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Form 6-K Trillion Energy Internat For: Mar 31

May 31, 2022 7:31 AM EDT

 

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC.

MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS

For the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021

 

 
 

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Caution Regarding Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Statements 3
Overview 4
Selected Quarterly Information 7
Results of Operations 7
Summary of Quarterly Results 8
Liquidity and Capital Resources 10
Transactions with Related Parties 12
Financial Risk Management 12
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements 13
Disclosure of Outstanding Share Data 13
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates 16
Subsequent Events 18

 

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TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC.

MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS

For the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021

(Expressed in United States Dollars)

 

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (“MD&A”) is intended to provide readers of our financial statements with a narrative from the perspective of our management on our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and certain other factors that may affect our future results.

 

Our MD&A should be read in conjunction with our unaudited condensed interim consolidated financial statements of Trillion Energy International Inc., (“Trillion Energy”, the “Company”, “we”, and “our”) and the related notes thereto for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021, and the audited consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 and the related notes thereto.

 

Additional information related to the Company is available on its website at www.trillionenergy.com. Our prior Annual Reports on Form 20-F, Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed with or furnished to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”), can be accessed free of charge by linking directly from our website under the “Investor Relations - SEC Filings” caption to the SEC’s Edgar Database, as well as on the Canadian Securities Administrator’s website at www.sedar.com.

 

This MD&A was approved by the directors of the Company on May 26, 2022.

 

Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

 

Certain statements in this report are forward-looking statements which reflect management’s expectations regarding future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities, the Company’s ability to meet financial commitments and its ability to raise funds when required. Forward-looking statements consist of statements that are not purely historical, including any statements regarding beliefs, plans, expectations, or intentions regarding the future. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, performance, or developments to differ materially from those contained in the statements. No assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will occur or, if they do occur, what benefits the Company will obtain from them. These forward-looking statements reflect management’s current views and are based on certain assumptions and speak only as of the date of this report. These assumptions, which include management’s current expectations, the global economic environment, and the Company’s ability to manage its operating costs, may prove to be incorrect. Several risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.

 

There is a significant risk that such forward-looking statements will not prove to be accurate. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. No forward-looking statement is a guarantee of future results. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.

 

Actual performance, achievement or other realities could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, any forward-looking statements or information in this MD&A and, accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements or information. Further, any forward-looking statement or information speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information to reflect information, events, results, circumstances, realities or otherwise after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as required by law, including securities laws. All forward-looking statements and information contained in this MD&A and other documents of the Company are qualified by such cautionary statements. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for management to predict all such factors and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on the Company’s business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual realities to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements.

 

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In addition, forward-looking statements, and information herein, including financial information, is based on certain assumptions relating to the business and operations of the Company. Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events, or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements and forward-looking information in this MD&A, and the documents incorporated by reference herein, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There is no assurance that such statements and information will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements or information. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and forward-looking information contained in this MD&A.

 

Overview

 

Trillion Energy International Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, (collectively referred to as the “Company”) is a Canadian based oil and gas exploration and production company. Effective January 2022, the corporate headquarters moved to Suite 700, 838 West Hastings Street, Vancouver, B.C., Canada from Turan Gunes Bulvari, Park Oran Ofis Plaza, 180-y, Daire:54, Kat:14, 06450, Oran, Cankaya, Anakara, Turkey. The move coincided with the redomicile of the Company from Delaware to British Columbia, a move which was approved by shareholders in November 2021. The Company also has a registered office in Turkey and Bulgaria. The Company was originally incorporated in Delaware in 2015, and in January 2022 became a British Columbia Company. The Company’s shares trade on the OTCQB under the symbol “TRLEF” and trade on the Canadian Securities Exchange under the symbol “TCF”.

 

On January 21, 2022, the Company redomiciled from Delaware, United States to British Columbia, Canada by way of an amalgamation transaction with the Company’s British Columbian subsidiary (the “Repatriation Transaction”). Pursuant to the Repatriation Transaction, for every one common stock of Trillion Energy International Inc., the shareholders will receive one common stock of Trillion Energy Inc. The Company continued to operate under the name of Trillion Energy International Inc. after the Repatriation Transaction.

 

As a result of the Repatriation Transaction, the Company met the definition of a foreign private issuer, as defined under Rule 3b-4 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

 

Developments of the Business

 

Trillion Energy International Inc. is focused on its oil and gas producing assets in Turkey specifically its SASB Natural Gas field as well as its Cendere Oil field. It also has an exploration license in Bulgaria which it intends to explore for coal bed methane generated natural gas.

 

The Company’s current focus was on obtaining funding to produce the Company’s reserves in the oil and gas fields in Turkey, which management expects will generate significant additional cash-flow for the Company. The Company received approximately $18,144,000 CAD in gross proceeds pursuant to private placement subscriptions in March 2022, most of which is earmarked for development wells on the SASB gas field in Turkey. The Company plans to raise another $10,000,000 during the second quarter of 2022 (the “Additional Funding”). The extent and timing of further development is contingent upon receiving the Additional Funding. The Company’s plan is to commence further development during July 2022 when the Uranus jack-up rig is scheduled to arrive at the SASB gas field. The Uranus Rig is based in Romania and will be used to drill a series of production wells and workovers commencing with reserves, as well as to perform certain rig-based workovers.

