Palantir (PLTR) Stock Tumbles 15% on Soft Outlook, Citi Sees Many Negatives

August 8, 2022 9:35 AM EDT
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Price: $7.63 +1.33%

Rating Summary:
    4 Buy, 5 Hold, 4 Sell

Rating Trend: Down Down

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    Up: 6 | Down: 5 | New: 17
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Shares of Palantir (NYSE PLTR) are down about 13% at the market open after the software company offered lukewarm revenue guidance.

Palantir reported Q2 revenue of $473 million, somewhere in line with the Bloomberg consensus of $472.5 million. PLTR also reported an adjusted loss per share of 1c, better than the analyst estimate of 2.9c. The adjusted operating margin came in at 23%.

For this quarter, Palantir said it expects to see revenue between $474 million and $475 million, down from the prior estimate of $506.3 million. On a full-year basis, revenue is seen at $1.9 billion, again lower than the $1.98 billion consensus.

“Revised guidance excludes any new major US government awards and we believe this to be the base case,” the company said in a press release.

Citi analyst Tyler Radke weighed in negatively amid “weak” Q3 guidance against “much easier comps.”

Radke reiterated a Sell rating as Q2 results “showed signs of continuing slowing growth and deteriorating margins at PLTR with another skinny beat on top-line (<1%), despite messaging incremental conservatism last Q,” the analyst said in a client note.

“While Q4 implied guidance was just 17% y/y, well below management’s 30%+ topline growth CAGR, and we think could indicate customer churn into the 2H. Q3 (and implied q4) operating margins were guided significantly below street by 16-17 pts, likely reflecting significant reinvesting. We expect stock to trade lower,” he added.

By Senad Karaahmetovic

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Citi, Senad Karaahmetovic