Wedbush Downgrades Lamar Advertising (LAMR) to Underperform; Category Concerns

October 23, 2009 10:10 AM EDT

Wedbush downgrades Lamar Advertising (Nasdaq: LAMR) from Neutral to Underperform. Price target increased from $20 to $26.

Wedbush analyst says, "We are concerned that large, economically sensitive local ad categories for LAMR like auto, retail and real estate (~25% of revenue) may not quickly boost billboard spending. More broadly, we believe outdoor will take longer to rebuild its base of local spending (which is ~80% of LAMR’s revenue), much from credit-tight small businesses, than more national media that can benefit from increased spending by rivals or for product launches. Our early checks on even national outdoor suggest a soft 1Q. LAMR’s growth out of the recession’s trough will be hampered by its exposure to particularly hard-hit local economies. We estimate that LAMR generates close to 20% of its revenue from California, Florida, Michigan, Arizona and Nevada, which have suffered more in the recession. As of August, the median unemployment in these states was 12.2% vs 9.7% for the U.S. and their median unemployment rate had increased y/y by 460bps, vs a 350bps increase for the U.S."

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Lamar Advertising Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides outdoor advertising services in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico


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