 

The Bulgaria license area holds great upside attraction as a potential natural gas coal bed methane exploration project. The license area was extensively drilled for coal exploration from 1964 to 1990, with over 200 wells and which delineated considerable (estimated at 1 TCF) unrisked natural gas resources and coal deposits with over 70 coal seams generating natural gas. It was determined that coal mining was not technically feasible due to depth, however, the coal exploration drilling provided the Company with an extensive geological control of the block.

 

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Turkey

 

The Company owns interests in the producing Cendere oil field (“Cendere”) and producing South Akcakoca Sub-Basin (“SASB”) gas field in Turkey. Cendere, a mature oilfield, is a long-term low decline oil reserve. The Company has a 19.6% interest in the Cendere oil field located in Southeast Turkey all except certain wells.

 

The SASB field holds significant upside through exploitation of reserves and resources where significant infrastructure is in place to realize same, including pipelines, offshore platforms, and a gas processing plant capable of processing 150,000 MCF/day. With this base of operations in Turkey and its experienced management team, the Company is poised to exploit these assets and for further growth in the region.

 

Cendere

 

At March 31, 2022, the gross oil production rate for the producing wells in Cendere was 688 bbls/day (barrels per day); the average daily 2022 Q1 gross production rate for the field was 581 bbls/day. At the end of March 2022, oil was sold at a price of approximately US$111 per barrel (“bbl”) for a netback per barrel of approximately US$46/bbl. At March 31, 2022, the Cendere field was producing 98 barrels of oil per day net to the us; and averaged 86 barrels per day during 2022 Q1 net to the Company.

 

SASB

 

SASB has four producing fields, each with a production platform plus subsea pipelines that connect the fields to an onshore gas plant. The SASB fields are located off the north coast of Turkey towards the western end of the Black Sea. Total gross production to date from the four fields is approximately 42.2 billion cubic feet (“Bcf”).

 

The Company plans to commence drilling additional wells and to conduct workovers on SASB commencing July, 2022, at which time the Uranus Rig from Romania will arrive on the licence block. The initial program will be seven wells (two workovers and five new directional wells) all which will produce immediately. The Company plans to extent the work program for up to an additional 10 wells, depending in part on the results of the first wells.

 

New wells have not been drill on SASB since 2011 and the current four producing wells are over 10 years old and require workovers or are depleted. As at March 31, 2022, the gross gas production rate for the remaining producing wells in SASB was 0.343 million cubic feet per day (“MMcfd”); the average daily 2022 gross production rate for the field was 0.367 MMcfd. The average gas sale price year to date was, US$11.85/Mcf and US$11.78 per Mcf for the month ending March 31, 2022, for a netback per Mcf of approximately minus US$9. The lower net back is a result of relatively lower production levels being incurred due to natural decline, down approximately 96% since peak production rates occurred during 2011, given no new wells have been drilled since 2011. The Company anticipates that as new wells come online, the netback will increase substantially given the high-priced natural gas regime in Turkey at present and historically. At the end of March 2022, gas is currently sold at a price of approximately US$11.78/MCF. Current natural gas prices are approximately $18/MCF.

 

The Company also plans to explore potential opportunities around the SASB development license area, which is currently 12,385 hectares, by applying for a Technical Investigation Survey Permit for 200,000 hectares of surrounding area (“the Permit”). Upon receiving the Permit, the Company planned to reprocess existing 3D and 2D seismic with new technology. Such new technology is expected to improve the resolution of the data and define new exploration targets around the SASB.

 

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Bulgaria license

 

In October of 2010, the Company was awarded an exploration permit for the “Vranino 1-11 Block”, a 98,205 acre oil and gas exploration land located in Dobrudja Basin, Bulgaria, by the Bulgarian Counsel of Ministers. On April 1, 2014, the Company entered into an Agreement for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prospecting and Exploration in the Vranino 1-11 Block with the Ministry of Economy and Energy of Bulgaria (the “License Agreement”). The initial term of the License Agreement is five years. This five-year period will commence once the Bulgarian regulatory authorities approve of the Company’s work programs for the permit area. The License Agreement (or applicable legislation) provides for possible extension periods for up to five additional years during the exploration phase, as well as the conversion of the License Agreement to an exploitation concession, which can last for up to 35 years. Under the License Agreement, the Company will submit a yearly work program that is subject to the approval of the Bulgarian regulatory authorities. The running time for the work program has not yet commenced for the work program, due certain environmental reports being required to be completed first.

 

On February 16, 2022, the Company announced it has signed a purchase order with Schlumberger (“SLB”) to provide all well engineering design services and drilling support for new well drilling operations at the SASB gas field, Black Sea Schlumberger is the world’s leading provider of technology for drilling and production to the global energy industry.

