Piper Jaffray Comments On Solar Companies Exposure To Lehman Brothers Collapse (SPWR, ESLR, JASO)

September 16, 2008 3:57 PM EDT

Piper Jaffray analyst Jesse Pichel commented on solar stocks today related to exposure to the Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) bankruptcy.

The firm noted that SunPower (Nasdaq: SPWR), Evergreen Solar (Nasdaq: ESLR) and JA Solar (Nasdaq: JASO) are all negatively affected by the Lehman bankruptcy with respect to prior convertible bond transactions and stock lending agreements. The firm said it would be prudent for investors to assume the worst case scenarios.

On JA Solar, Pichel said, "We estimate JASO would realize ~4% dilution on stock and incur a non-cash write off of $7M for the book value of the capped call, and also write off a $100M investment in a LEH vehicle."

On Evergreen Solar, Pichel said, "ESLR worse case scenario – lose the $39.5M premium if the capped call transaction with Lehman is not replaced, as well as dilute share count by 30M (~25%) without getting anything in return for the dilution."

On SunPower, Pichel said, "worse case scenario – 2.9M (~3%) share dilution."

Pichel said the downside is fully priced into shares of SPWR and JASO given only limited potential dilution. Pichel said he does not believe Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE), Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ), and Suntech Power (NYSE: STP) are impacted by Lehman's bankruptcy filing.


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Stocks Mentioned

CSIQ 4.63

-0.22 -4.54%
Volume: 709,077
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ESLR 2.27

-0.40 -14.98%
Volume: 4,263,795
Track ESLR

JASO 3.25

-0.36 -9.97%
Volume: 3,876,197
Track JASO

LEH 0.13

+0.00 +0.00%
Volume: 0
Track LEH

SPWR 60.75

+0.00 +0.00%
Volume: 3,741,039
Track SPWR

STP 7.31

-0.69 -8.63%
Volume: 4,438,322
Track STP

YGE 3.86

-0.02 -0.52%
Volume: 3,013,774
Track YGE


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Comments

Evergreen is quite OK
Richard Kerver on Sep 16, 2008 07:22 PM

These comments by Jesse Pichel are irresponsible. Evergreen Solar held a conference call Monday evening on their exposure to Lehman. They received proceeds of $325.8 million for the capped call trade of 30 million shares, and have those funds on account for completion of their Devens plant, which is up and running and has panel output. ESLR is on target and is not hampered by Lehman. Please try to get your facts straight and try responsible journalism.


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