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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) Misses Q4 EPS by 3c

February 13, 2015 9:12 AM

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (NASDAQ: RRGB) reported Q4 EPS of $0.66, $0.03 worse than the analyst estimate of $0.69. Revenue for the quarter came in at $282.1 million versus the consensus estimate of $283.55 million.

Fourth quarter 2014 comparable restaurant revenue increased 3.6%.

Outlook for 2015

Red Robin’s 2015 fiscal year consists of 52 weeks and will end on December 27, 2015.

In fiscal year 2015, the Company expects total revenue growth of 12.0% to 13.0% including comparable restaurant revenue growth of 2.0% to 3.0%. The Company plans to open 20 new Red Robin restaurants and five Red Robin Burger Works resulting in operating week growth from new locations of approximately 6%.

Capital investments in fiscal year 2015 are expected to total near $140.0 million. In addition to the new restaurant openings, the Company plans to remodel at least 125 Red Robin restaurants as part of its brand transformation initiative.

Restaurant-level operating profit margins in fiscal year 2015 are expected to approach 21.4%.

General and administrative costs are expected to be between $97.0 million and $99.0 million, while selling expenses are expected to be approximately 3.2% of total revenues. Pre-opening and acquisition costs are expected to total near $7.0 million in fiscal 2015. Depreciation and amortization is projected to be approximately $77.0 million.

Interest expense is expected to be approximately $4.0 million while the income tax rate in fiscal year 2015 is expected to be approximately 27.0%.

The sensitivity of the Company’s earnings per diluted share to a 1.0% change in guest counts for fiscal year 2015 is estimated to be $0.34 on an annualized basis. Additionally, a 10 basis point change in restaurant-level operating margin is expected to impact earnings per diluted share by approximately $0.08, and a change of approximately $145,000 in pre-tax income or expense is equivalent to approximately $0.01 per diluted share.

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) click here.

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