 

SLB’s services will include design and engineering of: well directional trajectories, offset analysis, casing requirements, drilling mud programs, directional tools, and the like. The initial engineering and planning services will be delivered during Q2 of 2022, in anticipation of drilling to commence in Q3 2022.

 

On May 18_, 2022 the Company announced that it had signed a contract (“Contract”) to obtain drilling services from GSP Offshore SRL (“GSP”). The drilling services are for the Company’s planned SASB natural gas production and development program in the Black Sea. GSP was selected as its Uranus jack-up drilling rig is currently in the Black Sea, thus reducing costs of mobilization and because GSP has previously successfully drilled prior wells on the SASB gas field. GSP anticipates the Uranus rig will be able to commence service during July 2022 subject to a definitive agreement being executed by all parties. The rig service rate is USD $95,000 per day.

 

The Contract anticipates drilling up to five new wells and two recompletions (the “Initial Program”) and provides for a minimum 100 of drilling days at a rate of USD $95,000/day. The Initial Program will target primarily prior 41BCF (billion cubic feet -100% interest) natural gas discoveries assessed as 2P reserves by GLJ, an independent reserves consultant. The duration of the Initial Project is expected to be 7 months with one new well being put into production every 15-45 days.

 

The new wells are anticipated to produce immediately upon completion with production sold into the existing pipeline grid under contract, where high demand exists for the Company’s production as natural gas prices hit a record high of over USD $18 MCF during April 2022.

 

The Company also desires to utilize the GSP rig for an additional 7-10 new well drillings /workovers continuously after the completion of the Initial Program, on the same or similar fiscal terms as the Initial Project. This subsequent project primarily includes low-risk development wells and or additional wells drilled into producing gas pool reserves. The exact number of wells targeted for the second program will depend on the results of the Initial Program.

 

It is the Company’s plan to drill all 17 wells, more or less continuously, bringing one new well into production every 45 days starting the 3rd quarter of 2022 and then throughout the duration of 2023, thereby significantly ramping up the Company’s production over that time frame.

 

The Parties have commenced negotiating a drilling services contract for the Project which will reflect the principles agreed upon in the MOU.

 

Strategic Focus

 

Our focus currently is increasing oil and gas production and in particular, our natural gas reserves at the SASB gas field in Turkey, which we expect will generate significant cash-flow and profits for the Company. Further development is contingent upon receiving further funding, and our plan is to further develop the fields when funding is received. The Bulgaria license area holds upside exploration potential as a potential coal bed methane natural gas project. The license area was extensively drilled for coal exploration from 1964 to 1990. It was determined that coal mining was not technically feasible. However, the coal exploration drilling provided us with an extensive database.

 

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Selected Quarterly Information

 

The following table sets forth selected interim financial information for the Company for the periods ended March 31, 2022 and 2021 and should be read in conjunction with the Company’s consolidated financial statements and related notes thereto for such periods.

 

The condensed consolidated interim financial statements of the Company have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and are expressed in United States dollars. The condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2022 are the first that the Company has prepared in accordance with IFRS (see Note 2(r) for details on First-Time Adoption of IFRS in the consolidated interim financial statements).

 

   For the three months ended March 31 
   2022 ($)   2021($) 
Total revenue   1,013,625    944,562 
Net loss attributable to the Company   (1,931,175)   (9,354,788)
Net loss per share (basic and diluted)   (0.01)   (0.07)

 

   As at 
   March 31, 2022   December 31, 2021 
Total assets   18,225,096    6,521,629 
Total current liabilities   1,575,725    1,489,747 
Total non-current liabilities   9,151,392    9,493,112 

 

Results of Operations

 

Three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2021

 

The net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2022 decreased by 79% compared to the net loss for the three months ended March 31, 2021 with $1,931,175 recognized during the first quarter 2022 as compared to a net loss of $9,354,788 for the first quarter 2021. Factors contributing to the net loss for the quarter included the following:

 

Revenue

 

Revenues increased by $69,063 from $944,562 for the three months ended March 31, 2021 to $1,013,625 for the three months ended March 31, 2022. The increase is primarily due to an increase in the sale price of oil and gas realized in Q1 of 2022 compared to Q1 of 2021, offset by a lower sales volume.

 

Expenses

 

For the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company incurred production expenses related to its Turkey operations of $622,318 (2021 - $632,501), depletion charges of $66,549 (2021 - $109,101), depreciation expense of $11,180 (2021 - $7,007) and asset retirement obligation accretion expense of $224,828 (2021 - $22,873). Production expenses decreased by $10,183 due to the decrease in production volumes as discussed above. Depletion decreased by $42,551 as a result of a change in lower production level, while depreciation expenses were consistent with the prior period. Accretion of asset retirement costs increased by $201,955 for the three months ended March 31, 2022 primarily due to a change in estimate of risk free discount rate.

