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Goldman Raises Price Target on Tim Hortons (THI), Continues To Post High-Teens EPS Growth

March 22, 2011 9:50 AM EDT
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Price: $85.92 --0%

Rating Summary:
    3 Buy, 12 Hold, 1 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 16 | Down: 11 | New: 13
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Goldman Sachs is maintaining its Buy rating on shares of Tim Hortons (NYSE: THI) following a recent meeting with management. The analysts comment that they are more confident in the company's performance and are raising their 2011, 2012, and 2013 EPS estimates to $2.45, $2.95, and $3.49 from $2.42, $2.87, and $3.35 as a result. To go inline with its new estimates, Goldman is raising their price target to $57 from $52.

In the Canadian market, the firm sees the potential for near double-digit top-line growth as pricing is likely to drive 5%-6% SSS growth. Goldman believe that the company's U.S. EBIT will double to $20 million in 2011 and has the potential to grow to $50 million plus as franchisee assistance wanes.

The firm predicts that THI has the potential for a multiple expansion as investors increasingly appreciate the potential for sustained high-teens EPS growth. The company is also exploring partnership options for a single serve strategy which could drive $0.10-plus of EPS.

THI announced a buyback plan for $445 million of its shares in 2011. Goldman believes that a repurchase may sustain at a similar $300-$400 million pace in out-years.

For more ratings news on Tim Hortons click here and for the rating history of Tim Hortons click here.

Shares of Tim Hortons closed at $46.08 yesterday.


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