UK to Intervene in Nvidia's (NVDA) ARM Deal, Analyst Says Although Intervention 'Carries Significant Weight,' NVDA is Still a Buy

April 19, 2021 10:18 AM EDT
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The UK government announced today it has issued an intervention notice to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and ARM over the proposed $40 billion takeover.

The government wants to focus on the national security implications before approving the deal. The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) is required to investigate and report by 30 July 2021.

"As a next step and to help me gather the relevant information, the UK’s independent competition authority will now prepare a report on the implications of the transaction, which will help inform any further decisions," Digital minister Oliver Dowden.

Nvidia reacted by saying that the proposed deal doesn’t pose any material national security issues.

"We will continue to work closely with the British authorities, as we have done since the announcement of this deal," said Nvidia.

Once the review is done, Dowden will have a few options on the table: Clear the deal or send it for a longer investigation.

Rosenblatt analyst Hans Mosesmann has been somewhat "surprised" by the news from the UK.

“Given ARM's headquarters and ancestral foundings in the U.K., it carries significant weight that could sway other key countries, including China, to also vote against or intervene against the deal,” he wrote in a note sent to clients today.

“Our own position has been that the deal was a 50-50 proposition, and given last week’s sudden announcement of Grace, Nvidia's Plan B CPU roadmap without the ARM acquisition is on the table.”

However, the analyst has reiterated a “Buy” rating on NVDA despite this intervention. He adds that this development won’t change the long-term outlook on NVDA, which is based on AI and accelerated computing being the path forward and the next cycle.

We “would buy the shares,” the analyst concludes.

Shares of Nvidia are down 1.5% in today’s trading session.

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