 

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For the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company had general and administrative expenses of $1,111,900, compared to $483,624 for the three months ended March 31, 2021. $872,831 (2021 – $405,232) in expenses were from the North American head office and $$239,069 (2021 - $78,392) for the Turkey office.

 

For the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company had investor relations expenses of $176,402, compared to $84,149 for the three months ended March 31, 2021. All of these expenses were related to the North American head office.

 

Other Income (Expense)

 

For the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company had other expenses of $646,902 compared to other expenses of $8,923,195 for the three months ended March 31, 2021. Other expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2022, consists mainly of the loss from the change in the fair value of the derivative liability of $568,773 (2021 – $8,730,596) finance costs of $26,512 (2021 - $11,299), a foreign exchange loss of $121,125 (2021 - $66,445) and interest expense of $21,405 (2021 - $44,688) offset by a gain on debt extinguishment of $71,582 (2021 – loss of $72,105). For the three months ended March 31, 2022, the derivative liability arises from the Company’s warrants which are exercisable in US dollars as they have an exercise price denominated in a currency other than the Company’s functional currency of the Canadian dollar. Over the period, the value of the derivative liability increased substantially as a result of the increase in the Company’s share price from $0.19 as at January 1, 2022 to $0.30 as at March 31, 2022.

 

Total Assets

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2022, total assets increased by $11,703,467 from $6,521,629 as at December 31, 2021 to $18,225,096 as at March 31, 2022. The increase in total assets was primarily a result of an increase in cash of $11,611,557. The increase in cash is primarily a result of aggregate proceeds received of approximately $18 million CAD in gross proceeds pursuant to private placements closed in March 2022.

 

Total Non-current Liabilities

 

Total non-current liabilities as at March 31, 2022 decreased by $341,720 from $9,493,112 as at December 31, 2021 to $9,151,393 as at March 31, 2022. The decrease in total non-current financial liabilities was primarily a result of a $608,162 decrease in asset retirement obligation as a result of changes in estimates in risk free discount rate. This decrease was offset by and increase in derivative liabilities of $268,840 resulting from the change in functional currency from US dollars to Canadian dollars.

 

Summary of Quarterly Results

 

The financial information in the following tables summarizes selected financial information for the Company for the last eight quarters which was derived from annual financial statements prepared in accordance with US GAAP and are expressed in United States dollars.

 

  

March 31, 2022

($)

  

December 31, 2021

($)

  

September 30, 2021

($)

  

June 30, 2021

($)

 
Revenue   1,013,625    863,703    879,207    1,013,255 
Net Income (Loss)   (1,931,175)   84,982    5,364,888    1,832,343 
Net Income (Loss) per share (basic and diluted)   (0.01)   0.00    0.03    0.01 

 

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   2020 
  

March 31, 2021

($)

  

December 31, 2020

($)

  

September 30, 2020

($)

  

June 30, 2020

($)

 
Revenue   944,562    (811,193)   493,609    647,902 
Net Income (Loss)   (9,354,788)   (1,129,624)   (1,183,375)   (792,457)
Net Income (Loss) per share (basic and diluted)   (0.07)   (0.01)   (0.01)   (0.01)

 

Summary of Results During Prior Eight Quarters

 

Net loss increased for the three months ended March 31, 2022 by $2,043,020 compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021 from a net income of $111,845 to a net loss of $1,931,175. The increase is primarily due to a gain from the change in fair value of derivative liabilities of $966,192 recognized for the three months ended December 31, 2021 and a loss of $568,773 from the change in fair value of derivative liabilities recognized for the three months ended March 31, 2022, representing a total change of $1,534,965. This is coupled with an increase of $403,874 in general and administrative expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2022 compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021. Revenues increased by $149,922 primarily as a result of fluctuating oil sales prices between Q4 2021 and Q1 2022.

 

Net income decreased for the three months ended December 31, 2021 by $5,279,906 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2021. This is mainly attributable to a decrease in the gain from the change in fair value of derivative liability of $5,239,722 from $6,205,914 for the three months ended September 30, 2021 to $966,192 for the three months ended December 31, 2021. This decrease is a result of the warrants underlying the derivative liability expiring during the three months ended September 30, 2021. Revenues stayed fairly consistent between Q3 and Q4, 2021 with a slight decrease of $15,504.

 

Net income increased for the three months ended September 30, 2021 by $3,523,545 compared to the three months ended June 30, 2021. This is mainly attributable to an increase in the gain from the change in fair value of derivative liability of $3,173,786 from $3,032,128 for the three months ended June 30, 2021 to $6,205,914 for the three months ended September 30, 2021. The increase is a result of the Company’s decreasing share price as at September 30, 2021 compared to June 30, 2021 which is used to re-value the derivative liability at period end. Revenues decreased by $134,048 primarily as a result of fluctuating oil sales prices between Q2 2021 and Q3 2021.

