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Deckers Outdoor (DECK) e-Commerce Sales Bolstered Softer Dec. Retail Numbers - Sterne Agee

January 7, 2015 9:43 AM EST
Get Alerts DECK Hot Sheet
Price: $812.62 -0.8%

Rating Summary:
    25 Buy, 16 Hold, 0 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 17 | Down: 14 | New: 16
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Sterne Agee remains positive on Deckers Outdoor (Nasdaq: DECK) following recent holiday sales checks.

Analyst Sam Poser noted that there was a bit of sales deceleration in the Northeast due to a warmer December, though sales in other parts of the U.S. were robust. Poser offered the following key points:

  • December UGG sales decelerated from November. However, retailers made or got very close to plan for the holiday selling season.
  • Cancellations were virtually nonexistent.
  • Cold weather, waterproof boots, the new fashion boots and the traditional slippers all performed well.
  • Classic sales ebbed and flowed as the weather warmed and cooled.
  • Sales performance outside of the Northeast was better on a year-over-year basis than it was in the Northeast.
  • Sales in the Northeast appear to range from down 2% to 4% to up 3 to 4%.
  • Online sales from both UGG.com and other sites such as Zappos (Nasdaq: AMZN), and Nordstrom.com (NYSE: JWN) are said to have performed very well.
  • UGG stores appear to have performed well. We are forecasting comp store sales of -0.8%. We would not be surprised if that forecast proved conservative.
  • One retailer whose UGG sales were down slightly said that UGG was "still a monster."
  • Our checks indicate that Nordstrom was out of many key items just before Christmas, but were back in stock over the past week. Such a change leads us to believe that fill in orders of UGGs continue to flow.
  • The modest polar vortex underway in January should sustain the momentum and lead to a raise of full year '15 guidance.
  • Sterne Agee has Deckers at Buy with a price target of $110.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Deckers Outdoor click here. For more ratings news on Deckers Outdoor click here.

Deckers Outdoor closed at $79.80 yesterday.



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Sterne Agee, Sam Poser