U of M Sentiment 91.8 vs 92 Expected
U of M Sentiment 91.8 vs 92 Expected
Preliminary Results for December 2015
Dec | Nov | Dec | M-M | Y-Y | |
2015 | 2015 | 2014 | Change | Change | |
Index of Consumer Sentiment | 91.8 | 91.3 | 93.6 | +0.5% | -1.9% |
Current Economic Conditions | 107.0 | 104.3 | 104.8 | +2.6% | +2.1% |
Index of Consumer Expectations | 82.0 | 82.9 | 86.4 | -1.1% | -5.1% |
Next data release: Wednesday, December 23, 2015 for Final December data at 10am ET
Surveys of Consumers chief economist, Richard Curtin
While the preliminary December reading was largely unchanged from last month, consumers evaluated current economic conditions more favorably and expected future prospects less favorably. In a repeat of last month's findings, all of the early December gain was recorded among households with incomes in the bottom two-thirds (+2.7%), while the Sentiment Index among consumers with incomes in the top third declined (-4.4%). Importantly, the survey recorded persistent strength in personal finances and buying plans, while the largest loss was in how consumers judged prospects for the national economy during the year ahead. Overall, the Sentiment Index has averaged 92.9 during 2015, the highest since 2004, with only 10 higher yearly averages in the past half century. The data continue to indicate that real consumer expenditures will grow by 2.8% in 2016 over 2015.
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