Close

Jones Energy (JONE) Offers Update on Reserves, Operations, FY16 Guidance

February 11, 2016 5:29 PM EST
Get Alerts JONE Hot Sheet
Price: $0.12 --0%

Today's EPS Names:
NLY, CP, RUSHA, More
Join SI Premium – FREE

Jones Energy, Inc. (NYSE: JONE) today provided its 2015 year-end reserves, an operations update, estimated financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2015, and its initial 2016 capital budget plan and guidance.

Highlights

  • Proved reserves at year-end 2015 were 101.7 MMBoe based on SEC pricing1; proved oil reserves were 25.4 MMBbl
  • Cleveland proved reserves were 80.6 MMBoe at year-end 2015
  • PV-10 value of proved reserves was $470 million at SEC prices1
  • Mark-to-market hedge value of $264 million incorporating strip pricing as of February 10, 2016
  • Liquidity of approximately $420 million as of December 31, 2015
  • Initial 2016 capital budget of $25 million, primarily for workovers
  • Estimated full year 2015 production of approximately 25.1 MBoe/d (above top end of guidance); estimated oil production for the full year of approximately 7.1 MBoe/d (top end of guidance)
  • Estimated production for the fourth quarter of 2015 of approximately 23.6 MBoe/d (above top end of guidance); estimated oil production for the fourth quarter of 2015 of approximately 6.0 MBoe/d (in-line with guidance)
  • Estimated Cleveland production for the fourth quarter of 2015 of approximately 17.7 MBoe/d

Jones Energy Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Jonny Jones stated, “2015 was a year that saw our company meet or beat every goal we laid out for ourselves resulting in estimated production growth approaching 10% while simultaneously dropping capital spending by roughly 60%. Despite the incredible cost savings we created this past year, the commodity price environment has become even more challenging during the past few months. As a team, we believe the responsible decision as capital allocators is to hold off on drilling new wells at this time. Our valuable hedge position has continued to afford us the luxury of allowing service costs and commodity prices to rebalance before deploying additional drilling and completion capital. We will be patient in an effort to make sure that our capital investments create an acceptable return for our shareholders.” Mr. Jones went on to say, “Our year-end proved reserves reflect the strength of our Cleveland well economics as we maintained high levels of proved reserves despite the significant drop in prices. We continue to believe that our multi-year hedge book and significant liquidity have Jones Energy well prepared to weather current market conditions and positioned to seize opportunities to create shareholder value.”

1 SEC prices for 2015 year-end proved reserves were $50.25 per barrel for oil and $2.59 per MMBtu for natural gas based on the average of such prices for 2015.

2015 Year-End Proved Reserves

Jones Energy’s year-end 2015 proved reserves based on SEC pricing and definitions were 101.7 MMBoe, of which 58% were classified as proved developed reserves. Total proved oil reserves at year-end 2015 were 25.4 MMBbl compared to year-end 2014 proved oil reserves of 27.7 MMBbl. The SEC PV-102 value of proved reserves for year-end 2015 was $470 million, with a corresponding standardized measure value of approximately $465 million3.

The following tables set forth the Company’s total proved reserves and the changes in the Company’s total proved reserves. These estimates are based on reports prepared by Cawley, Gillespie & Associates, Inc., independent petroleum engineers. Year-end proved reserves were determined utilizing an average 2015 WTI oil price of $50.25 per barrel and an average 2015 Henry Hub spot market natural gas price of $2.59 per MMBtu.

Proved Reserves as of December 31, 2015
Oil

(MMBbl)

Gas

(Bcf)

NGLs

(MMBbl)

Total

(MMBoe)

% Liquids
Cleveland 24.8 179.2 25.9 80.6 62.9%
Woodford 0.1 66.0 5.1 16.3 32.2%
Other 0.5 16.4 1.6 4.8 43.5%
Total Proved 25.4 261.6 32.6 101.7 57.1%
Proved Developed 11.0 169.7 19.7 59.0 52.1%
Changes in Proved Reserves (MMBoe)
Proved reserves as of December 31, 2014 115.3
Extensions and discoveries 5.5

Production4

(9.2)
Revisions of previous estimates (9.9)
Proved reserves as of December 31, 2015 101.7

2 SEC PV-10 is a non-GAAP financial measure.3 Standardized measure is calculated in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 69 Disclosures about Oil and Gas Producing Properties, as codified in ASC topic 932, Extractive Activities – Oil and Gas.4 Full year production figures are estimates pending final audit results by the Company’s outside auditor.

Assuming strip pricing as of February 10, 2016 through 2020 and keeping pricing flat thereafter, instead of 2015 SEC pricing, while leaving all other parameters unchanged, the Company’s proved reserves would have been 102.3 MMBoe and the PV-10 value of proved reserves would have been $364 million.

As of December 31, 2015, the Company had identified 2,103 gross drilling locations. These include 711 gross drilling locations in the Cleveland play and 277 gross locations in the Arkoma Woodford shale. The Company acquired more than 90 drilling locations through leasing during 2015 and 8 of these locations were included in proved reserves.