 

A net income of $1,832,343 was recorded for the three months ended June 30, 2021 compared to a net loss of $9,354,788 for the three months ended March 31, 2021, representing a change of $11,254,389. This is mainly attributable to an increase in the gain from the change in fair value of derivative liability of $11,762,724 from ($8,730,596) for the three months ended March 31, 2021 to $3,032,128 for the three months ended June 30, 2021. The increase is a result of the Company’s decreasing share price as at June 30, 2021 compared to March 31, 2021 which is used to re-value the derivative liability at period end. Revenues increased by $68,693 primarily as a result of fluctuating oil sales prices between Q1 2021 and Q2 2021.

 

Net loss increased for the three months ended March 31, 2021 by $8,225,164 compared to the three months ended December 31, 2020. This is mainly attributable to an increase in the loss from the change in fair value of derivative liability of $8,887,164 from ($156,568) for the three months ended December 31, 2020 to ($8,730,596) for the three months ended March 31, 2021. The increase is a result of the Company’s increasing share price as at March 31, 2021 compared to December 31, 2020 which is used to re-value the derivative liability at period end. Revenues increased by $133,369 primarily as a result of fluctuating oil sales prices between Q4 2020 and Q1 2021.

 

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Net loss decreased for the three months ended December 31, 2020 by $53,751 compared to the three months ended September 30, 2020. This is mainly attributable to an increase in revenues of $317,584 as a result of increasing oil sales prices between Q3 and Q4 2020. This is offset by an increase in production costs of $201,354 and increase in stock based compensation of $76,177.

 

Net loss increased for the three months ended September 30, 2020 by $390,918 compared to the three months ended June 30, 2020. This is mainly attributable to an increase in stock based compensation of $167,189 in Q3 2020 compared to Q2 2020 as a result of the issuance of options in Q3 2020. Investor relation expense also increased by $149,505 during the three months ended September 30, 2020 compared to the three months ended June 30, 2020. Revenues decreased by $154,293 primarily as a result of fluctuating oil sales prices between Q2 2020 and Q3 2020.

 

Net loss increased for the three months ended June 30, 2020 by $364,629 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2020. This is mainly attributable to an increase in investor relations expenses of $212,000 incurred entirely in June 2020. Revenues stayed fairly consistent between Q1 and Q2, 2020 with a slight increase of $16,340.

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

The following table summarizes our liquidity position:

 

  

March 31, 2022

($)

  

December 31, 2021

($)

 
Cash   12,638,547    1,026,990 
Working capital   12,335,109    342,551 
Total assets   18,225,096    6,521,629 
Total liabilities   10,727,117    10,982,859 
Stockholders’ equity (deficiency)   7,497,979    (4,461,230)

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2022, working capital increased to $12,335,109 from a working capital of $342,551 as at December 31, 2021. The $11,992,558 increase in working capital is attributable to an increase in cash of $12,777,434 primarily from the proceeds received for private placements completed in March 2022. Furthermore, with the increase in cash, the Company paid off current liabilities.

 

The Company will need additional capital to fund its development program over the next 12 months. During the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company completed a private placement for approximately $18,244,000 CAD in gross proceeds. The Company also intended to continue additional financing in the coming months. The Company’s ability to raise additional funds is subject to a number of uncertainties and risk factors.

 

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Operating, Investing and Financing Activities

 

The chart below highlights the Company’s cash flows:

 

  

March 31, 2022

($)

  

March 31, 2021

($)

 
Net cash provided by (used in):          
Operating activities   (483,142)   (256,159)
Investing activities   (550,721)   (743)
Financing activities   12,470,456    1,383,421 
Effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents   174,964    (9,434)
Increase (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash   11,611,557    1,117,085 

 

Cash Used in Operating Activities

 

Net cash used in operating activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $483,142, compared to $256,159 cash used in operating activities for three months ended March 31, 2021. The current period loss of $1,931,175 was coupled with $459,798 in changes in working capital items and offset by $988,235 in net non-cash items for the three months ended March 31, 2022. This compares to a loss of $9,425,002, offset by $1,571,758 in net non-cash items and $326,373 in changes in working capital items for the three months ended March 31, 2022

 

Cash Used in Investing Activities

 

Net cash used in investing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $550,721, compared to $743 used for the three months ended March 31, 2021. Oil and gas properties expenditures increased to $535,694 from $400 in the comparative period and property and equipment expenditures increased to $15,027 from $343 in the comparative period.

 

Cash Provided by Financing Activities

 

We have funded our business to date from sales of our common stock through private placements and loans from shareholders.

 

Net cash provided by financing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2022 was $12,470,456, compared to $1,383,421 for the three months ended March 31, 2021. Cash provided by financing activities in the current period was primarily related to $12,777,434 in proceeds for the issuance of shares related to private placements and warrant and option exercises offset by note repayments. In the comparative period cash from financing activities was primarily related to the issuance of common shares, partially offset by repayment of note payable.

 

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Future Operating Requirements

 

Based on our current plan of operations, we estimate that we will require approximately US$6,000,000 to cover our plan of operations over the next 12 months. We will require approximately US$20,000,000 for drilling wells at SASB.

