MBbl/d at our Snyder Gas Plant were up 7 percent from the second quarter last year. In addition, we continued to offset some of the impact from lower commodity prices by generating cost savings across our CO2 business. While net CO2 volumes increased versus the second quarter of 2014, they were below plan for the quarter. CO2 demand has remained relatively stable, but is not currently growing due to customer capital constraints related to market conditions.”

Combined gross oil production volumes averaged 59.8 MBbl/d for the second quarter, up 5 percent from 56.8 MBbl/d in the same period last year. Oil production net to Kinder Morgan was up 8 percent compared to the same period last year. SACROC’s second quarter production was significantly above both second quarter 2014 results and plan, and Yates produced solid results but was slightly below both second quarter 2014 results and plan. Second quarter Katz and Goldsmith production was above the same period last year, but well below plan. The average West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price for the second quarter was $57.94 per barrel versus $102.99 for the second quarter of 2014. Kinder Morgan’s 2015 budget assumed an average WTI crude oil price of approximately $70 per barrel. The commodity price impact on the CO2 segment in the second quarter was higher than the sensitivities announced at the beginning of the year (every $1 per barrel change in the average WTI crude oil price will impact the CO2 segment’s distributable cash flow by approximately $7 million) driven by the lower ratio of NGL prices to crude prices relative to the ratio assumed in our budget.

The Products Pipelines business produced second quarter segment earnings before DD&A and certain items of $275 million, up 32 percent from $209 million for the comparable period in 2014. Products Pipelines expects to exceed its published annual budget of 29 percent growth.

“Growth in this segment compared to the second quarter of 2014 was driven by higher volumes on the Kinder Morgan Crude and Condensate Pipeline (KMCC), the startup of the first phase of the petroleum condensate processing facility along the Houston Ship Channel, which began service in March, improved results on Cochin resulting from the July 2014 completion of the reversal project and contributions from the Double H Pipeline, which was part of our Hiland acquisition,” Kean said. “We also began producing on-specification products in July 2015 from our second 50,000 barrel a day condensate processing facility.”

Total refined products volumes were up 4 percent for the second quarter versus the same period in 2014. Segment gasoline volumes were up 6 percent compared to the second quarter of 2014. NGL volumes more than doubled from the same period last year due to completion of the reversal project on Cochin. Condensate volumes were nearly four times higher than the second quarter last year primarily due to the continued ramp up of volumes on KMCC.

Products Pipelines handled about 11.0 million barrels of biofuels (ethanol and biodiesel) in the second quarter, up slightly from the same period last year. This segment continues to make investments in assets across its operations to accommodate more biofuels.

The Terminals business produced second quarter segment earnings before DD&A and certain items of $271 million, up 19 percent from $227 million for the same period in 2014. The Terminals business is expected to be slightly below its published annual budget of 20 percent growth.

“Approximately 75 percent of the growth in the second quarter was organic versus the same period last year, with the remainder coming from acquisitions,” Kean said. “The increase in second quarter earnings was led by strong performance at our liquids terminals, driven by various expansions across our network including adding additional storage capacity at our BOSTCO and Edmonton South terminals, as well as placing the Edmonton Rail Terminal, a 50-50 joint venture with Imperial Oil Ltd, in service. The Jones Act tanker acquisitions also contributed significantly to growth in this segment, along with contributions from the recently acquired Vopak terminals. Earnings were impacted by a softening of the domestic steel market, and continued weakness in global coal markets also impacted the segment, which saw coal export volumes decline 43 percent versus the same period last year. However, the coal volume impact on earnings was largely offset by long-term minimum tonnage commitments with customers.”

For the second quarter, Terminals and Products Pipelines combined handled 26.8 million barrels of ethanol, down from 27.8 million barrels for the same period last year. The decline reflects the company’s previously announced sale of certain smaller terminal facilities to Watco Companies in exchange for an incremental equity interest in Watco as well as the opportunistic conversion of storage from ethanol to gasoline service in certain markets. KMI currently handles approximately one-third of the ethanol used in the United States.

Kinder Morgan Canada produced second quarter segment earnings before DD&A and certain items of $37 million versus the $40 million it reported for the same period in 2014. Demand for capacity remained high on the Trans Mountain pipeline system in the second quarter, with mainline throughput into Washington state up nearly 15 percent from the same period last year. The earnings decline was primarily due to an unfavorable foreign exchange rate, as the Canadian dollar declined in value by approximately 11 percent since the second quarter of 2014. Kinder Morgan Canada expects to come in below its published annual budget of 1 percent growth because of expected continued weakness in the Canadian dollar.

2015 Outlook

KMI expects to declare dividends of $2.00 per share for 2015, an approximately 15 percent increase over the 2014 declared dividend of $1.74 per share. We expect to have substantial cash coverage in excess of our 2015 declared dividends; however, we expect our excess coverage to be below our budgeted coverage of $654 million as our budgeted coverage assumed an average WTI crude oil price of approximately $70 per barrel and a Henry Hub natural gas price of $3.80 per MMBtu in 2015. The overwhelming majority of cash generated by KMI’s assets is fee based and is not sensitive to commodity prices. KMI does have some commodity price sensitivity, primarily in its CO2 segment, and hedges the majority of its next 12 months of oil production to minimize this sensitivity. For 2015, the company estimated that every $1 per barrel change in average WTI crude oil price will impact KMI’s distributable cash flow by approximately $10 million, and each $0.10 per MMBtu change in the average price of natural gas will impact distributable cash flow by approximately $3 million. Even adjusting for projected commodity prices, the company expects to increase its dividends by 10 percent each year from 2016 through 2020.

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