Fitch Ratings Indicate U.S. CREL CDO Finished 2011 Below 2010 Level
Late-pays for U.S. CREL CDOs finished the year at a lower level than in 2010, according to the latest index results from Fitch Ratings.
CREL CDO delinquencies for December came in at 12.5%, down from 13.6% at December 2010 and a 14.8% peak in April of this year. The senior-most tranches of 68% of Fitch rated CREL CDOs have either a Stable or Positive Outlook. However, ratings on the most junior classes remain subject to volatility as losses continue to accumulate.
As of year-end 2011, only one-third of Fitch rated CREL CDOs were still in their reinvestment periods. Total CREL CDO collateral is down by $2.3 billion since 2010, including cumulative reported realized losses over the period of approximately $710 million (3.4% of the total collateral). An estimated $1.1 billion were recoveries on defaulted assets with close to $500 million in repayments. All remaining Fitch rated CREL CDOs exit their reinvestment periods in 2012.
Office properties, which have the lowest overall delinquency rate, continue to comprise the largest portion of CREL CDO collateral. Multifamily, the third largest asset type in CREL CDOs, had one of the most significant declines in delinquency over the last year; a figure that should continue to drop as Fitch expects apartment fundamentals to continue improving.
Current delinquencies compared to year end (YE) 2010 delinquencies by asset type are as follows:
Land: 33% (YE 2011) vs. 32% (YE 2010)
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CREL CDO delinquencies for December came in at 12.5%, down from 13.6% at December 2010 and a 14.8% peak in April of this year. The senior-most tranches of 68% of Fitch rated CREL CDOs have either a Stable or Positive Outlook. However, ratings on the most junior classes remain subject to volatility as losses continue to accumulate.
As of year-end 2011, only one-third of Fitch rated CREL CDOs were still in their reinvestment periods. Total CREL CDO collateral is down by $2.3 billion since 2010, including cumulative reported realized losses over the period of approximately $710 million (3.4% of the total collateral). An estimated $1.1 billion were recoveries on defaulted assets with close to $500 million in repayments. All remaining Fitch rated CREL CDOs exit their reinvestment periods in 2012.
Office properties, which have the lowest overall delinquency rate, continue to comprise the largest portion of CREL CDO collateral. Multifamily, the third largest asset type in CREL CDOs, had one of the most significant declines in delinquency over the last year; a figure that should continue to drop as Fitch expects apartment fundamentals to continue improving.
Current delinquencies compared to year end (YE) 2010 delinquencies by asset type are as follows:
Land: 33% (YE 2011) vs. 32% (YE 2010)
- Condo: 24% vs. 26%
- Construction: 21% vs.53%
- Hotel: 16% vs. 10%
- Multifamily: 14% vs. 24%
- Industrial: 12% vs. 15%
- Rated Debt: 11% vs. 11%
- Retail: 10% vs. 12%
- Other: 11% vs. 8%
- Office: 8% vs. 9%
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