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Anadarko Petroleum (APC) Reports 2018 Capital Program & Sales Volume Guidance

November 16, 2017 7:35 AM EST
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Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: APC) today announced its 2018 capital expectations and guidance. In 2018, the company expects to make capital investments in the range of $4.2 to $4.6 billion.(1) The capital program is designed to enhance shareholder value by delivering attractive margins and returns, while advancing the development of the company's core assets within discretionary cash flow.

2018 ANADARKO CAPITAL PROGRAM HIGHLIGHTS

  • Allocates approximately 80 percent of capital toward the Delaware and DJ basins, including Anadarko midstream, and the deepwater Gulf of Mexico
  • Generates material free cash flow at current strip prices and breaks even in a $50 oil and $3 natural gas commodity-price environment(2)
  • Delivers a cash return on invested capital of 20 percent(3)
  • Results in approximately 14-percent oil growth year-over-year, which is 19-percent oil growth per debt-adjusted-share(4) (5)

"Our 2018 investment plan will again be driven by capital efficiency and financial discipline," said Anadarko Chairman, President and CEO Al Walker. "These key tenets have served us well for the last decade, as growth within cash flow is fundamental to delivering capital-efficient returns. Our repositioned asset footprint is built to succeed in a market where oil prices exhibit volatility in a $45-$60 environment, with gas averaging $3 per Mcf (thousand cubic feet). We expect next year's capital expenditures to be inside of discretionary cash flow at $50 and $3, while generating free cash flow of more than $700 million at the current strip.(2) Further, we plan to return substantial cash to shareholders by executing the remaining $1.5 billion of our $2.5 billion share-repurchase program during the coming year."

"We are also modifying the metrics in our 2018 compensation program to increase the profile for the role of capital efficiency and financial discipline and refine the focus on our safety performance," added Walker. "Performance objectives will now include cash return on invested capital,(3) volume growth per debt-adjusted share, and reserve additions per debt-adjusted share.(5) As I have highlighted recently, moving to debt-adjusted performance metrics in particular will align our compensation programs to the capital-allocation philosophy we have employed over the last ten years."

2018 Capital Expectations ($4.2 - $4.6 Billion)(1)

By Area

Billions

By Type

U.S. Onshore Upstream

$

2.10

U.S.*

85%

Deepwater Gulf of Mexico

1.10

International Cash Generation**

3%

International Operations

0.15

Future Upside (Exploration and LNG)

9%

Exploration and LNG

0.35

Corporate

3%

Midstream

0.55

Note: All amounts are approximates.

* All Anadarko U.S. onshore upstream and midstream, and deepwater Gulf of Mexico

** Algeria and Ghana operations

Sales-Volume Expectations(4)

2017 Outlook

2018 Expectations

Total (MMBOE)

224 - 228

245 - 255

Oil (MBOPD)

343 - 348

385 - 405

U.S. FOCUS AREAS

In 2018, Anadarko plans to allocate approximately $900 million toward upstream activities in the Delaware Basin of West Texas, with an additional $500 million directed toward Anadarko midstream investments.(1) This program supports the continuation of the company's efforts to build out one of the most expansive and integrated infrastructure positions in the region. Anadarko has successfully delineated the majority of its Wolfcamp-A oil-weighted opportunity, which the company estimates to hold more than 3 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) of net resources. The company also advanced its efforts to capture operatorship on 70 percent of its acreage position primarily in Reeves and Loving counties. Additionally, Anadarko continues to progress the construction of three Regional Oil Treating Facilities to support its more cost-effective and environmentally beneficial tankless battery design field-wide, while also securing necessary gathering, processing, and takeaway capacity. This comprehensive buildout plan and phased development approach in the basin is expected to deliver incremental oil sales volume during the second half of 2018, with total oil sales volume expected to increase more than 50 percent relative to 2017. During 2018, the company plans to average seven operated rigs and six completion crews.

In the DJ Basin of northeast Colorado, where the company has more than 2 billion BOE of net resources within its development area, Anadarko expects to invest approximately $950 million on upstream activities in 2018. It plans to average five operated rigs and three completions crews in the basin. The company expects to increase year-over-year oil sales volume from the DJ Basin by about 30 percent.

