Piper Jaffray Downgrades Bare Escentuals (BARE) to Neutral; Removes From Alpha List

July 31, 2008 8:20 AM EDT

Piper Jaffray downgrades Bare Escentuals (NASDAQ: BARE) from Buy to Neutral and lowers their price target from $36 to $16. The firm also removes BARE from the Piper Jaffray Alpha List.

The firm also updated their EPS estimates. Piper Jaffray lowered it FY08E EPS from $1.20 to $1.15, and reduced its FY09E EPS from $1.54 to $1.32.

The downgrade comes on the heels of management's disappointing sales outlook for FY08. While the company reported FQ2 EPS of $0.26, which was above Piper’s $0.24 EPS estimate, BARE's revenues were lower than expected largely driven by the 22% decline in the infomercial segment. Also, management lowered its revenue outlook for FY08 from a range of 20%-25% to a range of 15%-20%. Therefore, Piper Jaffray is now projecting 30% declines in this segment for the balance of FY08.

Overall, the firm said, "While we acknowledge that from a valuation to growth perspective, BARE appears relatively inexpensive, we believe shares of BARE lack a meaningful catalyst. We are sticking to the sidelines until we can see the following signs: 1) stabilization in the infomercial channel; 2) favorable customer response to the new kit initiative; and 3) signs of easing macro pressures such as traffic improvements, average ticket spending etc."

Bare Escentuals is a San Francisco-based prestige beauty company that focuses in the design, production, manufacturing & distribution of mineral-based cosmetics.


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