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Rochdale Securities Upgrades MarineMax (HZO) to Buy

October 26, 2009 8:20 AM EDT
HZO Hot Sheet
Rating Summary:
    0 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 16 | Down: 7 | New: 23
Rochdale Securities upgrades MarineMax (NYSE: HZO) from Hold to Buy. Price target increased from $6 to $10.

Rochdale analyst says, "Cost cutting, together with a stabilizing marine market, should enable HZO to march toward profitability in FY 2010. This compares with a consensus that is calling for a dramatic loss...Discounting to move non-current inventory pressured margins in FY09. This will be very pronounced in the upcoming quarter. With inventory levels down and aging improving, pricing should firm. Margins on current inventory have held up. We expect gross margins to improve in and SG&A to decline to a $10m/mo run rate."

"We are not pronouncing that the marine market is on the rise, but HZO has taken steps to move toward profitability and is positioned to gain share when we emerge from this deep downturn...No long term debt...Inventory down by a third and units - 50%. Cash position good. HZO still closing stores and shrinking footprint (our estimates exclude any potential charges from closings). We expect store count to settle out at 55-60, down from 65 at the end of the prior quarter...We are forecasting that HZO earns $0.15 per share in 2010 on a 3% increase in sales vs. the lion's share of analyst estimates that call for a substantial loss (-$0.85 consensus excluding our estimate, with the low at -$1.76)."

To see more analyst ratings on HZO Click Here.


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