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UPDATE: Credit Suisse Starts Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Big Things To Come

March 17, 2011 11:06 AM EDT
Get Alerts HPQ Hot Sheet
Price: $27.79 +0.62%

Rating Summary:
    16 Buy, 20 Hold, 2 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 11 | Down: 18 | New: 17
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Credit Suisse initiated coverage on shares of Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) today with an Outperform rating and $60 price target.

The firm believes that the company's transition from a hardware-centric business model continues, with services, storage, and networking which increases the mix and will drive group margins higher. With this, Credit Suisse sees no reason why they can't hit a $6 EPS for CY12 and 45% in upside potential.

With Credit Suisse's proprietary IT services demand forecast suggesting that when compared to GDP growth, hardware/software attach or to corporate profits; global IT services are being under-consumed globally. This allows a backdrop for accelerating revenue growth. With a combination of faster growing emerging markets, robust end to end offings, and their current cost saving program; the firm believes that they will drive 2011 and 2012 segment margins to 15.5% and 16% and to over 17% by FY14.

The firm comments that there is three main moves that their new CEO should consider:
  1. Re-invigorate the software segment, which contributes only 5% to profit and is a tenth the size of IBM's software business, through hiring and M&A. Here the company's projected cumulative FCF of $65bn over the next five years offers flexibility.
  2. Drive an all-out price war to accelerate share gains in networking at Cisco's expense, since segment margins, though lower than Cisco's, are materially accretive to HP's 24% gross margins.
  3. Consider exiting the PC business in light of its commodity status and limited strategic benefits.
For more ratings news on Hewlett-Packard click here and for the rating history of Hewlett-Packard click here.

Shares of Hewlett-Packard closed at $40.14 yesterday.


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