Maxim Group Upgrades Madison Square Garden (MSG) to Buy on Better Cost Conrol, Bet the NHL Lockout Ends

November 5, 2012 8:19 AM EST Send to a Friend
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Price: $59.42 +0.81%

Rating Summary:
    9 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 21 | Down: 24 | New: 29
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Maxim Group upgraded Madison Square Garden (NASDAQ: MSG) from Hold to Buy with a price target of $52.00 on Q3 EBITDA beat due to better cost control and a bet that the NHL lockout ends.

Analyst John Tinker notes:
"The company reported EBITDA of $63.3M (up 37.4% y/y) significantly beating both our/consensus estimates of~ $47M. We are maintaining our FY13 revenue estimate of $1.38B (up 7.2% y/y) but raising our FY13 EBITDA estimate to $309.7M (9.3% y/y) from $295M. We are maintaining our FY14 revenue estimate of $1.51B (up 10% y/y) and EBITDA estimate of $352M (up 13.8% y/y) as the Forum opens compared to consensus estimate for revenue of $1.50B and EBITDA of $332M."

He notes that FY13 estimates could fall if the NHL lockout continues. A full lockout could cost the Garden ~$60M in EBITDA, a combination of no game admission revenue and lower MSG ratings.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Madison Square Garden click here. For more ratings news on Madison Square Garden click here.

Shares of Madison Square Garden closed at $41.45 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $24.63-$44.75.


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