 

Our current plan of operations is the drilling of up to five (5) new wells at SASB and to re-enter two existing wells to perform workovers to increase gas production. An additional 10 wells are planned to be drilled after these first seven wells are drilled. Depending on the timing of the drilling operations at our current interest (currently 49%), we project we will incur up to an additional $16 to $74 million in capital expenditures of which approximately $25,000,000 will be incurred over the next 12 months to enable us to conduct such operations

 

As of March 31, 2022, the Company had unrestricted cash of $12,638,547 and current liabilities of $1,575,725. The Company is attempting to raise additional capital to fund its future exploration and operating requirements.

 

Transactions with Related Parties

 

At March 31, 2022, accounts payable and accrued liabilities included $56,342 (December 31, 2021 - $13,831) due to related parties. The amounts are unsecured, non-interest bearing and due on demand.

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2022, management fees of $315,753 (2021 - $69,000) and director fees of $18,000 (2021 - $18,000) were incurred to related parties.

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company issued 2,000,000 (2021 - 1,416,667) units for the settlement of accounts payable owed to related parties in the amount of $242,513 (2021 - $70,833), resulting in no gain or loss.

 

During the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company issued Nil (2021 - 5,146,667) common shares relating to the exercise of Nil (2021 – 4,476,667) warrants and Nil (2021 – 670,000) options held by related parties. As consideration, the Company entered into promissory note agreements with the related parties for total principal receivable by the Company of $Nil (2021 - $518,820 (CAD$648,078)). Refer to Note 11 of the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

 

As at March 31, 2022, notes receivable included $532,485 (December 31, 2021 - $517,985) due from related parties. The amounts are unsecured, bear interest at 5% per annum and mature between one to two years from grant.

 

Financial Risk Management

 

The Company is exposed to varying degrees to a variety of financial instrument related risks:

 

Foreign exchange risk

 

Foreign exchange risk is the risk that the fair value of future cash flows will fluctuate as a result of changes in foreign exchange rates. Foreign exchange risks are closely monitored, and attempts are made to match foreign cash inflows and outflows. As at March 31, 2022, the Company is primarily exposed to foreign exchange risk through its cash and cash equivalents denominated in Canadian dollars and Turkish Lira. The Company mitigates foreign exchange risk by monitoring foreign exchange rate trends and evaluating reinvestment opportunities when possible. The Company does not currently hedge its foreign exchange risk. Based on current exposures as at March 31, 2022 and assuming that all other variables remain constant, a 10% appreciation or depreciation of the Canadian dollar or Turkish Lira against the United States dollar would result in a gain or loss of approximately $1,368,000 or $55,000 in the Company’s consolidated statements of loss and comprehensive loss, respectively

 

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Credit risk

 

Credit risk is the risk that one party to a financial instrument will cause a financial loss for the other party by failing to discharge an obligation. The Company’s cash and trade and other receivables are exposed to credit risk. The Company reduces its credit risk on cash by placing these instruments with institutions of high credit worthiness. The Company mitigates credit risk by evaluating the creditworthiness of customers prior to conducting business with them and monitoring its exposure for credit losses with existing customers. The Company has determined that no allowance is required as all amounts outstanding are considered collectible. During the three months ended March 31, 2022, the Company incurred $nil in bad debt expense (2021 - $nil).

 

Interest rate risk

 

Interest rate risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market interest rates. The Company’s outstanding debt bears interest at fixed rates. As a result, at March 31, 2022, the Company is not exposed significant interest rate risk.

 

Liquidity risk

 

Liquidity risk is the risk that the Company will encounter difficulty in meeting obligations associated with financial liabilities. The Company manages liquidity risk by maintaining sufficient cash balances to enable settlement of transactions on the due date. The Company addresses its liquidity by raising capital through the issuance of debt and equity. While the Company has been successful in securing financings in the past, there is no assurance that it will be able to do so in the future.

 

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

 

On October 1, 2018 the Company entered into an agreement to grant to a consultant of the Company a 2% (two percent) gross overriding royalty on petroleum substances produced from certain of its currently undeveloped exploration properties, namely: Block 1-11 Vranino situated in Dobrich District, Bulgaria and seven contiguous exploration licences in the province of Hakkari Yuksekova Semdiali Derecik, Turkey. The Grant of the royalty agreement was for services involving technical and corporate advisory services.

 

On October 1, 2018 the Company entered into an agreement to grant to the CEO of the Company a 0.5% (one half of one percent) gross overriding royalty on petroleum substances produced from certain of its currently undeveloped exploration properties, namely: Block 1-11 Vranino situated in Dobrich District, Bulgaria and seven contiguous exploration licences in the province of Hakkari Yuksekova Semdiali Derecik, Turkey. The Grant of the royalty agreement was for services involving technical and corporate advisory services.

 

Disclosure of Outstanding Share Data

 

The Company’s authorized share capital consists of an unlimited number of common shares of which 296,436,824 were issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2022. As of the date of this MD&A, the total number of outstanding common shares was 296,683,074.