In 2018, Anadarko expects to allocate approximately $1.1 billion toward its deepwater Gulf of Mexico operations. The majority of these investments are expected to be directed toward high-return oil development opportunities near operated infrastructure at Lucius, Horn Mountain, Marlin, Holstein and Marco Polo. The company plans to operate two floating drillships and spud approximately five development wells in the Gulf during the year.

INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS

Anadarko plans to allocate more than $150 million toward its international cash-generating operations in Algeria and Ghana in 2018. These investments will support further drilling in the TEN development area, which is expected to commence in early 2018, as well as additional drilling operations in the Jubilee field following the Ghanaian Government's recent approval of the full-field plan of development.

EXPLORATION AND LNG

The company's exploration investments in 2018 are expected to total about $200 million. Exploration spending will primarily be focused on the Gulf of Mexico, where the company plans to drill identified prospects near existing operated infrastructure. Additional exploration investment will be allocated to the U.S. onshore, as the company continues to identify future areas that can make a material and scalable addition to its portfolio.

Approximately $150 million is expected to be invested during 2018 as the company advances the Mozambique LNG project. This investment will primarily be used to fund Anadarko's portion of the costs associated with preparing the site of the future LNG park.

PRESENTATION AND WEBCAST

Anadarko's Executive Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer, Bob Gwin, will provide additional details and information regarding the 2018 capital program during his presentation at the Bank of America Merrill Lynch 2017 Global Energy Conference today at 10:30 a.m. EST. The link to the audio webcast presentation will be available in the Investor section at www.anadarko.com. The replay and slide presentation also will be available on the company's website for approximately 30 days following the event.

(1) Does not include capital investments made by Western Gas Partners, LP .

(2) See the accompanying Adjusted Free Cash Flow table for a reconciliation of the GAAP to the non-GAAP financial measure and a statement indicating why management believes the non-GAAP financial measure provides useful information for investors.

(3) Cash Return on Invested Capital (CROIC) is computed as follows:

(APC Consolidated Cash Flows from Operations (CFFO) - WGP CFFO + WGP distributions to APC)

(Stockholders' Equity + Anadarko Debt)

(4) Amounts are divestiture adjusted.

(5) Debt-Adjusted Share(s) is computed as follows:

Anadarko Debt

+ Shares Outstanding

Share Price

Anadarko Petroleum CorporationReconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Below are reconciliations of certain GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures, each as required under Regulation G of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This non-GAAP information should be considered by the reader in addition to, but not instead of, the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. The non-GAAP financial information presented may be determined or calculated differently by other companies and may not be comparable to similarly titled measures.

Adjusted Discretionary Cash Flow from Operations (Adjusted DCF) and Adjusted Free Cash Flow (Adjusted FCF)

The Company defines Adjusted DCF as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities before changes in accounts receivable; changes in accounts payable and other current liabilities; other items, net; certain nonoperating and other excluded items; and Western Gas Partners, LP (WES)/Western Gas Equity Partners, LP (WGP) distributions to third parties.

The Company defines Adjusted FCF as Adjusted DCF adjusted by capital expenditures excluding WES and cash received from monetizations.

Management believes that these measures are useful to management and investors as a measure of a company's ability to internally fund its capital expenditures and to service or incur additional debt. These measures eliminate the impact of certain items that management does not consider to be indicative of the Company's performance from period to period. To assist in measuring the Company's performance, management will also evaluate Anadarko on a deconsolidated basis, which excludes WES.

The Company's press release includes a forward-looking Adjusted FCF estimate; however, the Company is unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the forward-looking non-GAAP measure to its most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP measure because management cannot reliably predict certain of the necessary components of such forward-looking GAAP measure. The reconciling items in future periods could be significant. Below is a reconciliation of Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (GAAP) to Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP) for the most recently reported annual period.

millions

Year Ended December, 31 2016

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (GAAP)

$

3,000

Adjusted by:

Increase (decrease) in accounts receivable

(677)

(Increase) decrease in accounts payable and other current liabilities

443

Other items, net

142

Certain nonoperating and other excluded items

299

WES/WGP distributions to third parties

(362)

Adjusted discretionary cash flow from operations (Non-GAAP) *

$

2,845

Adjusted by:

Capital expenditures excluding WES*

(2,823)

Monetizations excluding WES

3,537

Adjusted free cash flow (Non-GAAP)

$

3,559

*WES capital expenditures

491



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