Kinder Morgan (KMI) Announces 2022 Financial Expectations

Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE: KMI) today announced its preliminary 2022 financial projections. “We expect 2021 to be a record year for Kinder Morgan financially, attributable to our outperformance related to winter storm Uri in the first quarter, along with solid project execution across our business units, and two important acquisitions. Our strong performance is also reflected in our debt metric, as we expect to end the year with a Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.0 times, much better than our budgeted ratio of 4.6 times,” said Steve Kean, KMI chief executive officer.

“For 2022, with our market fundamentals remaining robust, a full year of earnings from our Stagecoach acquisition, and the completion of several projects in the fourth quarter of 2021, we project a very strong year,” said Steve Kean, KMI chief executive officer. “We expect to generate net income attributable to KMI per share of $1.09 and distributable cash flow (DCF) per share of $2.07. Our growth will continue to be supported by an unparalleled network of interconnected assets, important energy infrastructure expansion opportunities, and new investments in the energy evolution,” continued Kean.

Below is a summary of KMI’s expectations for 2022:

• Generate $1.09 of net income attributable to KMI per share, up $0.33 compared to our current 2021 forecast of $0.76 and up $0.70 compared to a calculation of the 2021 forecast of $0.39 that excludes the largely nonrecurring outperformance in the first quarter related to winter storm Uri. This expected increase is largely due to asset impairments taken in 2021.
• Generate $2.07 DCF per share, down 13% with the outperformance due to Uri reflected in the current forecast for 2021 and up 9% without it.
• Generate $7.2 billion of Adjusted EBITDA, up 5% from the 2021 forecast excluding the outperformance related to winter storm Uri).
• Invest $1.3 billion in expansion projects and contributions to joint ventures, or discretionary capital expenditures, in 2022.
• Generate DCF in excess of discretionary capital expenditures and dividends of approximately $870 million.
• Return additional value to shareholders in 2022 through an anticipated $1.11 per share dividend (annualized) and opportunistic share repurchases of up to $750 million.
• End 2022 with a Net Debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 4.3 times, below our long-term target of approximately 4.5 times.
• The expected $2.07 of DCF per share and the 4.3 times leverage metric do not reflect the impact of possible opportunistic share repurchases.

Please see “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below for definitions of DCF, Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt, and the accompanying tables for reconciliations of 2022 budgeted net income attributable to KMI to budgeted DCF and budgeted Adjusted EBITDA.

KMI’s expectations assume average annual prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and Henry Hub natural gas of $72.50 per barrel and $4.25 per MMBtu, respectively, consistent with forward pricing during the budget process. The vast majority of cash generated by KMI is fee-based and therefore is not directly exposed to commodity prices. The primary area where KMI has commodity price sensitivity is in its CO2 segment, where KMI hedges the majority of its next 12 months of oil production to minimize this sensitivity. For 2022, the company estimates that every $1 per barrel change in the average WTI crude oil price impacts DCF by approximately $8.7 million and each $0.10 per MMBtu change in the price of natural gas impacts DCF by approximately $0.6 million.

The KMI board of directors has preliminarily reviewed the 2022 budget and will take formal action on it at the January board meeting. Management will discuss the budget in detail during the company’s annual investor day conference on Jan. 26, 2022, in Houston, Texas. Kinder Morgan remains committed to transparency and will continue to publish its budget on the company’s website as presented at the investor day conference. The 2022 budget will be the standard by which KMI measures its performance next year and will be a factor in determining employee compensation.

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