 

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As at March 31, 2022, and as of the date of this MD&A, the following stock options were outstanding, entitling the holders thereof the right to purchase one common share for each option held as follows:

 

 

Outstanding   Exercise Price   Expiry Date  Vested 
 200,000    0.12   September 15, 2022   200,000 
 1,750,000    0.12   October 24, 2023   1,750,000 
 3,800,000    0.12   September 19, 2024   3,800,000 
 640,000    0.06   July 31, 2025   640,000 
 950,000    0.08   December 17, 2022   950,000 
 250,000    0.31   June 6, 2026   250,000 
 7,590,000            7,590,000 

 

As at March 31, 2022, the following warrants were outstanding, entitling the holders thereof the right to purchase one common share for each warrant held as follows:

 

Outstanding   Exercise Price  Expiry Date
 1,000,000   0.16 USD  March 8, 2023
 50,000   0.32 USD  June 6, 2023
 2,429,999   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 1,200,000   0.10 USD  September 8, 2023
 2,358,080   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 660,000   0.10 USD  September 30, 2023
 21,705,438   0.35 USD  March 15, 2024
 3,393,939   0.35 USD  March 16, 2024
 2,954,545   0.35 USD  March 17, 2024
 10,614,123   0.35 USD  March 18, 2024
 21,469,254   0.35 USD  March 24, 2024
 2,653,000   0.35 USD  March 28, 2024
 70,488,378       

 

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Outstanding   Exercise Price  Expiry Date
 1,000,000   0.16 USD  March 8, 2023
 50,000   0.32 USD  June 6, 2023
 2,429,999   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 1,200,000   0.10 USD  September 8, 2023
 2,358,080   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 660,000   0.10 USD  September 30, 2023
 21,705,438   0.35 USD  March 15, 2024
 3,393,939   0.35 USD  March 16, 2024
 2,954,545   0.35 USD  March 17, 2024
 10,614,123   0.35 USD  March 18, 2024
 21,469,254   0.35 USD  March 24, 2024
 2,653,000   0.35 USD  March 28, 2024
 70,488,378       

 

As of the date of this MD&A, the following warrants were outstanding, entitling the holders thereof the right to purchase one common share for each warrant held as follows:

 

Outstanding   Exercise Price  Expiry Date
 1,000,000   0.16 USD  March 8, 2023
 50,000   0.32 USD  June 6, 2023
 2,379,999   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 1,200,000   0.10 USD  September 8, 2023
 2,358,080   0.08 USD  September 8, 2023
 660,000   0.10 USD  September 30, 2023
 21,705,438   0.35 USD  March 15, 2024
 3,393,939   0.35 USD  March 16, 2024
 2,954,545   0.35 USD  March 17, 2024
 10,614,123   0.35 USD  March 18, 2024
 21,469,254   0.35 USD  March 24, 2024
 2,653,000   0.35 USD  March 28, 2024
 70,438,378       

 

15
 

 

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

 

Our consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes have been prepared in accordance with IFRS. The consolidated interim financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2022 are the first that has been prepared in accordance with IFRS. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with IFRS requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting periods.

 

We regularly evaluate the accounting policies and estimates that we use to prepare our consolidated financial statements. In general, management’s estimates are based on historical experience, on information from third party professionals, and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the facts and circumstances. Actual results could differ from those estimates made by management.

 

We believe that our critical accounting policies and estimates include the following:

 

Revenue Recognition

 

Revenue from Contracts with Customers

 

The Company recognizes revenue when it satisfies its performance obligation(s) by transferring control over a product to a customer. Revenue is measured based on the consideration the Company expects to receive in exchange for those products.

 

Performance Obligations and Significant Judgments

 

The Company sells oil and natural gas products in Turkey. The Company enters into contracts that generally include one type of distinct product in variable quantities and priced based on a specific index related to the type of product.

 

The oil and natural gas are typically sold in an unprocessed state to processors and other third parties for processing and sale to customers. The Company recognizes revenue at a point in time when control of the oil is transferred. For oil sales, control is typically transferred to the customer upon receipt at the wellhead or a contractually agreed upon delivery point. Under the Company’s natural gas contracts with processors, control transfers upon delivery at the wellhead or the inlet of the processing entity’s system. For the Company’s other natural gas contracts, control transfers upon delivery to the inlet or to a contractually agreed upon delivery point. In the cases where the Company sells to a processor, the Company has determined that the Company is the principal in the arrangement and the processors are the Company’s customers. The Company recognizes the revenue in these contracts based on the net proceeds received from the processor.

 

Transfer of control drives the presentation of transportation and gathering costs within the accompanying consolidated statements of loss and comprehensive loss. Transportation and gathering costs incurred prior to transfer of control are recorded within the general and administrative expense line item on the accompanying consolidated statements of loss and comprehensive loss, while transportation and gathering costs incurred subsequent to control transfer are recorded as a reduction to the related revenue.

