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Redfin Report: Nashville Lands on List of Popular Homebuyer Migration Destinations For First Time Since 2021

November 29, 2023 8:00 AM EST

Nationwide, there are fewer homebuyers looking to relocate than a year ago due to elevated mortgage rates and high housing costs

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) —Nashville has made the list of top migration destinations for the first time since 2021, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. It was the ninth-most popular destination for homebuyers looking to relocate to a new metro area in October, with people most commonly moving in from Los Angeles.

“A lot of Nashville locals have been priced out of homeownership, but when you're coming from somewhere like California or New York, housing prices here still seem reasonable,” said local Redfin Premier real estate agent Kristin Sanchez. “Nashville has relatively low property taxes, insurance costs and utility prices, along with no state income tax, all of which definitely help if you’re looking for a lower cost of living.”

The typical home that sold in Nashville in October went for $448,910, roughly half the cost of the typical home in Los Angeles ($880,000).

Sanchez said a lot of her clients are from California, but she has also been working with people from Chicago, New York and Florida. In addition to people moving to Nashville in search of affordability, some buyers are relocating for work. Amazon has a corporate hub in Nashville and financial firm AllianceBernstein has moved its corporate headquarters there.

Sacramento was the most popular migration destination in October

Sacramento, CA was the most popular destination for homebuyers looking to move to a new metro area in October. The typical home that sold there in October went for $578,000, roughly a million dollars less than the $1.5 million typical home in San Francisco—the most popular origin of buyers moving to Sacramento.

Las Vegas and Orlando, FL were the second and third most popular destinations for homebuyers looking to relocate.

Myrtle Beach, SC ranked fourth after making its debut on Redfin’s list of most popular destinations in July at #9. In addition to Orlando, three other Florida metros made the top 10: North Port-Sarasota, Cape Coral and Tampa.

Many of these metros have a few things in common: They’re more affordable than the most common origin of homebuyers moving in, they’re in the Sun Belt and they face intensifying climate risks. Florida, for example, is endangered by hurricanes and flooding, and Sacramento and Las Vegas face risk from high heat. Insurers have pulled out of vulnerable areas in recent months, which could ultimately lead to a decline in home values in some places.

Top 10 Metros Homebuyers Are Moving Into, by Net Inflow

Net inflow = Number of Redfin.com home searchers looking to move into a metro area, minus the number of searchers looking to leave

Metro*

Net Inflow, October 2023

Net Inflow, October 2022

Top Origin

Top Out-of-State Origin

 

Sacramento, CA

5,000

7,800

San Francisco, CA

New York, NY

Las Vegas, NV

4,000

7,100

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

Orlando, FL

3,700

3,700

New York, NY

New York, NY

Myrtle Beach, SC

3,700

3,100

Washington, D.C.

Washington, D.C.

Portland, ME

3,600

3,200

Boston, MA

Boston, MA

North Port-Sarasota, FL

3,600

4,300

New York, NY

New York, NY

Salisbury, MD

3,500

2,300

Washington, D.C.

Washington, D.C.

Cape Coral, FL

3,400

4,600

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

Nashville, TN

2,800

2,700

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

Tampa, FL

2,800

5,600

New York, NY

New York, NY

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users searching to and from the region in August 2023-October 2023

Homebuyers are leaving expensive cities including San Francisco, New York and Los Angeles

Homebuyers are leaving San Francisco, New York and Los Angeles more than any other metros in the country. That’s based on net outflow, a measure of how many more Redfin.com users are looking to leave a metro than move in.

It’s typical for expensive job centers to top the list of places homebuyers are moving away from as those people seek more affordable housing. Homebuyers leaving Los Angeles, for instance, are most commonly moving to Las Vegas, where homes are roughly half the price.

While San Francisco saw a net outflow in October, it was a much smaller net outflow than a year earlier. That’s likely in part because home prices fell during that time period, bringing some buyers back to the market. San Francisco’s $1.5 million median home sale price in October was nearly 10% below the record high in April 2022.

Top 10 Metros Homebuyers Are Leaving, by Net Outflow

Net outflow = Number of Redfin.com home searchers looking to leave a metro area, minus the number of searchers looking to move in

Metro*

Net Outflow, October 2023

Net Outflow, October 2022

Portion of Local Users Searching Elsewhere

Top Destination

Top Out-of-State Destination

 

San Francisco, CA

25,700

35,700

23%

Sacramento, CA

Seattle, WA

New York, NY

25,300

22,300

29%

Miami, FL

Miami, FL

Los Angeles, CA

23,500

34,100

19%

Las Vegas, NV

Las Vegas, NV

Washington, D.C.

13,600

18,000

18%

Salisbury, MD

Salisbury, MD

Seattle, WA

6,600

1,600

18%

Spokane, WA

Phoenix, AZ

Chicago, IL

6,300

7,200

15%

Milwaukee, WI

Milwaukee, WI

Boston, MA

4,500

7,800

19%

Portland, ME

Portland, ME

Hartford, CT

2,400

1,100

69%

Boston, MA

Boston, MA

Philadelphia, PA

2,300

1,500

21%

Salisbury, MD

Salisbury, MD

San Diego, CA

2,100

inflow of 6,500

29%

Las Vegas, NV

Las Vegas, NV

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users searching to and from the region in August 2023-October 2023

Roughly 1 in 4 homebuyers are looking to leave their home metro for somewhere new

Nationwide, 24.7% of Redfin.com users looked to move to a different metro area in October, down from 25.9% the month before. While that's the largest month-over-month drop on record, the share remains higher than pre-pandemic levels. That’s because housing affordability has become increasingly strained, meaning that while fewer people are moving in general, many of the people who are moving are relocating to different metros to get more bang for their buck.

In October, there was a month-over-month uptick in the number of Redfin.com users looking to move within their home metro and a downtick in the number looking to move outside of their home metro, which helps explain why the share of users looking to leave home dropped.

On a year-over-year basis, the number of Redfin.com users looking to move away from their metro area fell 7.9% in October—the second largest decrease in records dating back to 2017 (the largest drop was in September). The number of Redfin.com users looking to move within their metro also declined from a year earlier, dropping 10.8%, but that is the smallest decline in about a year.

The number of people relocating has fallen in recent months because moving has become more expensive. The 30-year-fixed mortgage rate in October hit 7.79%—the highest level in 23 years—and home prices were up 3.5% from a year earlier. But mortgage rates have fallen in recent weeks, which could prompt more people to move and purchase homes in the coming months.

To view the full report, including charts and methodology, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-migration-trends-october-2023

About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with same day tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home in certain markets can have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Customers who buy and sell with Redfin pay a 1% listing fee, subject to minimums, less than half of what brokerages commonly charge. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1.5 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email [email protected]. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

Redfin Journalist Services:
Kenneth Applewhaite, 206-588-6863
[email protected]

Source: Redfin



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