QE Looks Imminent, Look for Clues in Thursday’s Testimony - Goldman

June 4, 2012 12:36 PM EDT Send to a Friend
Analysts will be listening to Ben Bernanke’s congressional testimony on Thursday for clues regarding future Fed monetary policy. Goldman Sachs analyst Jan Haztius expects Bernanke to begin laying out the Feds plans for future QE at this time. The question is no longer if the Fed will move, the question is in what direction.

According to Haztius, new QE measures could increase the size and composition of the Fed's balance sheet by purchasing long-term Treasuries, mortgages, or both. On the other hand, the Fed could simply push out the date of the first rate hike in the statement or make the first hike conditional on an economic criterion such as a nominal GDP target.

If the Fed does move, the decision will likely be made during the Fed meeting taking place on June 19th, but a clue might also be given during Bernanke’s congressional testimony on Thursday or during other Fed speeches this week.


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