 

A portion of the Company’s product sales are short-term in nature. For those contracts, the Company uses the practical expedient in IFRS 15 “Revenue from Contracts with Customers” (“IFRS 15”) Paragraph 121 exempting the Company from disclosure of the transaction price allocated to remaining performance obligations if the performance obligation is part of a contract that has an original expected duration of one year or less.

 

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For the Company’s product sales that have a contract term greater than one year, the Company uses the practical expedient in IFRS 15 Paragraph 121(a) which states the Company is not required to disclose the transaction price allocated to remaining performance obligations if the variable consideration is allocated entirely to an unsatisfied performance obligation. Under these sales contracts, each unit of product represents a separate performance obligation; therefore, future volumes are unsatisfied, and disclosure of the transaction price allocated to remaining performance obligations is not required. The Company has no unsatisfied performance obligations at the end of each reporting period.

 

The Company does not believe that significant judgments are required with respect to the determination of the transaction price, including any variable consideration identified. There is a low level of uncertainty due to the precision of measurement and use of index-based pricing with predictable differentials. Additionally, any variable consideration identified is not constrained.

 

Accounts Receivable

 

Accounts receivable consist of oil and gas receivables. The Company has classified these as short-term assets in the balance sheet because the Company expects repayment or recovery within the next 12 months. The Company evaluates these accounts receivable for collectability and, when necessary, records allowances for expected unrecoverable amounts. The Company deems all accounts receivable to be collectable and has not recorded any allowance for doubtful accounts.

 

Exploration and Evaluation Assets

 

Pre-license exploration costs are recognized in the consolidated statement of operations and comprehensive loss as incurred.

 

The costs to acquire non-producing oil and gas properties or licences to explore, drill exploratory wells and the costs to evaluate the commercial potential of underlying resources, including related borrowing costs, are initially capitalized as exploration and evaluation assets.

 

Exploration and evaluation assets are subject to technical, commercial and management review to confirm the continued intent to develop and extract the underlying resources. If an area or exploration well is no longer considered commercially viable, the related capitalized costs are charged to exploration expense.

 

Exploration and evaluation assets are not subject to depreciation, depletion and amortization.

 

When management determines with reasonable certainty that an exploration and evaluation asset will be developed, as evidenced by the classification of proved or probable reserves and the appropriate internal and external approvals, the asset is transferred to oil and gas properties.

 

Oil and gas properties

 

Oil and gas properties (“O&G”) include exploration and evaluation expenditures, development and productions costs, less accumulated depletion and depreciation and accumulated impairment loss. O&G are grouped into cash generating units for impairment testing. The Company has grouped its O&G into two CGUs: the Cendere Oil Field and SASB Gas Field.

 

When significant parts of an item of O&G have different useful lives, they are accounted for as separate items (major components).

 

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Costs incurred subsequent to the determination of technical feasibility and commercial viability and the costs of replacing parts of O&G are capitalized only when they increase the future economic benefits embodied in the specific asset to which they relate. All other expenditures are recognized in profit or loss as incurred. Such capitalized items generally represent costs incurred in developing proved and/or probable reserves and bringing on or enhancing production from such reserves and are accumulated on a field or geotechnical area basis. The carrying amount of any replaced or sold component is derecognized. The costs of the day-to-day servicing of oil ang gas properties are recognized in profit or loss as incurred.

 

The net carrying value of oil and gas properties is depleted using the unit-of-production method by reference to the ratio of production in the year to the related proved reserves, taking into account estimated future development costs necessary to bring those reserves into production. These estimates are reviewed by independent reservoir engineers at least annually.

 

Stock-based compensation

 

Under the company’s share-based compensation plans, share-based awards may be granted to executives, employees and nonemployee directors.

 

Stock options that give the holder the right to purchase common shares are accounted for as equity-settled plans. The expense is based on the fair value of the options at the time of grant using the Black-Scholes options pricing model and is recognized over the vesting periods of the respective options. A corresponding increase is recorded to option reserve. Consideration paid to the company on exercise of options is credited to share capital and the associated amount in contributed surplus is reclassified to share capital.

 

Unit Offerings

 

Common shares are classified as equity. Proceeds from unit placements are allocated between shares and warrants issued using the residual method. The residual method first allocates fair value to the component with the best evidence of fair value and then the residual value, if any, to the less easily measurable component. The fair value of the common shares, measured on date of issue, was determined to be the component with the best evidence of fair value. The balance, if any, was allocated to the attached warrants. Costs directly identifiable with share capital financing are charged against share capital.

 

Initial adoption of new accounting standards

 

The Company adopted IFRS for the first time effective for the three months ended March 31, 2022, with a transition date on January 1, 2021. See Note 2(r) of the accompanying condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2022 and 2021 for details on the adoption.

 

Subsequent Events

 

Subsequent to March 31, 2022, the Company issued 196,250 shares pursuant to the exercise of 146,250 warrants and 50,000 options that were exercised during the three months ended March 31, 2022.

 

Subsequent to March 31, 2022, the Company issued 50,000 shares pursuant to the exercise of 50,000 warrants at $0.08 for proceeds of $4,000.

 

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