The Company currently does not anticipate drilling new wells on its Arkoma Woodford acreage in the near term. As a result, the Company will not spud the required number of additional wells per the joint development agreement between Jones Energy and Vanguard Natural Resources within the prescribed time period to maintain rights to the additional future drilling locations. The loss of these drilling locations, along with other near term lease expirations in the Arkoma, have contributed to a reduction in the Company’s Woodford proved undeveloped reserve figures and total drilling location count. The total number of Arkoma drilling locations removed from the Company’s inventory totaled 496 gross locations and 40 net locations, including 42 gross (8 net) locations associated with proved undeveloped reserves. These Arkoma drilling locations had no associated PV-10 value in the Company’s year-end 2015 proved reserves based on SEC pricing and definitions.

2016 Capital Budget and Operating Plan

The Company has established an initial capital budget of $25 million for 2016, with the majority dedicated to capital workovers and field optimization activities. The Company will continue to monitor market conditions and may determine at a later date to spend additional capital which may include redeploying rigs to resume drilling activities or leasing. At present, the Company continues to negotiate with vendors regarding service costs and does not plan on resuming drilling activities until well costs create acceptable rates of return at strip prices.

Operations Update

Production Update for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2015

The Company produced an estimated 2.2 MMBoe (approximately 23,600 Boe/d) in the fourth quarter of 2015 and an estimated 9.2 MMBoe (approximately 25,100 Boe/d) for the full year. Oil volumes comprised 25% of production for the fourth quarter and 28% for the full year. NGL volumes accounted for 31% of the fourth quarter production and 29% of the full year volumes. During the fourth quarter, liquids accounted for 56% of total production.

Revenues and EBITDAX for the Fourth Quarter of 2015

The Company estimates revenues including current period settlements of matured derivative contracts for the fourth quarter of 2015 of between $78.5 million and $81.5 million based upon internally projected production figures and estimated realized commodity prices. The Company estimates EBITDAX5 for the fourth quarter of 2015 of between $63.6 million and $66.6 million.

2015 Capital Expenditures

During the fourth quarter of 2015, the Company spent $14.1 million on capital expenditures, of which $8.0 million was related to drilling and completing wells, representing 57% of the total capital expenditures in the quarter. The remaining $6.1 million was primarily related to field maintenance and leasing.

For the full year 2015, the Company spent $200.1 million on capital expenditures, of which $173.2 million was related to drilling and completing wells, representing 87% of the total capital expenditures in the year. This compares to revised 2015 capital expenditure guidance of $210 million.

2016 Guidance

Based upon the current 2016 capital budget and operating plan, we are projecting 2016 average daily production of 15,500 to 17,000 Boe per day. A table has been provided below with full year and first quarter 2016 guidance by category. The Company’s average production for the fourth quarter of 2016 is expected to be between 13.0 MBoe/d and 14.4 MBoe/d, which is approximately 40% below the estimated average production rate of 23.6 MBoe/d for the fourth quarter of 2015. All guidance figures are reflective of the initial 2016 capital expenditure budget and current activity levels and do not account for any potential changes based upon evolving market conditions.

2016 Guidance

2016E 1Q16E
Total Production (MMBoe) 5.6 – 6.2 1.75 – 1.85
Average Daily Production (MBoe/d) 15.5 – 17.0 19.3 – 20.3
Crude Oil (MBbl/d) 3.6 – 3.9 4.6 – 4.9
Natural Gas (MMcf/d) 41.7 – 45.9 51.7 – 54.1
NGLs (MBbl/d) 4.9 – 5.4 6.1 – 6.4
Lease Operating Expense ($mm) $35.0 – $38.0
Production Taxes (% of Unhedged Revenue)* 4.5% – 5.5%
Ad Valorem Taxes ($mm)* $1.5 – $1.7
Cash G&A Expense ($mm) $18.0 – $20.0
Total Capital Expenditures ($mm) $25.0

5 EBITDAX is a non-GAAP financial measure.

*Production and ad valorem taxes are included as one line item on the Company’s Consolidated Statements of Operations.

Liquidity and Hedging

As of December 31, 2015, the Company had undrawn credit facility availability of $400 million and approximately $22 million in cash.

The estimated mark-to-market value of the Company’s commodity price hedges in 2016 and beyond was $264 million incorporating strip pricing as of February 10, 2016. The following table summarizes the Company’s commodity derivative contracts outstanding:

Current Hedge Positions
Fiscal Year Ending December 31,
2016 2017 2018 1H19

Oil, Natural Gas and NGL Swaps

Oil (MBbl) 1,849 1,040 803 339
Natural Gas (MMcf) 16,730 12,300 10,240 4,410
Ethane (MBbl) 53 - - -
Propane (MBbl) 627 - - -
Iso Butane (MBbl) 76 7 - -
Butane (MBbl) 218 17 - -
Natural Gasoline (MBbl) 227 18 - -
Total NGLs (MBbl) 1,201 42 - -

Weighted Average Prices

Oil ($ / Bbl) $84.09 $78.69 $77.47 $64.65
Natural Gas ($ / Mcf) 4.46 4.29 4.19 3.53
Ethane ($ / Gal) 0.21 - - -
Propane ($ / Gal) 0.55 - - -
Iso Butane ($ / Gal) 0.75 1.42 - -
Butane ($ / Gal) 0.72 1.37 - -
Natural Gasoline ($ / Gal) 1.46 1.73 - -


Serious News for Serious Traders! Try StreetInsider.com Premium Free!

You May Also Be Interested In





Related Categories

Corporate News, Guidance

Related Entities

Crude Oil, Vanguard, Earnings, Definitive Agreement