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Private Equity Swoops-In To Buy DynCorp (DCP) 'On the Cheap'; Deal Highlights Value of Peers

April 12, 2010 11:18 AM EDT
Today government service provider DynCorp International (NYSE: DCP) agreed to be acquired by private equity firm Cerberus Capital for $17.55 per share, or a 49% percent premium to Friday's close.

The deal comes at a multiple of 12.4x the FY10 consensus of $1.41 and 11x the FY11 consensus of $1.59. The company is currently operating in the fourth quarter of FY10.

Competitors of DynCorp that trade publicly in the U.S. and their valuation multiple:
  • SAIC, Inc. (NYSE: SAI) 12.8x (FY11)
  • ITT Corporation (NYSE: ITT) 13.5X (FY10)
  • KBR (NYSE: KBR) 13.8x (FY10)
  • Fluor (NYSE: FLR) 17x (FY10)
  • Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) 11X (FY10)
  • L-3 Holdings (NYSE: LLL) 11.5X (FY10)
  • United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) 16X (FY10)
Other competitors include Civilian Police International, IAP Worldwide, Xe Inc, Serco, Triple Canopy Inc., Aerospace Industrial Development Corporation, and Al Salam Aircraft Company Ltd.

So looking at the numbers above, this was a case were DynCorp was trading significantly below the peer multiple. Before the takeout, DynCorp was trading at 8x FY10 and 7x FY10.

While all of the peers already trade above the deal multiple of 11x FY11, it could highlight that private equity sees 'extreme' value at these levels and any stock at or near this level could be a "buy."

So based on this view, SAIC, Inc. (NYSE: SAI), ITT Corporation (NYSE: ITT), KBR (NYSE: KBR), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and L-3 Holdings (NYSE: LLL) all look compelling as they all trade near the private equity 'must takeover' multiple of 11x.

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