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Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLKI) Trims Top End of FY16 EPS Outlook, But In-Line with the Street

January 9, 2017 4:19 PM EST

Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Inc. (NASDAQ: PLKI) reported selected unaudited results for its fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal year which ended December 25, 2016.

Popeyes Chief Executive Officer Cheryl Bachelder stated, “We are pleased to report another year of strong growth for the Popeyes brand. We generated annual global same-store sales growth of 1.7%. Our footprint continues to expand with 216 net new global openings: 118 domestic and 98 international. We are excited about our future and achieving our long term strategic growth goals. The Popeyes team remains dedicated to serving our franchisees well and creating value for our shareholders.”

FY 2016 Preliminary Results Previous Guidance
Global same-store sales 1.7% 1.0% to 2.0%
Global new restaurant openings 216 200 to 235
Net new global restaurants openings 159 140 to 185
Reported earnings per share - GAAP $1.99 to $2.01 $2.00 to $2.05
Adjusted earnings per share(1) - Non-GAAP $2.10 to $2.12 $2.10 to $2.15 (*** cons is $2.11)

Global same-store sales increased 2.8% in the fourth quarter with an increase in domestic same-store sales of 3.0%. The fourth quarter compounded two-year global same-store sales growth was 5.7%. For the full year, global same-store sales increased 1.7%. Annual compounded two-year global same-store sales growth was 7.7%.

During the fourth quarter, the Popeyes’ system opened 52 domestic and 37 international restaurants, bringing full year 2016 openings to 216 restaurants, compared to 219 restaurants last year. The Popeyes system permanently closed 57 restaurants in fiscal 2016, resulting in net new restaurant openings of 159 restaurants, compared to 166 net restaurants in 2015.

Based on its fourth quarter sales and store opening performance, the Company now expects fiscal 2016 reported earnings per diluted share ("EPS") will be in the range of $1.99 to $2.01, which includes impacts of asset impairments and other non-operating items. Adjusted earnings per diluted share are expected to be in the range of $2.10 to $2.12, compared to $1.91 in fiscal 2015, an increase of approximately 10%. The Company's previous guidance for adjusted earnings per share was $2.10 to $2.15.

The Company is currently in discussions with its lenders regarding a $150 million expansion of its current $250 million revolving credit facility with the intention to increase total leverage ratio to 2.5 to 3.5 times by the end of 2017. The Company plans to provide an update on uses of cash and additional debt capacity during its fourth quarter earnings call.

The Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for its fiscal year 2016, which ended December 25, 2016, will be filed on Wednesday, February 22, 2017, after market close. The Company will host a conference call on Thursday, February 23, 2017, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time to review results and provide guidance for fiscal 2017.

(1) Adjusted earnings per diluted share is a supplemental non-GAAP measure of performance. See the heading entitled "Management's Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures."

Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Inc.

Same-store Sales and Restaurant Count

12 Weeks Ended Fiscal Year
12/25/16 12/27/15 12/25/16 12/27/15
Same-store sales growth
Company-operated restaurants (0.7)% (3.0)% (2.4)% (0.4)%
Domestic franchised restaurants 3.1% 2.2% 1.5% 6.0%
Total domestic (company-operated and franchised restaurants) 3.0% 2.0% 1.4% 5.7%
International franchised restaurants 1.6% 8.4% 4.4% 7.0%
Total global system 2.8% 2.8% 1.7% 5.9%
Company-operated restaurants (all domestic)
Restaurants at beginning of period 72 68 70 65
New restaurant openings 2 2 5
Transfer to franchised restaurants (17) (17)
Restaurants at end of quarter 55 70 55 70
Franchised restaurants (domestic)
Restaurants at beginning of period 1,964 1,857 1,900 1,805
New restaurant openings 52 52 116 120
Transfer from Company-operated restaurants 17 17
Permanent closings (6) (8) (15) (21)
Temporary (closings)/re-openings, net (15) (1) (6) (4)
Restaurants at end of quarter 2,012 1,900 2,012 1,900
Franchised restaurants (international)
Restaurants at beginning of period 595 550 569 509
New restaurant openings 37 28 98 94
Permanent closings (10) (13) (42) (32)
Temporary (closings)/re-openings, net (1) 4 (4) (2)
Restaurants at end of quarter 621 569 621 569
Total restaurant count at end of quarter 2,688 2,539 2,688 2,539

Management’s Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted earnings per diluted share: Calculation and Definition

The Company defines adjusted earnings for fiscal 2015 as the Company’s reported net income after adjusting for certain non-operating items consisting of the following: (i) other expenses (income) net of $0.4 million for recoveries under Deepwater Horizon Economic and Property Damages Settlement Program and $0.2 million net gain on the sale of assets offset by $0.5 million related to executive transition expenses and $0.1 million net loss on the sale and disposal of assets and (ii) the tax effect of these adjustments.

Adjusted earnings per diluted share provides the per share effect of adjusted net income on a diluted basis. The following table reconciles on a historical basis for fiscal 2015, the Company’s adjusted earnings per diluted share on a consolidated basis to the line on its Consolidated Statement of Operations entitled Net income, which the Company believes is the most directly comparable GAAP measure on its Consolidated Statement of Operations:

(in millions, except per share data) Fiscal 2015
Net income $44.1
Other expense (income), net
Tax effect
Adjusted earnings $44.1
Adjusted earnings per diluted share $1.91
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding 23.1


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